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We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions if the model is misspecified. Given a prior distribution and a random sample from a distribution $P_0$, which may not be in the support of the prior, we show that the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. J. K. Kleijn , A. W. van der Vaart

We study a problem with three equivalent formulations: describing Gibbs measures for five-vertex model in quadrant; classifying coherent systems on a p-deformation of the Gelfand-Tsetlin graph related to Grothendieck polynomials; finding…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Vadim Gorin , Sergei Korotkikh

This paper deals with the Gaussian and bootstrap approximations to the distribution of the max statistic in high dimensions. This statistic takes the form of the maximum over components of the sum of independent random vectors and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato , Yuta Koike

Let $\{Z_k\}_{k\geqslant 1}$ denote a sequence of independent Bernoulli random variables defined by ${\mathbb P}(Z_k=1)=1/k=1-{\mathbb P}(Z_k=0)$ $(k\geqslant 1)$ and put $T_n:=\sum_{1\leqslant k\leqslant n}kZ_k$. It is then known that…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Régis de la Bretèche , Gérald Tenenbaum

We consider a nonlinear discrete stochastic control system, and our goal is to design a feedback control policy in order to lead the system to a prespecified state. We adopt a stochastic approximation viewpoint of this problem. It is known…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Hoang Huy Nguyen , Siva Theja Maguluri

The sensitivity of trajectories over finite time intervals t to perturbations of the initial conditions can be associated with a finite-time Lyapunov exponent lambda, obtained from the elements M_{ij} of the stability matrix M. For globally…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 H. Schomerus , M. Titov

We study the local asymptotic behavior of divergence-like functionals of a family of $d$-dimensional Infinitely Divisible Random Fields. Specifically, we derive limit theorems of surface integrals over Lipschitz manifolds for this class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-06 José Ulises Márquez-Urbina , Orimar Sauri

We study the problem of generalized uniformity testing \cite{BC17} of a discrete probability distribution: Given samples from a probability distribution $p$ over an {\em unknown} discrete domain $\mathbf{\Omega}$, we want to distinguish,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-09-08 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Alistair Stewart

This paper develops an optimal Chernoff type bound for the probabilities of large deviations of sums $\sum_{k=1}^n f (X_k)$ where $f$ is a real-valued function and $(X_k)_{k \in \mathbb{Z}_{\ge 0}}$ is a finite state Markov chain with an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Vrettos Moulos , Venkat Anantharam

It has recently been shown that there are substantial differences in the regularity behavior of the empirical process based on scalar diffusions as compared to the classical empirical process, due to the existence of diffusion local time.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-25 Angelika Rohde , Claudia Strauch

We establish bounds for the covariance of a large class of functions of infinite variance stable random variables, including unbounded functions such as the power function and the logarithm. These bounds involve measures of dependence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Vladas Pipiras , Murad S. Taqqu , Patrice Abry

This paper is concerned with the large deviation principle of the non-local fractional stochastic reaction-diffusion equation with a polynomial drift of arbitrary degree driven by multiplicative noise defined on unbounded domains. We first…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Bixiang Wang

We consider an elliptic problem with unknowns on the boundary of the domain of the elliptic equation and suppose that the right-hand side of this equation is square integrable and that the boundary data are arbitrary (specifically,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Iryna Chepurukhina , Aleksandr Murach

This monograph resolves - in a dense class of cases - several open problems concerning geodesics in i.i.d. first-passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^d$. Our primary interest is in the empirical measures of edge-weights observed along…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Erik Bates

Motivated by the task of computing normalizing constants and importance sampling in high dimensions, we study the dimension dependence of fluctuations for additive functionals of time-inhomogeneous Langevin-type diffusions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Christophe Andrieu , James Ridgway , Nick Whiteley

We provide a new information-theoretic generalization error bound that is exactly tight (i.e., matching even the constant) for the canonical quadratic Gaussian (location) problem. Most existing bounds are order-wise loose in this setting,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Ruida Zhou , Chao Tian , Tie Liu

New Vapnik and Chervonenkis type concentration inequalities are derived for the empirical distribution of an independent random sample. Focus is on the maximal deviation over classes of Borel sets within a low probability region. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Stéphane Lhaut , Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

We propose a consistent estimator of sharp bounds on the variance of the difference-in-means estimator in completely randomized experiments. Generalizing Robins [Stat. Med. 7 (1988) 773-785], our results resolve a well-known identification…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-27 Peter M. Aronow , Donald P. Green , Donald K. K. Lee

Under the assumption that the distribution of a nonnegative random variable $X$ admits a bounded coupling with its size biased version, we prove simple and strong concentration bounds. In particular the upper tail probability is shown to…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Richard Arratia , Peter Baxendale

In this paper we give an explicit bound on the distance to chisquare for the likelihood ratio statistic when the data are realisations of independent and identically distributed random elements. To our knowledge this is the first explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Andreas Anastasiou , Gesine Reinert