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We introduce random spatial forests, a method of bagging regression trees allowing for spatial correlation. Our main contribution is the development of a computationally efficient tree building algorithm which selects each split of the tree…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-24 Travis Hee Wai , Michael T. Young , Adam A. Szpiro

Complex engineered systems require coordinated design choices across heterogeneous components under multiple conflicting objectives and uncertain specifications. Monotone co-design provides a compositional framework for such problems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Yujun Huang , Gioele Zardini

Stochastic kriging is a popular metamodeling technique for representing the unknown response surface of a simulation model. However, the simulation model may be inadequate in the sense that there may be a non-negligible discrepancy between…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-14 Lu Zou , Xiaowei Zhang

Computer experiments are pivotal for modeling complex real-world systems. Maximizing information extraction and ensuring accurate surrogate modeling necessitates space-filling designs, where design points extensively cover the input domain.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-01 Hui Lan , Xu He

In decommissioning projects of nuclear facilities, the radiological characterisation step aims to estimate the quantity and spatial distribution of different radionuclides. To carry out the estimation, measurements are performed on site to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-15 Martin Wieskotten , Marielle Crozet , Bertrand Iooss , Céline Lacaux , Amandine Marrel

Algorithms for machine learning-guided design, or design algorithms, use machine learning-based predictions to propose novel objects with desired property values. Given a new design task -- for example, to design novel proteins with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Clara Fannjiang , Ji Won Park

Surrogate models provide a low computational cost alternative to evaluating expensive functions. The construction of accurate surrogate models with large numbers of independent variables is currently prohibitive because it requires a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-10 Mohamed Amine Bouhlel , Joaquim R. R. A. Martins

In various industrial contexts, estimating the distribution of unobserved random vectors Xi from some noisy indirect observations H(Xi) + Ui is required. If the relation between Xi and the quantity H(Xi), measured with the error Ui, is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Shuai Fu , Mathieu Couplet , Nicolas Bousquet

Kriging and Gaussian Process Regression are statistical methods that allow predicting the outcome of a random process or a random field by using a sample of correlated observations. In other words, the random process or random field is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Marius Marinescu

This article studies the benefits of using spatially randomized experimental designs which partition the experimental area into distinct, non-overlapping units with treatments assigned randomly. Such designs offer improved policy evaluation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Ying Yang , Chengchun Shi , Fang Yao , Shouyang Wang , Hongtu Zhu

In the last few decades, the size of spatial and spatio-temporal datasets in many research areas has rapidly increased with the development of data collection technologies. As a result, classical statistical methods in spatial statistics…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-11-08 Sameh Abdulah , Faten Alamri , Pratik Nag , Ying Sun , Hatem Ltaief , David E. Keyes , Marc G. Genton

Kriging is an efficient machine-learning tool, which allows to obtain an approximate response of an investigated phenomenon on the whole parametric space. Adaptive schemes provide a the ability to guide the experiment yielding new sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Jan N. Fuhg , Amelie Fau

The increasing recognition of the association between adverse human health conditions and many environmental substances as well as processes has led to the need to monitor them. An important problem that arises in environmental statistics…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-05 Yu Wang , Nhu D. Le , James V. Zidek

In the Big Data era, with the ubiquity of geolocation sensors in particular, massive datasets exhibiting a possibly complex spatial dependence structure are becoming increasingly available. In this context, the standard probabilistic theory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-05 Emilia Siviero , Emilie Chautru , Stephan Clémençon

The present study proposes a data-driven framework trained with high-fidelity simulation results to facilitate decision making for combustor designs. At its core is a surrogate model employing a machine-learning technique called kriging,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-09-25 Shiang-Ting Yeh , Xingjian Wang , Chih-Li Sung , Simon Mak , Yu-Hung Chang , Liwei Zhang , C. F. Jeff Wu , Vigor Yang

Environmental monitoring is a task that requires to surrogate system-wide information with limited sensor readings. Under the proximity principle, an environmental monitoring system can be based on the virtual sensing logic and then rely on…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-17 M. Lambardi di San Miniato , R. Bellio , L. Grassetti , P. Vidoni

The paper covers the design and analysis of experiments to discriminate between two Gaussian process models, such as those widely used in computer experiments, kriging, sensor location and machine learning. Two frameworks are considered.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Elham Yousefi , Luc Pronzato , Markus Hainy , Werner G. Müller , Henry P. Wynn

We introduce a sparse estimation in the ordinary kriging for functional data. The functional kriging predicts a feature given as a function at a location where the data are not observed by a linear combination of data observed at other…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Hidetoshi Matsui , Yuya Yamakawa

This paper addresses the use of experimental data for calibrating a computer model and improving its predictions of the underlying physical system. A global statistical approach is proposed in which the bias between the computer model and…

Applications · Statistics 2013-02-27 François Bachoc , Guillaume Bois , Josselin Garnier , Jean-Marc Martinez

Kriging is an established methodology for predicting spatial data in geostatistics. Current kriging techniques can handle linear dependencies on spatially referenced covariates. Although splines have shown promise in capturing nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Bryan Sumalinab , Oswaldo Gressani , Niel Hens , Christel Faes