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We study a panel data model with general heterogeneous effects where slopes are allowed to vary across both individuals and over time. The key dimension reduction assumption we employ is that the heterogeneous slopes can be expressed as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-05 Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Yuan Liao , Yinchu Zhu

To promote precision medicine, individualized treatment regimes (ITRs) are crucial for optimizing the expected clinical outcome based on patient-specific characteristics. However, existing ITR research has primarily focused on scenarios…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-20 Chang Wang , Lu Wang

This paper presents a new approach based on optimization model to determine the weights of experts in the multi-attribute group decision. Firstly, by minimizing the sum of differences between individual evaluations and the overall…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Yuetong Liu , Chaolang Hu , Shiquan Zhang , Qixiao Hu

Weight averaging has become a standard technique for enhancing model performance. However, methods such as Stochastic Weight Averaging (SWA) and Latest Weight Averaging (LAWA) often require manually designed procedures to sample from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Peng Wang , Shengchao Hu , Zerui Tao , Guoxia Wang , Dianhai Yu , Li Shen , Quan Zheng , Dacheng Tao

Personalized medicine has received increasing attention among statisticians, computer scientists, and clinical practitioners. A major component of personalized medicine is the estimation of individualized treatment rules (ITRs). Recently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-14 Xin Zhou , Nicole Mayer-Hamblett , Umer Khan , Michael R. Kosorok

One of the major challenges in multivariate analysis is the estimation of population covariance matrix from sample covariance matrix (SCM). Most recent covariance matrix estimators use either shrinkage transformations or asymptotic results…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Samruddhi Deshmukh , Amartansh Dubey

Claim reserving primarily relies on macro-level models, with the Chain-Ladder method being the most widely adopted. These methods were heuristically developed without minimal statistical foundations, relying on oversimplified data…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-13 Sebastian Calcetero-Vanegas , Andrei L. Badescu , X. Sheldon Lin

Subsampling techniques can reduce the computational costs of processing big data. Practical subsampling plans typically involve initial uniform sampling and refined sampling. With a subsample, big data inferences are generally built on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Yan Fan , Yang Liu , Yukun Liu , Jing Qin

Marginal structural models (MSMs) with inverse probability weighting offer an approach to estimating causal effects of treatment sequences on repeated outcome measures in the presence of time-varying confounding and dependent censoring.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-02 Sean Yiu , Li Su

In the value-added literature, it is often claimed that regressing on empirical Bayes shrinkage estimates corrects for the measurement error problem in linear regression. We clarify the conditions needed; we argue that these conditions are…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-23 Jiafeng Chen , Jiaying Gu , Soonwoo Kwon

This paper uses a minimum divergence framework to introduce a new way of calculating model weights that can be used to average probabilistic predictions from statistical and machine learning models. The method is general and can be applied…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Olav Benjamin Vassend

This review traces the evolution of theory that started when Charles Stein in 1955 [In Proc. 3rd Berkeley Sympos. Math. Statist. Probab. I (1956) 197--206, Univ. California Press] showed that using each separate sample mean from $k\ge3$…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-27 Carl N. Morris , Martin Lysy

This paper presents a novel approach to constructing estimators that dominate the classical James-Stein estimator under the quadratic loss for multivariate normal means. Building on Stein's risk representation, we introduce a new sufficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Yuzo Maruyama , Akimichi Takemura

Multistate process data are common in studies of chronic diseases such as cancer. These data are ideal for precision medicine purposes as they can be leveraged to improve more refined health outcomes, compared to standard survival outcomes,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Giorgos Bakoyannis

In this paper, we propose the application of shrinkage strategies to estimate coefficients in the Bell regression models when prior information about the coefficients is available. The Bell regression models are well-suited for modeling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-03 Solmaz Seifollahi , Hossein Bevrani , Zakariya Yahya Algamal

Recurrent events are common and important clinical trial endpoints in many disease areas, e.g., cardiovascular hospitalizations in heart failure, relapses in multiple sclerosis, or exacerbations in asthma. During a trial, patients may…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Jiren Sun , Tobias Mutze , Richard Cook , Tianmeng Lyu

The estimation of the mean matrix of the multivariate normal distribution is addressed in the high dimensional setting. Efron-Morris-type linear shrinkage estimators based on ridge estimators for the precision matrix instead of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-07 Ryota Yuasa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

To recover a low rank structure from a noisy matrix, truncated singular value decomposition has been extensively used and studied. Recent studies suggested that the signal can be better estimated by shrinking the singular values. We pursue…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-25 Julie Josse , Sylvain Sardy

We develop an adaptive monotone shrinkage estimator for regression models with the following characteristics: i) dense coefficients with small but important effects; ii) a priori ordering that indicates the probable predictive importance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Zhuang Ma , Dean Foster , Robert Stine

In the regression model with errors in variables, we observe $n$ i.i.d. copies of $(Y,Z)$ satisfying $Y=f_{\theta^0}(X)+\xi$ and $Z=X+\epsilon$ involving independent and unobserved random variables $X,\xi,\epsilon$ plus a regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Cristina Butucea , Marie-Luce Taupin