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Deep learning models are trained with certain assumptions about the data during the development stage and then used for prediction in the deployment stage. It is important to reason about the trustworthiness of the model's predictions with…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Shibbir Ahmed , Hongyang Gao , Hridesh Rajan

Financial time series forecasting is, without a doubt, the top choice of computational intelligence for finance researchers from both academia and financial industry due to its broad implementation areas and substantial impact. Machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Omer Berat Sezer , Mehmet Ugur Gudelek , Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu

Deep neural networks are powerful tools for solving nonlinear problems in science and engineering, but training highly accurate models becomes challenging as problem complexity increases. Non-convex optimization and sensitivity to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Ethan Mulle , Wei Kang , Qi Gong

Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has shown huge potentials in building financial market simulators recently. However, due to the highly complex and dynamic nature of real-world markets, raw historical financial data often involve large…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-03 Xiao-Yang Liu , Jingyang Rui , Jiechao Gao , Liuqing Yang , Hongyang Yang , Zhaoran Wang , Christina Dan Wang , Jian Guo

Calibration of neural networks is a topical problem that is becoming more and more important as neural networks increasingly underpin real-world applications. The problem is especially noticeable when using modern neural networks, for which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Ondrej Bohdal , Yongxin Yang , Timothy Hospedales

In this work we present a data-driven end-to-end Deep Learning approach for time series prediction, applied to financial time series. A Deep Learning scheme is derived to predict the temporal trends of stocks and ETFs in NYSE or NASDAQ. Our…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-11-15 Ariel Navon , Yosi Keller

Risk scoring systems have been widely deployed in many applications, which assign risk scores to users according to their behavior sequences. Though many deep learning methods with sophisticated designs have achieved promising results, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Yao Zhang , Yun Xiong , Yiheng Sun , Caihua Shan , Tian Lu , Hui Song , Yangyong Zhu

Prediction of toxicity levels of chemical compounds is an important issue in Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship (QSAR) modeling. Although toxicity prediction has achieved significant progress in recent times through deep learning,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-22 Abdul Karim , Jaspreet Singh , Avinash Mishra , Abdollah Dehzangi , M. A. Hakim Newton , Abdul Sattar

Automated detection of software vulnerabilities is a fundamental problem in software security. Existing program analysis techniques either suffer from high false positives or false negatives. Recent progress in Deep Learning (DL) has…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Saikat Chakraborty , Rahul Krishna , Yangruibo Ding , Baishakhi Ray

Over the last years, machine learning techniques have been applied to more and more application domains, including software engineering and, especially, software quality assurance. Important application domains have been, e.g., software…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Safa Omri , Carsten Sinz

Building predictive models for robust and accurate prediction of stock prices and stock price movement is a challenging research problem to solve. The well-known efficient market hypothesis believes in the impossibility of accurate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

Complex risk is a critical factor for both intelligent systems and risk management. In this paper, we consider a special class of risk statistics, named complex risk statistics. Our result provides a new approach for addressing complex…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-01 Fei Sun , Yichuan Dong

Minimizing the empirical risk is a popular training strategy, but for learning tasks where the data may be noisy or heavy-tailed, one may require many observations in order to generalize well. To achieve better performance under less…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-16 Matthew J. Holland , Kazushi Ikeda

Traditional simulations on High-Performance Computing (HPC) systems typically involve modeling very large domains and/or very complex equations. HPC systems allow running large models, but limits in performance increase that have become…

This paper introduces a first implementation of a novel likelihood-ratio-based approach for constructing confidence intervals for neural networks. Our method, called DeepLR, offers several qualitative advantages: most notably, the ability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-07 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes

This paper presents an augmented deep factor model that generates latent factors for cross-sectional asset pricing. The conventional security sorting on firm characteristics for constructing long-short factor portfolio weights is nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson , Jianeng Xu

"Deep Learning"/"Deep Neural Nets" is a technological marvel that is now increasingly deployed at the cutting-edge of artificial intelligence tasks. This dramatic success of deep learning in the last few years has been hinged on an enormous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Anirbit Mukherjee

We propose to represent a return model and risk model in a unified manner with deep learning, which is a representative model that can express a nonlinear relationship. Although deep learning performs quite well, it has significant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-17 Kei Nakagawa , Takumi Uchida , Tomohisa Aoshima

Recent advancements in deep learning generative models have raised concerns as they can create highly convincing counterfeit images and videos. This poses a threat to people's integrity and can lead to social instability. To address this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Leandro A. Passos , Danilo Jodas , Kelton A. P. da Costa , Luis A. Souza Júnior , Douglas Rodrigues , Javier Del Ser , David Camacho , João Paulo Papa