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This paper considers the ruin problem with random premiums, whose densities have rational Laplace transforms, and investments in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Viktor Antipov

In the present paper the change of measures technique for compound mixed renewal processes, developed in Tzaninis & Macheras [24], is applied to the ruin problem in order to compute the ruin probability and to find upper and lower bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Spyridon M. Tzaninis

We propose a new method to construct a stationary process and random field with a given decreasing covariance function and any one-dimensional marginal distribution. The result is a new class of stationary processes and random fields. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-24 Jeonghwa Lee

The transient behaviour of highly concentrated colloidal liquids and dynamically arrested states (glasses) under time-dependent shear is reviewed. This includes both theoretical and experimental studies and comprises the macroscopic…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-09-03 K J Mutch , M Laurati , C P Amann , M Fuchs , S U Egelhaaf

In ruin theory, the net profit condition intuitively means that the incurred random claims on average do not occur more often than premiums are gained. The breach of the net profit condition causes guaranteed ruin in few but simple cases…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Andrius Grigutis , Arvydas Karbonskis , Jonas Šiaulys

Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

Many time series are effectively generated by a combination of deterministic continuous flows along with discrete jumps sparked by stochastic events. However, we usually do not have the equation of motion describing the flows, or how they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-09 Junteng Jia , Austin R. Benson

Random events in space and time often exhibit a locally dependent structure. When the events are very rare and dependent structure is not too complicated, various studies in the literature have shown that Poisson and compound Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-22 Aihua Xia , Fuxi Zhang

We present analytical investigations of a multiplicative stochastic process that models a simple investor dynamics in a random environment. The dynamics of the investor's budget, $x(t)$, depends on the stochasticity of the return on…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Emeterio Navarro , Ruben Cantero , Joao Rodrigues , Frank Schweitzer

Currently, legal requirements demand that insurance companies increase their emphasis on monitoring the risks linked to the underwriting and asset management activities. Regarding underwriting risks, the main uncertainties that insurers…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-19 Eduardo Ramos-Pérez , Pablo J. Alonso-González , José Javier Núñez-Velázquez

We consider a class of growth models and models of turbulence based on the randomly stirred fluid. The similarity between the predictions of these models, noted a decade earlier, is understood on the basis of a stochastic quantization…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Himadri S. Samanta , J. K. Bhattacharjee , D. Gangopadhyay

The laws of chance are often subtle and deceptive. This is why games of chance work. People are convinced that they obey seemingly intuitive laws, while the underlying mathematical structure reveals a different and more complex reality.…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Paolo Bartesaghi

In this work the ruin probability of the Lundberg risk process is used as a criterion for determining the optimal security loading of premia in the presence of price-sensitive demand for insurance. Both single and aggregated claim processes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Ragnar Levy Gudmundarson , Manuel Guerra , Alexandra Bugalho de Moura

Biological machines like molecular motors and enzymes operate in dynamic cycles representable as stochastic flows on networks. Current stochastic dynamics describes such flows on fixed networks. Here, we develop a scalable approach to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-02 Ying-Jen Yang , Ken A. Dill

Continuous-time stochastic systems have attracted a lot of attention recently, due to their wide-spread use in finance for modelling price-dynamics. More recently models taking into accounts shocks have been developed by assuming that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-07 L. Gerencser , M. Manfay

Based on the theory of stochastic chemical kinetics, the inherent randomness and stochasticity of biochemical reaction networks can be accurately described by discrete-state continuous-time Markov chains. The analysis of such processes is,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Andreychenko Alexander , Mikeev Linar , Wolf Verena

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

We initiate the study of multi-stage episodic reinforcement learning under adversarial corruptions in both the rewards and the transition probabilities of the underlying system extending recent results for the special case of stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Thodoris Lykouris , Max Simchowitz , Aleksandrs Slivkins , Wen Sun

We take a new look at the problem of disentangling the volatility and jumps processes of daily stock returns. We first provide a computational framework for the univariate stochastic volatility model with Poisson-driven jumps that offers a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

Most research designing novel predictive models, or employing existing ones, assumes that training and testing data are independent and identically distributed. In practice, the data encountered at serving time often deviate from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Hanyu Duan , Yi Yang , Ahmed Abbasi , Kar Yan Tam