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Gradient boosted decision trees are a popular machine learning technique, in part because of their ability to give good accuracy with small models. We describe two extensions to the standard tree boosting algorithm designed to increase this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-01 Natalia Ponomareva , Thomas Colthurst , Gilbert Hendry , Salem Haykal , Soroush Radpour

Machine learning has emerged as a promising paradigm for enabling connected, automated vehicles to autonomously cruise the streets and react to unexpected situations. A key challenge, however, is to collect and select real-time and reliable…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Alaa Awad Abdellatif , Carla Fabiana Chiasserini , Francesco Malandrino

Boosting is a general method of generating many simple classification rules and combining them into a single, highly accurate rule. In this talk, I will review the AdaBoost boosting algorithm and some of its underlying theory, and then look…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Robert E. Schapire

Bond prices are a reflection of extremely complex market interactions and policies, making prediction of future prices difficult. This task becomes even more challenging due to the dearth of relevant information, and accuracy is not the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-04 Swetava Ganguli , Jared Dunnmon

Travel time is a crucial measure in transportation. Accurate travel time prediction is also fundamental for operation and advanced information systems. A variety of solutions exist for short-term travel time predictions such as solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Jihed Khiari , Cristina Olaverri-Monreal

Gradient tree boosting is a prediction algorithm that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of decision trees, by solving an infinite-dimensional optimization problem. We combine gradient boosting and Nesterov's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-07 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre , Laurent Rouvìère

Price prediction is one of the examples related to forecasting tasks and is a project based on data science. Price prediction analyzes data and predicts the cost of new products. The goal of this research is to achieve an arrangement to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Aidin Zehtab-Salmasi , Ali-Reza Feizi-Derakhshi , Narjes Nikzad-Khasmakhi , Meysam Asgari-Chenaghlu , Saeideh Nabipour

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

The internet has changed the way we live, work and take decisions. As it is the major modern resource for research, detailed data on internet usage exhibits vast amounts of behavioral information. This paper aims to answer the question…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-02 Christopher Bockel-Rickermann

Motion prediction and cost evaluation are vital components in the decision-making system of autonomous vehicles. However, existing methods often ignore the importance of cost learning and treat them as separate modules. In this study, we…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Zhiyu Huang , Peter Karkus , Boris Ivanovic , Yuxiao Chen , Marco Pavone , Chen Lv

Accurate crude oil price prediction is crucial for financial decision-making. We propose a novel reservoir computing model for forecasting crude oil prices. It outperforms popular deep learning methods in most scenarios, as demonstrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Kaushal Kumar

Pricing decisions of companies require an understanding of the causal effect of a price change on the demand. When real-life pricing experiments are infeasible, data-driven decision-making must be based on alternative data sources such as…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-03 Lauri Valkonen , Santtu Tikka , Jouni Helske , Juha Karvanen

Modeling the behavior of stock price data has always been one of the challengeous applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) due to its high complexity and dependence on various conditions. Recent studies show…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-14 Xinyuan Song

Vehicle trajectory prediction is crucial for advancing autonomous driving and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS). Although deep learning-based approaches - especially those utilizing transformer-based and generative models - have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Junwei You , Rui Gan , Weizhe Tang , Zilin Huang , Jiaxi Liu , Zhuoyu Jiang , Haotian Shi , Keshu Wu , Keke Long , Sicheng Fu , Sikai Chen , Bin Ran

Besides serving as prediction models, classification trees are useful for finding important predictor variables and identifying interesting subgroups in the data. These functions can be compromised by weak split selection algorithms that…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-03 Wei-Yin Loh

In this paper we tackle the problem of point and probabilistic forecasting by describing a blending methodology of machine learning models that belong to gradient boosted trees and neural networks families. These principles were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Ioannis Nasios , Konstantinos Vogklis

Auctions are becoming an increasingly popular method for transacting business, especially over the Internet. This article presents a general approach to building autonomous bidding agents to bid in multiple simultaneous auctions for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-28 J. A. Csirik , M. L. Littman , D. McAllester , R. E. Schapire , P. Stone

Stock price prediction is a rich research topic that has attracted interest from various areas of science. The recent success of machine learning in speech and image recognition has prompted researchers to apply these methods to asset price…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-22 Firuz Kamalov

In recent years, machine learning (ML) techniques have become a powerful tool for improving the accuracy of predictions and decision-making. Machine learning technologies have begun to penetrate all areas, including the real estate sector.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Oleh Pastukh , Viktor Khomyshyn

Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) are hugely popular for solving tabular data problems. However, practitioners are not only interested in point predictions, but also in probabilistic predictions in order to quantify the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke