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High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

Nonstationary Gaussian process models can capture complex spatially varying dependence structures in spatial datasets. However, the large number of observations in modern datasets makes fitting such models computationally intractable with…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-13 Paul G. Beckman , Christopher J. Geoga , Michael L. Stein , Mihai Anitescu

A key challenge with controlling complex dynamical systems is to accurately model them. However, this requirement is very hard to satisfy in practice. Data-driven approaches such as Gaussian processes (GPs) have proved quite effective by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Mouhyemen Khan , Akash Patel , Abhijit Chatterjee

Gaussian processes (GPs) are instrumental in modeling spatial processes, offering precise interpolation and prediction capabilities across fields such as environmental science and biology. Recently, there has been growing interest in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Jiawen Chen , Aritra Halder , Yun Li , Sudipto Banerjee , Didong Li

In this paper we introduce a novel model for Gaussian process (GP) regression in the fully Bayesian setting. Motivated by the ideas of sparsification, localization and Bayesian additive modeling, our model is built around a recursive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Hengrui Luo , Giovanni Nattino , Matthew T. Pratola

To reduce the cost of estimating the probability of a rare event involving a very large number of random parameters, we propose a new strategy for dimension reduction coupled with a surrogate model for the expensive part of the algorithm.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-01 Valentin Breaz , Miguel Munoz Zuniga , Olivier Zahm , Richard Wilkinson

Gaussian processes (GP) are a popular and powerful tool for spatial modelling of data, especially data that quantify environmental processes. However, in stationary form, whether covariance is isotropic or anisotropic, GPs may lack the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Benjamin D. Youngman

We introduce a method to construct a stochastic surrogate model from the results of dimensionality reduction in forward uncertainty quantification. The hypothesis is that the high-dimensional input augmented by the output of a computational…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang

Gaussian Process (GP) regressions have proven to be a valuable tool to predict disturbances and model mismatches and incorporate this information into a Model Predictive Control (MPC) prediction. Unfortunately, the computational complexity…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-17 Niklas Schmid , Jonas Gruner , Hossam S. Abbas , Philipp Rostalski

Learning dynamical models from data is not only fundamental but also holds great promise for advancing principle discovery, time-series prediction, and controller design. Among various approaches, Gaussian Process State-Space Models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Haipeng Chen , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong , Xu Huang

This manuscript is superseded by Constantine, Dow, and Wang's "Active Subspaces in Theory and Practice: Applications to Kriging Surfaces" [SIAM J. of Sci. Comput., 36 (2014), pp. A1500-A1524]. Many multivariate functions encountered in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-26 Paul G. Constantine , Qiqi Wang

We show how random subspace methods can be adapted to estimating local projections with many controls. Random subspace methods have their roots in the machine learning literature and are implemented by averaging over regressions estimated…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-04 Viet Hoang Dinh , Didier Nibbering , Benjamin Wong

Bayes linear analysis and approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are techniques commonly used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models. In this article we connect these ideas by demonstrating that regression-adjustment ABC algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-10 D. J. Nott , Y. Fan , L. Marshall , S. A. Sisson

Multi-channel imaging data is a prevalent data format in scientific fields such as astronomy and biology. The structured information and the high dimensionality of these 3-D tensor data makes the analysis an intriguing but challenging topic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-15 Hu Sun , Ward Manchester , Meng Jin , Yang Liu , Yang Chen

The saddle point (SP) calculation is a grand challenge for computationally intensive energy function in computational chemistry area, where the saddle point may represent the transition state (TS). The traditional methods need to evaluate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-08 Shuting Gu , Hongqiao Wang , Xiang Zhou

Modeling time series data remains a pervasive issue as the temporal dimension is inherent to numerous domains. Despite significant strides in time series forecasting, high noise-to-signal ratio, non-normality, non-stationarity, and lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Insu Choi , Woosung Koh , Gimin Kang , Yuntae Jang , Woo Chang Kim

Gaussian processes are probabilistic models that are commonly used as functional priors in machine learning. Due to their probabilistic nature, they can be used to capture the prior information on the statistics of noise, smoothness of the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-02 Ahmad Farooq , Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Simo Särkkä

Computer models are used as replacements for physical experiments in a large variety of applications. Nevertheless, direct use of the computer model for the ultimate scientific objective is often limited by the complexity and cost of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-03 Sonja Surjanovic , William J. Welch

The numerical solution of algebraic tensor equations is a largely open and challenging task. Assuming that the operator is symmetric and positive definite, we propose two new gradient-descent type methods for tensor equations that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Martina Iannacito , Lorenzo Piccinini , Valeria Simoncini

We present the first treatment of the arc length of the Gaussian Process (GP) with more than a single output dimension. GPs are commonly used for tasks such as trajectory modelling, where path length is a crucial quantity of interest.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-24 Justin D. Bewsher , Alessandra Tosi , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts