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We give examples of data-generating models under which Breiman's random forest may be extremely slow to converge to the optimal predictor or even fail to be consistent. The evidence provided for these properties is based on mostly intuitive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-01 José A. Ferreira

Deep neural network training spends most of the computation on examples that are properly handled, and could be ignored. We propose to mitigate this phenomenon with a principled importance sampling scheme that focuses computation on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Angelos Katharopoulos , François Fleuret

Random Forests have become a widely used tool in machine learning since their introduction in 2001, known for their strong performance in classification and regression tasks. One key feature of Random Forests is the Random Forest…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Nico Föge , Lena Schmid , Marc Ditzhaus , Markus Pauly

This study presents an importance sampling formulation based on adaptively relaxing parameters from the indicator function and/or the probability density function. The formulation embodies the prevalent mathematical concept of relaxing a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-11 Jianhua Xian , Ziqi Wang

Random forest (RF) stands out as a highly favored machine learning approach for classification problems. The effectiveness of RF hinges on two key factors: the accuracy of individual trees and the diversity among them. In this study, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Ye-eun Kim , Seoung Yun Kim , Hyunjoong Kim

We attempt to give a unifying view of the various recent attempts to (i) improve the interpretability of tree-based models and (ii) debias the the default variable-importance measure in random Forests, Gini importance. In particular, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-01 Markus Loecher

Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimation at high confidence levels is inherently a rare-event problem and is particularly sensitive to tail behavior and model misspecification. This paper studies the performance of two simulation-based VaR estimation…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Aditri

Random forest regression (RF) is an extremely popular tool for the analysis of high-dimensional data. Nonetheless, its benefits may be lessened in sparse settings due to weak predictors, and a pre-estimation dimension reduction (targeting)…

Random Forest (Breiman, 2001) is a successful and widely used regression and classification algorithm. Part of its appeal and reason for its versatility is its (implicit) construction of a kernel-type weighting function on training data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-13 Domagoj Ćevid , Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

Random Forest (RFs) are among the most widely used Machine Learning (ML) classifiers. Even though RFs are not interpretable, there are no dedicated non-heuristic approaches for computing explanations of RFs. Moreover, there is recent work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Yacine Izza , Joao Marques-Silva

This paper discusses the critical decision process of extracting or selecting the features in a supervised learning context. It is often confusing to find a suitable method to reduce dimensionality. There are pros and cons to deciding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Jean-Sébastien Dessureault , Daniel Massicotte

Earth's forests play an important role in the fight against climate change, and are in turn negatively affected by it. Effective monitoring of different tree species is essential to understanding and improving the health and biodiversity of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Venkatesh Ramesh , Arthur Ouaknine , David Rolnick

This paper investigates tree species classification using Sentinel-2 multispectral satellite image time-series. Despite their critical importance for many applications, such maps are often unavailable, outdated, or inaccurate for large…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-28 Florian Mouret , David Morin , Milena Planells , Cécile Vincent-Barbaroux

This paper proposes a new method for interpreting and simplifying a black box model of a deep random forest (RF) using a proposed rule elimination. In deep RF, a large number of decision trees are connected to multiple layers, thereby…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Sangwon Kim , Mira Jeong , Byoung Chul Ko

Random forests are a statistical learning technique that use bootstrap aggregation to average high-variance and low-bias trees. Improvements to random forests, such as applying Lasso regression to the tree predictions, have been proposed in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-13 Jing Shang , James Bannon , Benjamin Haibe-Kains , Robert Tibshirani

The choice of parameters in neural networks is crucial in the performance, and an oracle distribution derived from the ridgelet transform enables us to obtain suitable initial parameters. In other words, the distribution of parameters is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Hikaru Homma , Jun Ohkubo

Stock trend forecasting, a challenging problem in the financial domain, involves ex-tensive data and related indicators. Relying solely on empirical analysis often yields unsustainable and ineffective results. Machine learning researchers…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-10 Saber Talazadeh , Dragan Perakovic

This paper introduces a generalised version of importance subsampling for time series reduction/aggregation in optimisation-based power system planning models. Recent studies indicate that reliably determining optimal electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-26 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

Model interpretation is one of the key aspects of the model evaluation process. The explanation of the relationship between model variables and outputs is relatively easy for statistical models, such as linear regressions, thanks to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-05 Anna Palczewska , Jan Palczewski , Richard Marchese Robinson , Daniel Neagu