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The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

The decreasing cost and improved sensor and monitoring system technology (e.g. fiber optics and strain gauges) have led to more measurements in close proximity to each other. When using such spatially dense measurement data in Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 Ioannis Koune , Arpad Rozsas , Arthur Slobbe , Alice Cicirello

We propose a machine learning framework for parameter estimation of single mode Gaussian quantum states. Under a Bayesian framework, our approach estimates parameters of suitable prior distributions from measured data. For phase-space…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-08-16 Neel Kanth Kundu , Matthew R. McKay , Ranjan K. Mallik

Assigning passenger trips to specific network paths using automatic fare collection (AFC) data is a fundamental application in urban transit analysis. The task is a difficult inverse problem: the only available information consists of each…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-31 Xiaoxu Chen , Alexandra M. Schmidt , Zhenliang Ma , Lijun Sun

The project management field has the imperative to increase the project probability of success. Experts have developed several project management maturity models to assets and improve the project outcome. However, the current literature…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Felipe Sanchez , Davy Monticolo , Eric Bonjour , Jean-Pierre Micaëlli

Data sets are growing in complexity thanks to the increasing facilities we have nowadays to both generate and store data. This poses many challenges to machine learning that are leading to the proposal of new methods and paradigms, in order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Irene Córdoba , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga

In this paper, a novel framework is proposed to enable a predictive deployment of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) as temporary base stations (BSs) to complement ground cellular systems in face of downlink traffic overload. First, a novel…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Qianqian Zhang , Walid Saad , Mehdi Bennis , Xing Lu , Merouane Debbah , Wangda Zuo

Accurately forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy with uncertainty is essential for both travelers and transit agencies/operators. However, existing approaches to forecasting bus travel time and passenger occupancy mainly rely…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Xiaoxu Chen , Zhanhong Cheng , Alexandra M. Schmidt , Lijun Sun

Integrating measurements and historical data can enhance control systems through learning-based techniques, but ensuring performance and safety is challenging. Robust model predictive control strategies, like stochastic model predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-28 J. Pohlodek , H. Alsmeier , B. Morabito , C. Schlauch , A. Savchenko , R. Findeisen

Kaplan-Meier estimate, commonly known as product limit method (PLM), and maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) methods in general are often cited as means of stochastic highway capacity estimation. This article discusses their unsuitability for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-03 Igor Mikolasek

This paper proposes a macroscopic model to describe the equilibrium distribution of passenger arrivals for the morning commute problem in a congested urban rail transit system. We use a macroscopic train operation sub-model developed by Seo…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-16 Jiahua Zhang , Kentaro Wada , Takashi Oguchi

We address the problem of maintaining high voltage power transmission networks in security at all time, namely anticipating exceeding of thermal limit for eventual single line disconnection (whatever its cause may be) by running slow, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-04 Benjamin Donnot , Isabelle Guyon , Antoine Marot , Marc Schoenauer , Patrick Panciatici

This paper introduces two variational formulations for a model of robust optimal transport, that is, the problem of designing optimal transport networks that are resilient to potential damages, balancing construction costs against the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Luigi De Masi , Andrea Marchese , Annalisa Massaccesi

In this paper, we present Goal-GAN, an interpretable and end-to-end trainable model for human trajectory prediction. Inspired by human navigation, we model the task of trajectory prediction as an intuitive two-stage process: (i) goal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Patrick Dendorfer , Aljoša Ošep , Laura Leal-Taixé

This study proposes the first Bayesian approach for learning high-dimensional linear Bayesian networks. The proposed approach iteratively estimates each element of the topological ordering from backward and its parent using the inverse of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-28 Seyong Hwang , Kyoungjae Lee , Sunmin Oh , Gunwoong Park

This paper presents a simulation for traffic evacuation during railway disruptions to enhance urban resilience. The research focuses on large-scale railway networks and provides flexible simulation settings to accommodate multiple node or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-29 Hangli Ge , Xiaojie Yang , Zipei Fan , Francesco Flammini , Noboru Koshizuka

In many inverse problems, model parameters cannot be precisely determined from observational data. Bayesian inference provides a mechanism for capturing the resulting parameter uncertainty, but typically at a high computational cost. This…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-28 Matthew Parno , Tarek Moselhy , Youssef Marzouk

This paper studies the problem of learning Bayesian networks from continuous observational data, generated according to a linear Gaussian structural equation model. We consider an $\ell_0$-penalized maximum likelihood estimator for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-14 Tong Xu , Simge Küçükyavuz , Ali Shojaie , Armeen Taeb

Capsule networks are a recently proposed type of neural network shown to outperform alternatives in challenging shape recognition tasks. In capsule networks, scalar neurons are replaced with capsule vectors or matrices, whose entries…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Fabio De Sousa Ribeiro , Georgios Leontidis , Stefanos Kollias

In this paper we explore the evolution of transport capacity on networks with stochastic incidence of damage and accumulation of faults in their connections. For each damaged configuration of the network, we analyze a Markovian random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-05 A. P. Riascos , J. Wang-Michelitsch , T. M. Michelitsch
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