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We investigate whether it is possible to formulate option pricing and hedging models without using probability. We present a model that is consistent with two notions of volatility: a historical volatility consistent with statistical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-10 Damiano Brigo

A discretization scheme for nonnegative diffusion processes is proposed and the convergence of the corresponding sequence of approximate processes is proved using the martingale problem framework. Motivations for this scheme come typically…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-16 Chantal Labbé , Bruno Rémillard , Jean-François Renaud

Most models for barrier pricing are designed to let a market maker tune the model-implied covariance between moves in the asset spot price and moves in the implied volatility skew. This is often implemented with a local…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-16 Mark Higgins

Recent studies have demonstrated the efficiency of Variational Autoencoders (VAE) to compress high-dimensional implied volatility surfaces into a low dimensional representation. Although this method can be effectively used for pricing…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-09 Sándor Kunsági-Máté , Gábor Fáth , István Csabai , Gábor Molnár-Sáska

An efficient computational algorithm to price financial derivatives is presented. It is based on a path integral formulation of the pricing problem. It is shown how the path integral approach can be worked out in order to obtain fast and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 G. Montagna , O. Nicrosini , N. Moreni

In this article we consider the problem of pricing and hedging high-dimensional Asian basket options by Quasi-Monte Carlo simulation. We assume a Black-Scholes market with time-dependent volatilities and show how to compute the deltas by…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-29 Nicola Cufaro Petroni , Piergiacomo Sabino

Quantum scattering at zero energy is studied with stochastic methods. A path integral representation for the scattering cross section is developed. It is demonstrated that Monte Carlo simulation can be used to compare effective potentials…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Stefan Lenz

We derive a closed-form solution for the price of an average price as well as an average strike geometric Asian option, by making use of the path integral formulation. Our results are compared to a numerical Monte Carlo simulation. We also…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-26 Jeroen P. A. Devreese , Damiaan Lemmens , Jacques Tempere

Through the Bayesian lens of data assimilation, uncertainty on model parameters is traditionally quantified through the posterior covariance matrix. However, in modern settings involving high-dimensional and computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-16 Michael Stanley , Mikael Kuusela , Brendan Byrne , Junjie Liu

This paper presents a novel event camera simulation system fully based on physically based Monte Carlo path tracing with adaptive path sampling. The adaptive sampling performed in the proposed method is based on a statistical technique,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Yuichiro Manabe , Tatsuya Yatagawa , Shigeo Morishima , Hiroyuki Kubo

We propose a parameter-free model for estimating the price or valuation of financial derivatives like options, forwards and futures using non-supervised learning networks and Monte Carlo. Although some arbitrage-based pricing formula…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-02 Weishi Wang

Model comparison for the purposes of selection, averaging and validation is a problem found throughout statistics. Within the Bayesian paradigm, these problems all require the calculation of the posterior probabilities of models within a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-08 Yan Zhou , Adam M Johansen , John A D Aston

Monte Carlo studies involving real time dynamics are severely restricted by the sign problem that emerges from highly oscillatory phase of the path integral. In this letter, we present a new method to compute real time quantities on the…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2016-08-24 Andrei Alexandru , Gokce Basar , Paulo F. Bedaque , Sohan Vartak , Neill C. Warrington

We consider a stochastic volatility model which captures relevant stylized facts of financial series, including the multi-scaling of moments. The volatility evolves according to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with super-linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Francesco Caravenna , Jacopo Corbetta

In this paper we derive a efficient Monte Carlo approximation for the price of path-dependent derivatives under the multiscale stochastic volatility models of Fouque \textit{et al}. Using the formulation of this pricing problem under the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-12 Yuri F. Saporito

Radiative transfer simulation is an important tool that allows us to generate synthetic images of various astrophysical objects. In the case of complex three-dimensional geometries, a Monte Carlo-based method that simulates photon packages…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-01-27 A. Krieger , S. Wolf

In this paper, we derive closed-form formulas of first-order approximation for down-and-out barrier and floating strike lookback put option prices under a stochastic volatility model, by using an asymptotic approach. To find the explicit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-03 Jiling Cao , Jeong-Hoon Kim , Xi Li , Wenjun Zhang

In this work, we introduce a Monte Carlo method for the dynamic hedging of general European-type contingent claims in a multidimensional Brownian arbitrage-free market. Based on bounded variation martingale approximations for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-20 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Vinicius Siqueira

Using spectral decomposition techniques and singular perturbation theory, we develop a systematic method to approximate the prices of a variety of options in a fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility setting. Four examples are provided in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Sebastian Jaimungal , Matthew Lorig

Reflected diffusions in polyhedral domains are commonly used as approximate models for stochastic processing networks in heavy traffic. Stationary distributions of such models give useful information on the steady state performance of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-24 Amarjit Budhiraja , Jiang Chen , Sylvain Rubenthaler