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Related papers: Tight Bounds for Local Glivenko-Cantelli

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We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

If $\mu$ is a distribution over the $d$-dimensional Boolean cube $\{0,1\}^d$, our goal is to estimate its mean $p\in[0,1]^d$ based on $n$ iid draws from $\mu$. Specifically, we consider the empirical mean estimator $\hat p_n$ and study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-30 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich

We present a novel approach to estimating discrete distributions with (potentially) infinite support in the total variation metric. In a departure from the established paradigm, we make no structural assumptions whatsoever on the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich , Geoffrey Wolfer

In this work we derive a variant of the classic Glivenko-Cantelli Theorem, which asserts uniform convergence of the empirical Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) to the CDF of the underlying distribution. Our variant allows for tighter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Noga Alon , Moshe Babaioff , Yannai A. Gonczarowski , Yishay Mansour , Shay Moran , Amir Yehudayoff

The Glivenko--Cantelli theorem is a uniform version of the strong law of large numbers. It states that for every IID sequence of random variables, the empirical measure converges to the underlying distribution (in the sense of uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Tobias Fritz , Tomáš Gonda , Antonio Lorenzin , Paolo Perrone , Areeb Shah Mohammed

This paper studies estimation of and inference on a distribution function $F$ that is concave on the nonnegative half line and admits a density function $f$ with potentially unbounded support. When $F$ is strictly concave, we show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Zheng Fang

In this paper, we study the risk bounds for samples independently drawn from an infinitely divisible (ID) distribution. In particular, based on a martingale method, we develop two deviation inequalities for a sequence of random variables of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-02-20 Chao Zhang , Dacheng Tao

The Dvoretzky--Kiefer--Wolfowitz--Massart inequality gives a sub-Gaussian tail bound on the supremum norm distance between the empirical distribution function of a random sample and its population counterpart. We provide a short proof of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Henry W J Reeve

The maximum entropy principle is a powerful tool for solving underdetermined inverse problems. This paper considers the problem of discretizing a continuous distribution, which arises in various applied fields. We obtain the approximating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Ken'ichiro Tanaka , Alexis Akira Toda

Weak convergence of maxima of dependent sequences of identically distributed continuous random variables is studied under normalizing sequences arising as subsequences of the normalizing sequences from an associated iid sequence. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Klaus Herrmann , Marius Hofert , Johanna G. Neslehova

We develop a general technique for bounding the tail of the total variation distance between the empirical and the true distributions over countable sets. Our methods sharpen a deviation bound of Devroye (1983) for distributions over finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Daniel Berend , Aryeh Kontorovich

This paper expands the notion of robust moment problems to incorporate distributional ambiguity using Wasserstein distance as the ambiguity measure. The classical Chebyshev-Cantelli (zeroth partial moment) inequalities, Scarf and Lo (first…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Derek Singh , Shuzhong Zhang

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden

We review a finite-sampling exponential bound due to Serfling and discuss related exponential bounds for the hypergeometric distribution. We then discuss how such bounds motivate some new results for two-sample empirical processes. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-20 Evan Greene , Jon A. Wellner

We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

We consider a random interval splitting process, in which the splitting rule depends on the empirical distribution of interval lengths. We show that this empirical distribution converges to a limit almost surely as the number of intervals…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-20 Pascal Maillard , Elliot Paquette

We introduce methods to bound the mean of a discrete distribution (or finite population) based on sample data, for random variables with a known set of possible values. In particular, the methods can be applied to categorical data with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Eric Bax , Frédéric Ouimet

We consider the extreme value statistics of $N$ independent and identically distributed random variables, which is a classic problem in probability theory. When $N\to\infty$, fluctuations around the maximum of the variables are described by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-14 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

We revisit the recently introduced Local Glivenko-Cantelli setting, which studies distribution-dependent uniform convergence rates of the Empirical Mean Estimator (EME). In this work, we investigate generalizations of this setting where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich , Roi Weiss

The Glivenko-Cantelli theorem states that the empirical distribution function converges uniformly almost surely to the theoretical distribution for a random variable $X \in \mathbb{R}$. This is an important result because it establishes the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Daniel Salnikov
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