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Accurately predicting stock market movements remains a formidable challenge due to the inherent volatility and complex interdependencies among stocks. Although multi-scale Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) hold potential for modeling these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Xiaosha Xue , Peibo Duan , Zhipeng Liu , Qi Chu , Changsheng Zhang , Bin zhang

Forecasting univariate time series in the financial market is a challenging endeavor. While numerous statistical and machine learning models have been introduced to address this challenge, they typically concentrate solely on analyzing…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Marco Gregnanin , Johannes De Smedt , Giorgio Gnecco , Maurizio Parton

Multi-person motion prediction is a complex and emerging field with significant real-world applications. Current state-of-the-art methods typically adopt dual-path networks to separately modeling spatial features and temporal features.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Kehua Qu , Rui Ding , Jin Tang

This paper offers a new approach to modeling and forecasting of nonstationary time series with applications to volatility modeling for financial data. The approach is based on the assumption of local homogeneity: for every time point, there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-10 Vladimir Spokoiny

Stock trend classification remains a fundamental yet challenging task, owing to the intricate time-evolving dynamics between and within stocks. To tackle these two challenges, we propose a graph-based representation learning approach aimed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-17 Zinuo You , Pengju Zhang , Jin Zheng , John Cartlidge

Volatility is a natural risk measure in finance as it quantifies the variation of stock prices. A frequently considered problem in mathematical finance is to forecast different estimates of volatility. What makes it promising to use deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-14 Bernadett Aradi , Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

Summarizing web graphs is challenging due to the heterogeneity of the modeled information and its changes over time. We investigate the use of neural networks for lifelong graph summarization. Assuming we observe the web graph at a certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Jonatan Frank , Marcel Hoffmann , Nicolas Lell , David Richerby , Ansgar Scherp

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) with numerical node features and graph structure as inputs have demonstrated superior performance on various supervised learning tasks with graph data. However the numerical node features utilized by GNNs are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-20 Jiuhai Chen , Jonas Mueller , Vassilis N. Ioannidis , Tom Goldstein , David Wipf

Graph convolution network based approaches have been recently used to model region-wise relationships in region-level prediction problems in urban computing. Each relationship represents a kind of spatial dependency, like region-wise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Xu Geng , Xiyu Wu , Lingyu Zhang , Qiang Yang , Yan Liu , Jieping Ye

Joint modeling of multiview graphs with a common set of nodes between views and auxiliary predictors is an essential, yet less explored, area in statistical methodology. Traditional approaches often treat graphs in different views as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Sharmistha Guha , Jose Rodriguez-Acosta , Ivo Dinov

The estimation of loss distributions for dynamic portfolios requires the simulation of scenarios representing realistic joint dynamics of their components. We propose a novel data-driven approach for simulating realistic, high-dimensional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-19 Rama Cont , Mihai Cucuringu , Renyuan Xu , Chao Zhang

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have shown promise in learning unstructured mesh-based simulations of physical systems, including fluid dynamics. In tandem, geometric deep learning principles have informed the development of equivariant…

This paper provides a unique approach with AI algorithms to predict emerging stock markets volatility. Traditionally, stock volatility is derived from historical volatility,Monte Carlo simulation and implied volatility as well. In this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 Zong Ke , Jingyu Xu , Zizhou Zhang , Yu Cheng , Wenjun Wu

A multi-fidelity regression model is proposed for combining multiple datasets with different fidelities, particularly abundant low-fidelity data and scarce high-fidelity observations. The model builds upon recent multi-fidelity frameworks…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-21 Mohammad Hossein Saadat

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal exponential generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (spatiotemporal E-GARCH) model, extending traditional spatiotemporal GARCH models by incorporating asymmetric volatility…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-10 Ariane Nidelle Meli Chrisko , Philipp Otto , Wolfgang Schmid

We consider the problem of learning a graph from a finite set of noisy graph signal observations, the goal of which is to find a smooth representation of the graph signal. Such a problem is motivated by the desire to infer relational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Xiaolu Wang , Yuen-Man Pun , Anthony Man-Cho So

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have excelled in various graph learning tasks, particularly node classification. However, their performance is often hampered by noisy measurements in real-world graphs, which can corrupt critical patterns in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Shuyi Chen , Kaize Ding , Shixiang Zhu

Generative Flow Networks (GFlowNets) have been introduced as a method to sample a diverse set of candidates in an active learning context, with a training objective that makes them approximately sample in proportion to a given reward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Yoshua Bengio , Salem Lahlou , Tristan Deleu , Edward J. Hu , Mo Tiwari , Emmanuel Bengio

We propose a novel statistical model for sparse networks with overlapping community structure. The model is based on representing the graph as an exchangeable point process, and naturally generalizes existing probabilistic models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Adrien Todeschini , Xenia Miscouridou , François Caron

Gaussian Graphical Models provide a convenient framework for representing dependencies between variables. Recently, this tool has received a high interest for the discovery of biological networks. The literature focuses on the case where a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-13 Julien Chiquet , Yves Grandvalet , Christophe Ambroise
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