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In this paper, we address the issue of modeling and estimating changes in the state of the spatio-temporal dynamical systems based on a sequence of observations like video frames. Traditional numerical simulation systems depend largely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Kun Wang , Hao Wu , Guibin Zhang , Junfeng Fang , Yuxuan Liang , Yuankai Wu , Roger Zimmermann , Yang Wang

Discretization is a fundamental step in numerical analysis for the problems described by differential equations, and the difference between the continuous model and discrete model is one of the most important problems. In this paper, we…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-09-03 Fumihiko Hirosawa

Path-wise observables--functionals of stochastic trajectories--are at the heart of time-average statistical mechanics and are central to thermodynamic inequalities such as uncertainty relations, speed limits, and correlation-bounds. They…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-21 Lars Torbjørn Stutzer , Cai Dieball , Aljaž Godec

In this paper we study the randomized heat equation with homogeneous boundary conditions. The diffusion coeffcient is assumed to be a random variable and the initial condition is treated as a stochastic process. The solution of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 J. Calatayud , J. -C. Cortes , M. Jornet

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDE) on graphs were introduced by Cerrai and Freidlin [Ann. Inst. Henri Poincar\'e Probab. Stat. 53 (2017) 865-899]. This class of stochastic equations in infinite dimensions provides a minimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Wai-Tong Louis Fan

We propose a one-dimensional (1D) diffusion equation (heat equation) for systems in which the diffusion constant (thermal diffusivity) varies alternately with a spatial period $a$. We solve the time evolution of the field (temperature)…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2022-04-18 S. Makino , T. Fukui , T. Yoshida , Y. Hatsugai

The aim of this work is to estimate the drift coefficient of a fractional heat equation driven by an additive space-time noise using the Maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). In the first part of the paper, the first $N$ Fourier modes of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Soukaina Douissi , Fatimah Alshahrani

In this article, we consider the stochastic heat equation $du=(\Delta u+f(t,x))dt+ \sum_{k=1}^{\infty} g^{k}(t,x) \delta \beta_t^k, t \in [0,T]$, with random coefficients $f$ and $g^k$, driven by a sequence $(\beta^k)_k$ of i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-14 Raluca Balan

We develop adaptive time-stepping strategies for It\^o-type stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with jump perturbations. Our approach builds on adaptive strategies for SDEs. Adaptive methods can ensure strong convergence of nonlinear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Cónall Kelly , Gabriel Lord , Fandi Sun

Probabilistic forecasts of renewable energy production provide users with valuable information about the uncertainty associated with the expected generation. Current state-of-the-art forecasts for solar irradiance have focused on producing…

Applications · Statistics 2013-10-28 Emil B. Iversen , Juan M. Morales , Jan K. Møller , Henrik Madsen

We deal with a class of semilinear SPDEs driven by space-time white noise that includes the one dimensional stochastic Burgers equation. Such equations can have nonlocal and quadratic nonlinearities. We consider the problem of estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Josef Janák , Enrico Priola

A three-point monotone difference scheme is proposed for solving a one-dimensional non-stationary convection-diffusion-reaction equation with variable coefficients. The scheme is based on a parabolic spline and allows to linearly reproduce…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2017-12-25 O. Stelia , L. Potapenko , I. Sirenko

This is an expository article on the score-based diffusion models, with a particular focus on the formulation via stochastic differential equations (SDE). After a gentle introduction, we discuss the two pillars in the diffusion modeling --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Wenpin Tang , Hanyang Zhao

Inferring a diffusion equation from discretely-observed measurements is a statistical challenge of significant importance in a variety of fields, from single-molecule tracking in biophysical systems to modeling financial instruments.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-12 Yinuo Ren , Yiping Lu , Lexing Ying , Grant M. Rotskoff

We introduce a new variational estimator for the intensity function of an inhomogeneous spatial point process with points in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space and observed within a bounded region. The variational estimator applies in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jesper Møller

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

We consider the initial boundary value problem of non-homogeneous stochastic heat equation. The derivative of the solution with respect to time receives heavy random perturbation. The space boundary is Lipschitz and we impose non-zero…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-07-01 Tongkeun Chang , Kijung Lee , Minsuk Yang

We consider the generic divergence form second order parabolic equation with coefficients that are regular in the spatial variables and just measurable in time. We show that the spatial derivatives of its fundamental solution admit upper…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Marina Kleptsyna , Andrey Piatnitski , Alexandre Popier

There is a history of simple forecast error growth models designed to capture the key properties of error growth in operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. We propose here such a scalar model that relies on the previous ones…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-02 Eviatar Bach , Dan Crisan , Michael Ghil

We propose a predictor-corrector adaptive method for the study of hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs) under uncertainty. Constructed around the framework of stochastic finite volume (SFV) methods, our approach circumvents…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-24 Jake J. Harmon , Svetlana Tokareva , Anatoly Zlotnik , Pieter J. Swart