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In this work, we propose a smart idea to couple importance sampling and Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). We advocate a per level approach with as many importance sampling parameters as the number of levels, which enables us to compute the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Ahmed Kebaier , Jérôme Lelong

Motivated mainly by applications to partial differential equations with random coefficients, we introduce a new class of Monte Carlo estimators, called Toeplitz Monte Carlo (TMC) estimator for approximating the integral of a multivariate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-14 Josef Dick , Takashi Goda , Hiroya Murata

In the field of computational finance, one is commonly interested in the expected value of a financial derivative whose payoff depends on the solution of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). For multi-dimensional SDEs with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-12 Chenxu Pang , Xiaojie Wang

We propose a methodology for computing single and multi-asset European option prices, and more generally expectations of scalar functions of (multivariate) random variables. This new approach combines the ability of Monte Carlo simulation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Damir Filipović , Kathrin Glau , Yuji Nakatsukasa , Francesco Statti

This paper investigates Monte Carlo (MC) methods to estimate probabilities of rare events associated with solutions to the $d$-dimensional McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equation (MV-SDE). MV-SDEs are usually approximated using a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Nadhir Ben Rached , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Shyam Mohan Subbiah Pillai , Raúl Tempone

In this paper, we present a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) version of the Stochastic Gradient (SG) method for optimization under uncertainty, in order to tackle Optimal Control Problems (OCP) where the constraints are described in the form…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Matthieu Martin , Fabio Nobile , Panagiotis Tsilifis

Parameter estimation in HEP experiments often involves Monte-Carlo simulation to model the experimental response function. A typical application are forward-folding likelihood analyses with re-weighting, or time-consuming minimization…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-06-12 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

In the study of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MV-SDEs), numerical approximation plays a crucial role in understanding the behavior of interacting particle systems (IPS). Classical Milstein schemes provide strong…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Jingtao Zhu , Yuying Zhao , Siqing Gan

Partial differential equation is a powerful tool to characterize various physics systems. In practice, measurement errors are often present and probability models are employed to account for such uncertainties. In this paper, we present a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-23 Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are ubiquitous in Bayesian computations. However, they need to access the full data set in order to evaluate the posterior density at every step of the algorithm. This results in a great…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-21 Mike Giles , Tigran Nagapetyan , Lukasz Szpruch , Sebastian Vollmer , Konstantinos Zygalakis

We propose an accurate data-driven numerical scheme to solve Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs), by taking large time steps. The SDE discretization is built up by means of a polynomial chaos expansion method, on the basis of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Shuaiqiang Liu , Lech A. Grzelak , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

We study statistical model checking of continuous-time stochastic hybrid systems. The challenge in applying statistical model checking to these systems is that one cannot simulate such systems exactly. We employ the multilevel Monte Carlo…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Rupak Majumdar , Tigran Nagapetyan

In this paper, we investigate the problem of strong approximation of the solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) when the drift coefficient is given in integral form. We investigate its upper error bounds, in terms of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Paweł Przybyłowicz , Michał Sobieraj

Backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) belong nowadays to the most frequently studied equations in stochastic analysis and computational stochastics. BSDEs in applications are often nonlinear and high-dimensional. In nearly all…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Martin Hutzenthaler , Arnulf Jentzen , Thomas Kruse , Tuan Anh Nguyen

A new method based on nesting Monte Carlo is developed to solve high-dimensional semi-linear PDEs. Convergence of the method is proved and its convergence rate studied. Results in high dimension for different kind of non-linearities show…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-15 Xavier Warin

We analyze and compare the computational complexity of different simulation strategies for Monte Carlo in the setting of classically scaled population processes. This allows a range of widely used competing strategies to be judged…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-05 David F. Anderson , Desmond J. Higham , Yu Sun

We describe and analyze some Monte Carlo methods for manifolds in Euclidean space defined by equality and inequality constraints. First, we give an MCMC sampler for probability distributions defined by un-normalized densities on such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Emilio Zappa , Miranda Holmes-Cerfon , Jonathan Goodman

The estimation of the probability of rare events is an important task in reliability and risk assessment. We consider failure events that are expressed in terms of a limit state function, which depends on the solution of a partial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Fabian Wagner , Jonas Latz , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

Many problems require to approximate an expected value by some kind of Monte Carlo (MC) sampling, e.g. molecular dynamics (MD) or simulation of stochastic reaction models (also termed kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC)). Often, we are furthermore…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-18 Sandra Döpking , Sebastian Matera

We formulate standard and multilevel Monte Carlo methods for the $k$th moment $\mathbb{M}^k_\varepsilon[\xi]$ of a Banach space valued random variable $\xi\colon\Omega\to E$, interpreted as an element of the $k$-fold injective tensor…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Kristin Kirchner , Christoph Schwab