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Network point processes often exhibit latent structure that govern the behaviour of the sub-processes. It is not always reasonable to assume that this latent structure is static, and detecting when and how this driving structure changes is…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-14 Joshua Corneck , Edward A. K. Cohen , James S. Martin , Francesco Sanna Passino

This paper considers the identification of dynamic treatment effects with panel data, in complex designs where the treatment may not be binary and may not be absorbing. We first show that under no-anticipation and parallel-trends…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-23 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

Fixed effect estimators of nonlinear panel data models suffer from the incidental parameter problem. This leads to two undesirable consequences in applied research: (1) point estimates are subject to large biases, and (2) confidence…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-04-18 Shuowen Chen

Networks observed in real world like social networks, collaboration networks etc., exhibit temporal dynamics, i.e. nodes and edges appear and/or disappear over time. In this paper, we propose a generative, latent space based, statistical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Shubham Gupta , Gaurav Sharma , Ambedkar Dukkipati

This paper considers a class of GMM estimators for general dynamic panel models, allowing for weakly exogenous covariates and cross sectional dependence due to spatial lags, unspecified common shocks and time-varying interactive effects. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-28 Guido M. Kuersteiner , Ingmar R. Prucha

Preference-based data often appear complex and noisy but may conceal underlying homogeneous structures. This paper introduces a novel framework of ranking structure recognition for preference-based data. We first develop an approach to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Nan Lu , Jian Shi , Xin-Yu Tian

Scalable probabilistic modeling and prediction in high dimensional multivariate time-series is a challenging problem, particularly for systems with hidden sources of dependence and/or homogeneity. Examples of such problems include dynamic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-07 Forough Arabshahi , Furong Huang , Animashree Anandkumar , Carter T. Butts , Sean M. Fitshugh

We present an integrated approach for structure and parameter estimation in latent tree graphical models. Our overall approach follows a "divide-and-conquer" strategy that learns models over small groups of variables and iteratively merges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Furong Huang , Niranjan U. N. , Ioakeim Perros , Robert Chen , Jimeng Sun , Anima Anandkumar

Panel data, also known as longitudinal data, consist of a collection of time series. Each time series, which could itself be multivariate, comprises a sequence of measurements taken on a distinct unit. Mechanistic modeling involves writing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-27 Carles Bretó , Edward L. Ionides , Aaron A. King

This article analyzes the problem of estimating the time until an event occurs, also known as survival modeling. We observe through substantial experiments on large real-world datasets and use-cases that populations are largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 David Hubbard , Benoit Rostykus , Yves Raimond , Tony Jebara

Multi-relational networks among entities are frequently observed in the era of big data. Quantifying the effects of multiple networks have attracted significant research interest recently. In this work, we model multiple network effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Yimeng Ren , Xuening Zhu , Ganggang Xu , Yanyuan Ma

We build a simple diagnostic criterion for approximate factor structure in large cross-sectional equity datasets. Given a model for asset returns with observable factors, the criterion checks whether the error terms are weakly…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-08 Patrick Gagliardini , Elisa Ossola , Olivier Scaillet

Panel data often contain stayers (units with no within-variations) and slow movers (units with little within-variations). In the presence of many slow movers, conventional econometric methods can fail to work. We propose a novel method of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-14 Yuya Sasaki , Takuya Ura

In many applications, data can be heterogeneous in the sense of spanning latent groups with different underlying distributions. When predictive models are applied to such data the heterogeneity can affect both predictive performance and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-04 Thomas Lartigue , Sach Mukherjee

Economists often rely on estimates of linear fixed effects models produced by other teams of researchers. Assessing the uncertainty in these estimates can be challenging. I propose a form of sample splitting for networks that partitions the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-29 Patrick Kline

This paper develops a Mean Group Instrumental Variables (MGIV) estimator for spatial dynamic panel data models with interactive effects, under large N and T asymptotics. Unlike existing approaches that typically impose slope-parameter…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-31 Jia Chen , Guowei Cui , Vasilis Sarafidis , Takashi Yamagata

This paper introduces a straightforward sieve-based approach for estimating and conducting inference on regression parameters in panel data models with interactive fixed effects. The method's key assumption is that factor loadings can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-26 Georg Keilbar , Juan M. Rodriguez-Poo , Alexandra Soberon , Weining Wang

Recent advances in causal inference have seen the development of methods which make use of the predictive power of machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we develop novel double machine learning (DML) procedures for panel data in which…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-03 Paul S. Clarke , Annalivia Polselli

We develop a general estimation and inference procedure for the common parameters in linear panel data regression models with nonparametric two-way specification of unobserved heterogeneity. The procedure takes as input any first-step…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-08 Hugo Freeman , Dennis Kristensen

We consider a static linear panel model with both correlated and uncorrelated random coefficients, where the former can depend arbitrarily on observable regressors while the latter are independent of them. We provide sufficient conditions…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-21 Irene Botosaru , James L. Powell