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We introduce a betting game, where the gambler aims to guess the last success epoch from past observed data. The player may bet on the event that no further successes occur, or choose a `trap' which is any span of future times. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Alexander Gnedin , Zakaria Derbazi

An infinite bit sequence is called recursively random if no computable strategy betting along the sequence has unbounded capital. It is well-known that the property of recursive randomness is closed under computable permutations. We…

Logic · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Andre Nies , Frank Stephan

Finding the most powerful node in a dynamic random network, the largest set in a partition-valued stochastic process, or the largest family in an evolving population at a given time, can be a very difficult problem. This is particularly the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Cécile Mailler , Peter Mörters , Anna Senkevich

We give an example of a sequential dynamical system consisting of intermittent-type maps which exhibits loss of memory with a polynomial rate of decay. A uniform bound holds for the upper rate of memory loss. The maps may be chosen in any…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-10-31 R. Aimino , H. Hu , M. Nicol , A. Torok , S. Vaienti

We study polynomial random dynamical systems with complete connections on the Riemann sphere. In this framework, the choice of the next polynomial map is governed by a state-dependent rule with memory, extending both i.i.d. random dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Yoshiyuki Endo

Let X be a countably infinite set of real numbers and let Y_x, x \in X, be an independent family of stationary random subsets of the real numbers, e.g. homogeneous Poisson point processes. We give criteria for the a.s. existence of various…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-17 Martin P. W. Zerner

The Poisson process of order $i$ is a weighted sum of independent Poisson processes and is used to model the flow of clients in different services. In the paper below we study some extensions of this process, for different forms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-01 A. Maheshwari , E. Orsingher , A. S. Sengar

We consider the discrete-time threshold-$\theta \ge 2$ contact process on a random r-regular graph on n vertices. In this process, a vertex with at least \theta occupied neighbors at time t will be occupied at time t+1 with probability p,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-18 Shirshendu Chatterjee , Rick Durrett

We call $i$ a fixed point of a given sequence if the value of that sequence at the $i$-th position coincides with $i$. Here, we enumerate fixed points in the class of restricted growth sequences. The counting process is conducted by…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-06-25 Toufik Mansour , Reza Rastegar

We consider a generalization of the classical 100 Prisoner problem and its variant, involving empty boxes, whereby winning probabilities for a team depend on the number of attempts, as well as on the number of winners. We call this the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Ivano Lodato , Snehal M. Shekatkar , Tian An Wong

The record statistics of complex random states are analytically calculated, and shown that the probability of a record intensity is a Bernoulli process. The correlation due to normalization leads to a probability distribution of the records…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-05 Shashi C. L. Srivastava , Arul Lakshminarayan , Sudhir R. Jain

In the random acceleration process a point particle moving in one dimension is accelerated by Gaussian white noise with zero mean. Although several fundamental statistical properties of the motion have been analyzed in detail, the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-10-25 Theodore W. Burkhardt

We analyze extensions of the Poisson process in which any interarrival time that exceeds a fixed value $r$ is counted as an interarrival of duration $r$. In the engineering application that initiated this work, one part is tested at a time,…

We consider the stochastic ranking process with the jump times of the particles determined by Poisson random measures. We prove that the joint empirical distribution of scaled position and intensity measure converges almost surely in the…

A simple method to produce a random order type is to take the order type of a random point set. We conjecture that many probability distributions on order types defined in this way are heavily concentrated and therefore sample inefficiently…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Olivier Devillers , Philippe Duchon , Marc Glisse , Xavier Goaoc

We study a class of optimal allocation problems, including the well-known Bomber Problem, with the following common probabilistic structure. An aircraft equipped with an amount~$x$ of ammunition is intercepted by enemy airplanes arriving…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-03 Jay Bartroff , Larry Goldstein , Yosef Rinott , Ester Samuel-Cahn

We consider dynamical systems $(X,T,\mu)$ which have exponential decay of correlations for either H\"older continuous functions or functions of bounded variation. Given a sequence of balls $(B_n)_{n=1}^\infty$, we give sufficient conditions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Charis Ganotaki , Tomas Persson

We consider a perturbed integrable system with one frequency, and the approximate dynamics for the actions given by averaging over the angle. The classical theory grants that, for a perturbation of order epsilon, the error of this…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 Carlo Morosi , Livio Pizzocchero

We study the game of Dots-and-Boxes from a statistical point of view. The early game can be treated as a case of Random Sequential Adsorption, with a jamming transition that marks the beginning of the end-game. We derive set of differential…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Richard Metzler , Andreas Engel

The state space of our model is the Euclidean space in dimension d = 2. Simultaneously, from all points of a homogeneous Poisson point process, we let grow independent and identically distributed random continuum paths. Each path stops…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-25 David Coupier , David Dereudre , Jean-Baptiste Gouéré