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Related papers: LOB-Based Deep Learning Models for Stock Price Tre…

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Deep learning (DL) is one of the fastest growing topics in materials data science, with rapidly emerging applications spanning atomistic, image-based, spectral, and textual data modalities. DL allows analysis of unstructured data and…

The stock market's ascent typically mirrors the flourishing state of the economy, whereas its decline is often an indicator of an economic downturn. Therefore, for a long time, significant correlation elements for predicting trends in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Wenjun Gu , Yihao Zhong , Shizun Li , Changsong Wei , Liting Dong , Zhuoyue Wang , Chao Yan

Deep Learning (DL) is one of the most common subjects when Machine Learning and Data Science approaches are considered. There are clearly two movements related to DL: the first aggregates researchers in quest to outperform other algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-29 Rodrigo Fernandes de Mello , Martha Dais Ferreira , Moacir Antonelli Ponti

Managing high-frequency data in a limit order book (LOB) is a complex task that often exceeds the capabilities of conventional time-series forecasting models. Accurately predicting the entire multi-level LOB, beyond just the mid-price, is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-05 Jiwon Jung , Kiseop Lee

Predictive monitoring of business processes is concerned with the prediction of ongoing cases on a business process. Lately, the popularity of deep learning techniques has propitiated an ever-growing set of approaches focused on predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Efrén Rama-Maneiro , Juan C. Vidal , Manuel Lama

The evaluation of the financial markets to predict their behaviour have been attempted using a number of approaches, to make smart and profitable investment decisions. Owing to the highly non-linear trends and inter-dependencies, it is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-02 Shaswat Mohanty , Anirudh Vijay , Nandagopan Gopakumar

The success of deep learning-based limit order book forecasting models is highly dependent on the quality and the robustness of the input data representation. A significant body of the quantitative finance literature focuses on utilising…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-08 Yufei Wu , Mahmoud Mahfouz , Daniele Magazzeni , Manuela Veloso

Forecasting stock prices can be interpreted as a time series prediction problem, for which Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks are often used due to their architecture specifically built to solve such problems. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Akash Doshi , Alexander Issa , Puneet Sachdeva , Sina Rafati , Somnath Rakshit

Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) algorithms can scale to previously intractable problems. The automation of profit generation in the stock market is possible using DRL, by combining the financial assets price "prediction" step and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-20 Taylan Kabbani , Ekrem Duman

We showcase how Quantile Regression (QR) can be applied to forecast financial returns using Limit Order Books (LOBs), the canonical data source of high-frequency financial time-series. We develop a deep learning architecture that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-13 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

On tabular data, a significant body of literature has shown that current deep learning (DL) models perform at best similarly to Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDTs), while significantly underperforming them on outlier data. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Charlie Hou , Kiran Koshy Thekumparampil , Michael Shavlovsky , Giulia Fanti , Yesh Dattatreya , Sujay Sanghavi

Financial markets are complex systems characterized by high statistical noise, nonlinearity, volatility, and constant evolution. Thus, modeling them is extremely hard. Here, we address the task of generating realistic and responsive Limit…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-21 Leonardo Berti , Bardh Prenkaj , Paola Velardi

Predicting future stock prices and their movement patterns is a complex problem. Hence, building a portfolio of capital assets using the predicted prices to achieve the optimization between its return and risk is an even more difficult…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-24 Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta , Sidra Mehtab

Stock market price prediction is a significant interdisciplinary research domain that depends at the intersection of finance, statistics, and economics. Forecasting Accurately predicting stock prices has always been a focal point for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Navin Chhibber , Sunil Khemka , Navneet Kumar Tyagi , Rohit Tewari , Bireswar Banerjee , Piyush Ranjan

Modeling the dynamics of financial Limit Order Books (LOB) at the message level is challenging due to irregular event timing, rapid regime shifts, and the reactions of high-frequency traders to visible order flow. Previous LOB models…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Eljas Linna , Kestutis Baltakys , Alexandros Iosifidis , Juho Kanniainen

Simulating limit order books (LOBs) has important applications across forecasting and backtesting for financial market data. However, deep generative models struggle in this context due to the high noise and complexity of the data. Previous…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-08 Alfred Backhouse , Kang Li , Jakob Foerster , Anisoara Calinescu , Stefan Zohren

In this paper, we propose an event-driven Limit Order Book (LOB) model that captures twelve of the most observed LOB events in exchange-based financial markets. To model these events, we propose using the state-of-the-art Neural Hawkes…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-19 Luca Lalor , Anatoliy Swishchuk

Computational intelligence in finance has been a very popular topic for both academia and financial industry in the last few decades. Numerous studies have been published resulting in various models. Meanwhile, within the Machine Learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-17 Ahmet Murat Ozbayoglu , Mehmet Ugur Gudelek , Omer Berat Sezer

The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Yaodong Yang , Alisa Kolesnikova , Stefan Lessmann , Tiejun Ma , Ming-Chien Sung , Johnnie E. V. Johnson

Deep learning (DL) creates impactful advances following a virtuous recipe: model architecture search, creating large training data sets, and scaling computation. It is widely believed that growing training sets and models should improve…