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We develop a data-driven approach for runtime safety monitoring in flight testing, where pilots perform maneuvers on aircraft with uncertain parameters. Because safety violations can arise unexpectedly as a result of these uncertainties,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Aaron O. Feldman , D. Isaiah Harp , Joseph Duncan , Mac Schwager

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

This article presents an in-depth review of the topic of path following for autonomous robotic vehicles, with a specific focus on vehicle motion in two dimensional space (2D). From a control system standpoint, path following can be…

Understanding motorist detouring behavior is critical for both traffic operations and planning applications. However, measuring real-world detouring behavior is challenging due to the need to track the movement of individual vehicles.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Mark Franz PhD , Sara Zahedian PhD , Dhairya Parekh , Tahsin Emtenam PhD , Greg Jordan

Vehicle route prediction is one of the significant tasks in vehicles mobility. It is one of the means to reduce the accidents and increase comfort in human life. The task of route prediction becomes simpler with the development of certain…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ali Nawaz , Attique Ur Rehman

Automotive insurers increasingly have access to telematic information via black-box recorders installed in the insured vehicle, and wish to identify undesirable behaviour which may signify increased risk or uninsured activities. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-23 Mark McLeod , Bernardo Perez-Orozco , Nika Lee , Davide Zilli

Safety validation of autonomous driving systems is extremely challenging due to the high risks and costs of real-world testing as well as the rarity and diversity of potential failures. To address these challenges, we train a denoising…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Juanran Wang , Marc R. Schlichting , Harrison Delecki , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

This paper analyzes the car following behavioral stochasticity based on two sets of field experimental trajectory data by measuring the wave travel time series of vehicle n. The analysis shows that (i) No matter the speed of leading vehicle…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-11-06 Junfang Tian , Chenqiang Zhu , Danjue Chen , Rui Jiang , Guanying Wang , Ziyou Gao

This paper introduces a data-driven traffic microsimulation framework in CARLA that reconstructs real-world wave dynamics using high-fidelity time-space data from the I-24 MOTION testbed. Calibration of road networks in microsimulators to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Alex Richardson , Azhar Hasan , Gabor Karsai , Jonathan Sprinkle

This paper firstly show that a recent model (Tian et al., Transpn. Res. B 71, 138-157, 2015) is not able to well replicate the evolution concavity in traffic flow, i.e. the standard deviation of vehicles increases in a concave/linear way…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2015-07-16 Junfang Tian , Rui Jiang , Guangyu Li , Martin Treiber , Ning Jia , Shoufeng Ma

Predicting travel times of vehicles in urban settings is a useful and tangible quantity of interest in the context of intelligent transportation systems. We address the problem of travel time prediction in arterial roads using data sampled…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-17 Avinash Achar , Venkatesh Sarangan , R Rohith , Anand Sivasubramaniam

Discovering potential failures of an autonomous system is important prior to deployment. Falsification-based methods are often used to assess the safety of such systems, but the cost of running many accurate simulation can be high. The…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Marc R. Schlichting , Nina V. Boord , Anthony L. Corso , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

This paper demonstrates accurate traffic modeling and forecast using stochastic cell-automata (CA) and distributed fiber-optic sensing (DFOS). Traffic congestion is a dominant issue in highways. To reduce congestion, real-time traffic…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2025-11-24 Yoshiyuki Yajima , Takahiro Kumura

Verifying the correctness of Bayesian computation is challenging. This is especially true for complex models that are common in practice, as these require sophisticated model implementations and algorithms. In this paper we introduce…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-22 Sean Talts , Michael Betancourt , Daniel Simpson , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

The urban intersection is a typically dynamic and complex scenario for intelligent vehicles, which exists a variety of driving behaviors and traffic participants. Accurately modelling the driver behavior at the intersection is essential for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Zirui Li , Chao Lu , Cheng Gong , Cheng Gong , Jinghang Li , Lianzhen Wei

Based on a detailed microscopic test scenario motivated by recent empirical studies of single-vehicle data, several cellular automaton models for traffic flow are compared. We find three levels of agreement with the empirical data: 1)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Wolfgang Knospe , Ludger Santen , Andreas Schadschneider , Michael Schreckenberg

In this work, we introduce a novel first-order nonlocal partial differential equation with saturated diffusion to describe the macroscopic behavior of traffic dynamics. We show how the proposed model is better in comparison with existing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Dawson Do , Hossein Nick Zinat Matin , Masuma Mollika Miti , Maria Laura Delle Monache

Most autonomous-vehicles (AVs) driving strategies are designed and analyzed at the vehicle level, yet their aggregate impact on macroscopic traffic flow is still not understood, particularly the flow heterogeneity that emerges when AVs…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-14 Chenguang Zhao , Huan Yu

Accurate prediction of future agent trajectories is a critical challenge for ensuring safe and efficient autonomous navigation, particularly in complex urban environments characterized by multiple plausible future scenarios. In this paper,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Haichuan Li , Tomi Westerlund

We propose a physics-based method to learn environmental fields (EFs) using a mobile robot. Common purely data-driven methods require prohibitively many measurements to accurately learn such complex EFs. Alternatively, physics-based models…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Reza Khodayi-mehr , Michael M. Zavlanos
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