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We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

Extreme Value Theory plays an important role to provide approximation results for the extremes of a sequence of independent random variables when their distribution is unknown. An important one is given by the {generalised Pareto…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

We introduce the concept of geometric extremal graphical models, which are defined through the gauge function of the limit set obtained from suitably scaled random vectors in light-tailed margins. For block graphs, we prove results relating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jennifer Wadsworth

In climate studies, detecting spatial patterns that largely deviate from the sample mean still remains a statistical challenge. Although a Principal Component Analysis (PCA), or equivalently a Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOF)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Alberto Bernacchia , Philippe Naveau

We propose a "small-uniform" statistic for the inference of the functional PCA estimator in a functional linear regression model. The literature has shown two extreme behaviors: on the one hand, the FPCA estimator does not converge in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Raymond C. W. Leung , Yu-Man Tam

The paper is concerned with asymptotic properties of the principal components analysis of functional data. The currently available results assume the existence of the fourth moment. We develop analogous results in a setting which does not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Piotr Kokoszka , Stilian Stoev , Qian Xiong

We establish a theory for multivariate extreme value analysis of dynamical systems. Namely, we provide conditions adapted to the dynamical setting which enable the study of dependence between extreme values of the components of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Romain Aimino , Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

Our contribution is to widen the scope of extreme value analysis applied to discrete-valued data. Extreme values of a random variable $X$ are commonly modeled using the generalized Pareto distribution, a method that often gives good results…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Adrien Hitz , Richard Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

Principal component analysis is an important pattern recognition and dimensionality reduction tool in many applications. Principal components are computed as eigenvectors of a maximum likelihood covariance $\widehat{\Sigma}$ that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-30 Raphael Hauser , Raul Kangro , Jüri Lember , Heinrich Matzinger

In multivariate extreme value analysis, the nature of the extremal dependence between variables should be considered when selecting appropriate statistical models. Interest often lies with determining which subsets of variables can take…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Jonathan A. Tawn

When considering d possibly dependent random variables, one is often interested in extreme risk regions, with very small probability p. We consider risk regions of the form ${\mathbf{z}\in\mathbb{R}^d:f(\mathbf{z})\leq\beta}$, where f is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Juan-Juan Cai , John H. J. Einmahl , Laurens de Haan

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a popular method for dimension reduction and has attracted an unfailing interest for decades. More recently, kernel PCA (KPCA) has emerged as an extension of PCA but, despite its use in practice, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Maxime Haddouche , Benjamin Guedj , John Shawe-Taylor

Functional principal component analysis (FPCA) has been widely used to capture major modes of variation and reduce dimensions in functional data analysis. However, standard FPCA based on the sample covariance estimator does not work well in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Guangxing Wang , Sisheng Liu , Fang Han , Chongzhi Di

When measurements fall below or above a detection threshold, the resulting data are missing not at random (MNAR), posing challenges for statistical analysis. For example, in longitudinal biomarker studies, observations may be subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Haiyan Liu , Jeanine Houwing-Duistermaat

We present a technique to perform dimensionality reduction on data that is subject to uncertainty. Our method is a generalization of traditional principal component analysis (PCA) to multivariate probability distributions. In comparison to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Jochen Görtler , Thilo Spinner , Dirk Streeb , Daniel Weiskopf , Oliver Deussen

Let $X,X_1,\dots, X_n$ be i.i.d. Gaussian random variables in a separable Hilbert space ${\mathbb H}$ with zero mean and covariance operator $\Sigma={\mathbb E}(X\otimes X),$ and let $\hat \Sigma:=n^{-1}\sum_{j=1}^n (X_j\otimes X_j)$ be the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-29 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Karim Lounici

We study the statistics of the maximum and minimum of a set of $N$ random variables whose dynamical and statistical properties fall within the scope of infinite ergodic theory. These non-stationary yet recurrent systems are described, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-09 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

In the era of big data, reducing data dimensionality is critical in many areas of science. Widely used Principal Component Analysis (PCA) addresses this problem by computing a low dimensional data embedding that maximally explain variance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-24 Soheil Feizi , David Tse

In this brief note, we formulate Principal Component Analysis (PCA) over datasets consisting not of points but of distributions, characterized by their location and covariance. Just like the usual PCA on points can be equivalently derived…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-26 Vlad Niculae

We study semiparametric factor models in high-dimensional panels where the factor loadings consist of a nonparametric component explained by observed covariates and an idiosyncratic component capturing unobserved heterogeneity. A key…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Sijie Zheng
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