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We present an early version of a Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Deceased (SEIRD) mathematical model based on partial differential equations coupled with a heterogeneous diffusion model. The model describes the spatio-temporal spread…

Mathematical models of SARS-CoV-2 spread are used for guiding the design of mitigation steps aimed at containing and decelerating the contagion, and at identifying impending breaches of health care system surge capacity. The challenges of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-17 Daniela Calvetti , Alexander Hoover , Johnie Rose , Erkki Somersalo

In this paper, we propose a realistic mathematical model taking into account the mutual interference among the interacting populations. This model attempts to describe the control (vaccination) function as a function of the number of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-11-18 V. Sree Hari Rao , M. Naresh Kumar

Susceptible-Invective-Recovered (SIR) mathematical models are in high demand due to the COVID-19 pandemic. They are used in their standard formulation, or through the many variants, trying to fit and hopefully predict the number of new…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-19 Ben-Hur Francisco Cardoso , Sebastián Gonçalves

Infectious diseases are a significant threat to human society which was over sighted before the incidence of COVID-19, although according to the report of the World Health Organisation (WHO) about 4.2 million people die annually due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-05 Md Shahzamal , Saeed Khan

Agent-Based Models are very useful for simulation of physical or social processes, such as the spreading of a pandemic in a city. Such models proceed by specifying the behavior of individuals (agents) and their interactions, and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Varun Madhavan , Adway Mitra , Partha Pratim Chakrabarti

The aim of this study is to propose a modified Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed (SEIR) model that describes the behaviour of symptomatic, asymptomatic and hospitalized patients of COVID-19 epidemic, including the effect of demographic…

Contagious respiratory diseases, such as COVID-19, depend on sufficiently prolonged exposures for the successful transmission of the underlying pathogen. It is important for organizations to evaluate the efficacy of interventions aiming at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-26 Chathika Gunaratne , Rene Reyes , Erik Hemberg , Una-May O'Reilly

The SIR-compartment model is among the simplest models that describe the spread of a disease through a population. The model makes the unrealistic assumption that the population through which the disease is spreading is well-mixed. Although…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-16 Ryan Wilkinson , Marcus Roper

The spread of infectious diseases crucially depends on the pattern of contacts among individuals. Knowledge of these patterns is thus essential to inform models and computational efforts. Few empirical studies are however available that…

We propose a dynamical model for describing the spread of epidemics. This model is an extension of the SIQR (susceptible-infected-quarantined-recovered) and SIRP (susceptible-infected-recovered-pathogen) models used earlier to describe…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-08 S. P. Lukyanets , I. S. Gandzha , O. V. Kliushnichenko

Violence against women occurs predominantly in the family and domestic context. The COVID-19 pandemic led Brazil to recommend and, at times, impose social distancing, with the partial closure of economic activities, schools, and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Lígia Mori Madeira , Bernardo Alves Furtado , Alan Rafael Dill

Computational multi-scale pandemic modelling remains a major and timely challenge. Here we identify specific requirements for a new class of models simulating pandemics across three scales: (1) pathogen evolution, often punctuated by the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-04 Quang Dang Nguyen , Sheryl L. Chang , Carl J. E. Suster , Rebecca J. Rockett , Vitali Sintchenko , Tania C. Sorrell , Mikhail Prokopenko

We propose a two-level information-theoretic framework for characterizing the informational organization of Agent-Based Model (ABM) dynamics within the broader paradigm of Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS). At the macro level, a pooled…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Roberto Garrone

Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), due to its extremely high infectivity, has been spreading rapidly around the world and bringing huge influence to socioeconomic development as well as people's daily life. Taking for example the virus…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Pei Lv , Quan Zhang , Boya Xu , Ran Feng , Chaochao Li , Junxiao Xue , Bing Zhou , Mingliang Xu

As of July, 2020, acute respiratory syndrome caused by coronavirus COVID-19 is spreading over the world and causing severe economic damages. While minimizing human contact is effective in managing the outbreak, it causes severe economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-28 Takeshi Kano , Kotaro Yasui , Taishi Mikami , Munehiro Asally , Akio Ishiguro

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

Modelling and computational methods have been essential in advancing quantitative science, especially in the past two decades with the availability of vast amount of complex, voluminous, and heterogeneous data. In particular, there has been…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Affan Shoukat , Seyed M. Moghadas

Compartmental models are a tool commonly used in epidemiology for the mathematical modelling of the spread of infectious diseases, with their most popular representative being the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model and its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-19 Lorenz Kummer , Kevin Sidak

Our work stems from the consideration that the spreading of a disease is modulated by the individual's perception of the infected neighborhood and his/her strategy to avoid being infected as well. We introduced a general ``cellular agent''…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-01-20 Luca Sguanci , Pietro Lio' , Franco Bagnoli