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Statisticians often face the choice between using probability models or a paradigm defined by minimising a loss function. Both approaches are useful and, if the loss can be re-cast into a proper probability model, there are many tools to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Jack Jewson , David Rossell

Bayesian learning provides a unified skeleton to solve the electrophysiological source imaging task. From this perspective, existing source imaging algorithms utilize the Gaussian assumption for the observation noise to build the likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Yuanhao Li , Badong Chen , Zhongxu Hu , Keita Suzuki , Wenjun Bai , Yasuharu Koike , Okito Yamashita

This paper proposes a generalization of Gaussian mixture models, where the mixture weight is allowed to behave as an unknown function of time. This model is capable of successfully capturing the features of the data, as demonstrated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-09 Michel H. Montoril , Leandro T. Correia , Helio S. Migon

A variance reduction technique in nonparametric smoothing is proposed: at each point of estimation, form a linear combination of a preliminary estimator evaluated at nearby points with the coefficients specified so that the asymptotic bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Ming-Yen Cheng , Liang Peng , Jyh-Shyang Wu

Hyperbolic balance laws with uncertain (random) parameters and inputs are ubiquitous in science and engineering. Quantification of uncertainty in predictions derived from such laws, and reduction of predictive uncertainty via data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Francesca Boso , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

Uncertainty quantification for image data is dominated by complex deep learning methods, yet the field lacks an interpretable, mathematically grounded baseline. We propose Bayesian scattering to fill this gap, serving as a first-step…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Bernardo Fichera , Zarko Ivkovic , Kjell Jorner , Philipp Hennig , Viacheslav Borovitskiy

Seemingly unrelated linear regression models are introduced in which the distribution of the errors is a finite mixture of Gaussian components. Identifiability conditions are provided. The score vector and the Hessian matrix are derived.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Giuliano Galimberti , Elena Scardovi , Gabriele Soffritti

We derive an exact and efficient Bayesian regression algorithm for piecewise constant functions of unknown segment number, boundary location, and levels. It works for any noise and segment level prior, e.g. Cauchy which can handle outliers.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter

The ubiquity of integrating detectors in imaging and other applications implies that a variety of real-world data are well modeled as Poisson random variables whose means are in turn proportional to an underlying vector-valued signal of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-15 Keigo Hirakawa , Patrick J. Wolfe

We propose a Bayesian method to detect change points for functional data. We extract the features of a sequence of functional data by the discrete wavelet transform (DWT), and treat each sequence of feature independently. We believe there…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-06 Xiuqi Li , Subhashis Ghosal

We study the multivariate deconvolution problem of recovering the distribution of a signal from independent and identically distributed observations additively contaminated with random errors (noise) from a known distribution. For errors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-28 Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

Significant advances have been made recently on training neural networks, where the main challenge is in solving an optimization problem with abundant critical points. However, existing approaches to address this issue crucially rely on a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-28 Weihao Gao , Ashok Vardhan Makkuva , Sewoong Oh , Pramod Viswanath

We consider the statistical problem of estimating constituent curves from observations of their aggregated curves, referred to as \textit{aggregated functional data}, in models with strictly positive random errors following a Gamma…

This paper considers reparameterization invariant Bayesian point estimates and credible regions of model parameters for scientific inference and communication. The effect of intrinsic loss function choice in Bayesian intrinsic estimates and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-23 Aki Vehtari

Simulation from the truncated multivariate normal distribution in high dimensions is a recurrent problem in statistical computing, and is typically only feasible using approximate MCMC sampling. In this article we propose a minimax tilting…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-15 Z. I. Botev

We consider the regression problem of estimating functions on $\mathbb{R}^D$ but supported on a $d$-dimensional manifold $ \mathcal{M} \subset \mathbb{R}^D $ with $ d \ll D $. Drawing ideas from multi-resolution analysis and nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-14 Wenjing Liao , Mauro Maggioni , Stefano Vigogna

We investigate shrinkage priors for constructing Bayesian predictive distributions. It is shown that there exist shrinkage predictive distributions asymptotically dominating Bayesian predictive distributions based on the Jeffreys prior or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Fumiyasu Komaki

Weak gravitational lensing provides a unique method to directly measure the distribution of mass in the universe. Because the distortions induced by lensing in the shape of background galaxies are small, the measurement of weak lensing…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 Alexandre Refregier , David Bacon

We investigate the nonlinear regression problem under L2 loss (square loss) functions. Traditional nonlinear regression models often result in non-convex optimization problems with respect to the parameter set. We show that a convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

In this work, we study the use of logistic regression in manufacturing failures detection. As a data set for the analysis, we used the data from Kaggle competition Bosch Production Line Performance. We considered the use of machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-31 B. Pavlyshenko