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Single-molecule force spectroscopy (smFS) is a powerful approach to studying molecular self-organization. However, the coupling of the molecule with the ever-present experimental device introduces artifacts, that complicates the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-04-25 Lars Dingeldein , Pilar Cossio , Roberto Covino

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables cosmological parameter estimation when closed-form likelihoods or models are unavailable. However, SBI relies on machine learning for neural compression and density estimation. This requires large…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-29 Alex A. Saoulis , Davide Piras , Niall Jeffrey , Alessio Spurio Mancini , Ana M. G. Ferreira , Benjamin Joachimi

Making inferences about physical properties of the Universe requires knowledge of the data likelihood. A Gaussian distribution is commonly assumed for the uncertainties with a covariance matrix estimated from a set of simulations. The noise…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-09 Jed Homer , Oliver Friedrich , Daniel Gruen

Performing inference over simulators is generally intractable as their runtime means we cannot compute a marginal likelihood. We develop a likelihood-free inference method to infer parameters for a cardiac simulator, which replicates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-12 Adam McCarthy , Blanca Rodriguez , Ana Minchole

A central problem in biomechanical studies of personalised human left ventricular (LV) modelling is estimating the material properties and biophysical parameters from in-vivo clinical measurements in a time frame suitable for use within a…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-16 Vinny Davies , Umberto Noè , Alan Lazarus , Hao Gao , Benn Macdonald , Colin Berry , Xiaoyu Luo , Dirk Husmeier

Purpose: To show some preliminary results about the possibility to exploit a cardiovascular mathematical model - made patient-specific by noninvasive data routinely measured during ordinary clinical examinations - in order to obtain…

Medical Physics · Physics 2021-01-22 Caterina Gallo , Joakim Olbers , Luca Ridolfi , Stefania Scarsoglio , Nils Witt

Prediction algorithms, such as deep neural networks (DNNs), are used in many domain sciences to directly estimate internal parameters of interest in simulator-based models, especially in settings where the observations include images or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Luca Masserano , Tommaso Dorigo , Rafael Izbicki , Mikael Kuusela , Ann B. Lee

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of in-silico epidemiological modelling in predicting the dynamics of infectious diseases to inform health policy and decision makers about suitable prevention and containment strategies.…

Analysing the haemodynamics of flow in carotid artery disease serves as a means to better understand the development and progression of associated complex diseases. Carotid artery disease can predispose people to major adverse…

Since the turn of the millennium, computational modelling of biological systems has evolved remarkably and sees matured use spanning basic and clinical research. While the topic of the peri-millennial debate about the virtues and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-05 Axel Loewe , Peter J. Hunter , Peter Kohl

Accurate condition monitoring of industrial equipment requires inferring latent degradation parameters from indirect sensor measurements under uncertainty. While traditional Bayesian methods like Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Peter Collett , Alexander Johannes Stasik , Simone Casolo , Signe Riemer-Sørensen

Simulation-based inference (SBI) has become an important tool in cosmology for extracting additional information from observational data using simulations. However, all cosmological simulations are approximations of the actual universe, and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-08 Sébastien Pierre , Bruno Régaldo-Saint Blancard , ChangHoon Hahn , Michael Eickenberg

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) offers a principled and flexible framework for conducting Bayesian inference in any situation where forward simulations are feasible. However, validating the accuracy and reliability of the inferred…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-21 James Alvey , Carlo R. Contaldi , Mauro Pieroni

We propose a multi-patient inverse modeling framework for identifying effective calcium and citrate diffusion coefficients in hollow-fiber hemodialysis devices. The approach relies on a coupled forward model combining axisymmetric fluid…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Geoffrey Lacour , Nicolae Cîndea , Julien Aniort

Circular biomarkers arise naturally in many biomedical applications, particularly in ophthalmology, where angular measurements such as astigmatism are routinely recorded. Similar directional variables also occur in the study of human body…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Buddhananda Banerjee , Surojit Biswas , Daitari Prusty

Scientists and engineers use simulators to model empirically observed phenomena. However, tuning the parameters of a simulator to ensure its outputs match observed data presents a significant challenge. Simulation-based inference (SBI)…

Simulation-based Bayesian inference (SBI) can be used to estimate the parameters of complex mechanistic models given observed model outputs without requiring access to explicit likelihood evaluations. A prime example for the application of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Jonas Beck , Michael Deistler , Yves Bernaerts , Jakob Macke , Philipp Berens

This work aims at identifying and quantifying uncertainties related to elastic and viscoelastic parameters, which characterize the arterial wall behavior, in one-dimensional modeling of the human arterial hemodynamics. The chosen uncertain…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-02-12 Giulia Bertaglia , Valerio Caleffi , Lorenzo Pareschi , Alessandro Valiani

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables Bayesian analysis when the likelihood is intractable but model simulations are available. Recent advances in statistics and machine learning, including Approximate Bayesian Computation and deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Haoyu Jiang , Yuexi Wang , Yun Yang

Amortized simulation-based inference (SBI) methods train neural networks on simulated data to perform Bayesian inference. While this strategy avoids the need for tractable likelihoods, it often requires a large number of simulations and has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Manuel Gloeckler , Shoji Toyota , Kenji Fukumizu , Jakob H. Macke