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The goal of this paper is to demonstrate and address challenges related to all aspects of performing a complete uncertainty quantification analysis of a complicated physics-based simulation like a 2D slab burner direct numerical simulation…

Deep neural networks provide flexible frameworks for learning data representations and functions relating data to other properties and are often claimed to achieve 'super-human' performance in inferring relationships between input data and…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-05-26 Keith T. Butler , Manh Duc Le , Jeyarajan Thiyagalingam , Toby G. Perring

An in-depth understanding of uncertainty is the first step to making effective decisions under uncertainty. Deep/machine learning (ML/DL) has been hugely leveraged to solve complex problems involved with processing high-dimensional data.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Zhen Guo , Zelin Wan , Qisheng Zhang , Xujiang Zhao , Feng Chen , Jin-Hee Cho , Qi Zhang , Lance M. Kaplan , Dong H. Jeong , Audun Jøsang

We propose a novel deep learning based surrogate model for solving high-dimensional uncertainty quantification and uncertainty propagation problems. The proposed deep learning architecture is developed by integrating the well-known U-net…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Sai Krishna Mendu , Souvik Chakraborty

We propose a framework that directly tackles the probability distribution of the value function parameters in Deep Q Network (DQN), with powerful variational inference subroutines to approximate the posterior of the parameters. We will…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Yunhao Tang , Alp Kucukelbir

Multifidelity surrogate modelling combines data of varying accuracy and cost from different sources. It strategically uses low-fidelity models for rapid evaluations, saving computational resources, and high-fidelity models for detailed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Daniel N Wilke

Computational Intelligence (CI) techniques have shown great potential as a surrogate model of expensive physics simulation, with demonstrated ability to make fast predictions, albeit at the expense of accuracy in some cases. For many…

Machine learning methods for the construction of data-driven reduced order model models are used in an increasing variety of engineering domains, especially as a supplement to expensive computational fluid dynamics for design problems. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-28 Stephen Guth , Alireza Mojahed , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Quantifying uncertainty in deep regression models is important both for understanding the confidence of the model and for safe decision-making in high-risk domains. Existing approaches that yield prediction intervals overlook distributional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Adriel Sosa Marco , John Daniel Kirwan , Alexia Toumpa , Simos Gerasimou

In machine learning for fluid mechanics, fully-connected neural network (FNN) only uses the local features for modelling, while the convolutional neural network (CNN) cannot be applied to data on structured/unstructured mesh. In order to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-01-14 Mengfei Xu , Shufang Song , Xuxiang Sun , Weiwei Zhang

The wind-tunnel experiment plays a critical role in the design and development phases of modern aircraft, which is limited by prohibitive cost. In contrast, numerical simulation, as an important alternative paradigm, mimics complex flow…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-30 Kai Li , Jiaqing Kou , Weiwei Zhang

With the rise of machine learning, inference on deep neural networks (DNNs) has become a core building block on the critical path for many cloud applications. Applications today rely on isolated ad-hoc deployments that force users to…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-01-24 Amit Samanta , Suhas Shrinivasan , Antoine Kaufmann , Jonathan Mace

We introduce the unbounded depth neural network (UDN), an infinitely deep probabilistic model that adapts its complexity to the training data. The UDN contains an infinite sequence of hidden layers and places an unbounded prior on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-22 Achille Nazaret , David Blei

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have shown to provide superb performance in many real life applications, but their large computation cost and storage requirement have prevented them from being deployed to many edge and internet-of-things (IoT)…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Minghai Qin , Tianyun Zhang , Fei Sun , Yen-Kuang Chen , Makan Fardad , Yanzhi Wang , Yuan Xie

We present a deep learning framework for quantifying and propagating uncertainty in systems governed by non-linear differential equations using physics-informed neural networks. Specifically, we employ latent variable models to construct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-26 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Deep neural networks (DNNs) play an important role in machine learning due to its outstanding performance compared to other alternatives. However, DNNs are not suitable for safety-critical applications since DNNs can be easily fooled by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Zhixin Pan , Prabhat Mishra

A rise in popularity of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), attributed to more powerful GPUs and widely available datasets, has seen them being increasingly used within safety-critical domains. One such domain, self-driving, has benefited from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Rhiannon Michelmore , Marta Kwiatkowska , Yarin Gal

The success of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) highly depends on data quality. Moreover, predictive uncertainty makes high performing DNNs risky for real-world deployment. In this paper, we aim to address these two issues by proposing a unified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Krishanu Sarker , Xiulong Yang , Yang Li , Saeid Belkasim , Shihao Ji

Deep neural network (DNN) regression models are widely used in applications requiring state-of-the-art predictive accuracy. However, until recently there has been little work on accurate uncertainty quantification for predictions from such…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-07 Nadja Klein , David J. Nott , Michael Stanley Smith

Currently, more and more machine learning (ML) surrogates are being developed for computationally expensive physical models. In this work we investigate the use of a Multi-Fidelity Ensemble Kalman Filter (MF-EnKF) in which the low-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Jeffrey van der Voort , Martin Verlaan , Hanne Kekkonen