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Distributional robustness is a central goal of prediction algorithms due to the prevalent distribution shifts in real-world data. The prediction model aims to minimize the worst-case risk among a class of distributions, a.k.a., an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Marin Šola , Peter Bühlmann , Xinwei Shen

The adversarial vulnerability of deep neural networks has attracted significant attention in machine learning. As causal reasoning has an instinct for modelling distribution change, it is essential to incorporate causality into analyzing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Yonggang Zhang , Mingming Gong , Tongliang Liu , Gang Niu , Xinmei Tian , Bo Han , Bernhard Schölkopf , Kun Zhang

This PhD thesis contains several contributions to the field of statistical causal modeling. Statistical causal models are statistical models embedded with causal assumptions that allow for the inference and reasoning about the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Martin Emil Jakobsen

While probabilistic models describe the dependence structure between observed variables, causal models go one step further: they predict, for example, how cognitive functions are affected by external interventions that perturb neuronal…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-12 Sebastian Weichwald , Jonas Peters

From an engineering perspective, a design should not only perform well in an ideal condition, but should also resist noises. Such a design methodology, namely robust design, has been widely implemented in the industry for product quality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Jia-Qi Yang , Ke-Bin Fan , Hao Ma , De-Chuan Zhan

Domain generalization (DG) is essentially an out-of-distribution problem, aiming to generalize the knowledge learned from multiple source domains to an unseen target domain. The mainstream is to leverage statistical models to model the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Fangrui Lv , Jian Liang , Shuang Li , Bin Zang , Chi Harold Liu , Ziteng Wang , Di Liu

We consider the estimation of average treatment effects in observational studies and propose a new framework of robust causal inference with unobserved confounders. Our approach is based on distributionally robust optimization and proceeds…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-06 Dimitris Bertsimas , Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

Domain generalization (DG) aims to learn predictive models that can generalize to unseen domains. Most existing DG approaches focus on learning domain-invariant representations under the assumption of conditional distribution shift (i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Jewon Yeom , Kyubyung Chae , Hyunggyu Lim , Yoonna Oh , Dongyoon Yang , Taesup Kim

Deep neural networks can obtain impressive performance on various tasks under the assumption that their training domain is identical to their target domain. Performance can drop dramatically when this assumption does not hold. One…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Gaël Gendron , Michael Witbrock , Gillian Dobbie

We discuss recent work for causal inference and predictive robustness in a unifying way. The key idea relies on a notion of probabilistic invariance or stability: it opens up new insights for formulating causality as a certain risk…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-21 Peter Bühlmann

Machine learning models are often trained on data from one distribution and deployed on others. So it becomes important to design models that are robust to distribution shifts. Most of the existing work focuses on optimizing for either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Harvineet Singh , Shalmali Joshi , Finale Doshi-Velez , Himabindu Lakkaraju

A central goal of machine learning is to learn robust representations that capture the causal relationship between inputs features and output labels. However, minimizing empirical risk over finite or biased datasets often results in models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Chunting Zhou , Xuezhe Ma , Paul Michel , Graham Neubig

Recent advances in retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) have shown promise in enhancing recommendation systems with external knowledge. However, existing RAG-based recommenders face two critical challenges: (1) vulnerability to distribution…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Sebastian Sun

Most of previous machine learning algorithms are proposed based on the i.i.d. hypothesis. However, this ideal assumption is often violated in real applications, where selection bias may arise between training and testing process. Moreover,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-24 Zheyan Shen , Peng Cui , Kun Kuang , Bo Li , Peixuan Chen

Identifying the causal relationship among variables from observational data is an important yet challenging task. This work focuses on identifying the direct causes of an outcome and estimating their magnitude, i.e., learning the causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Zhenyu Wang , Yifan Hu , Peter Bühlmann , Zijian Guo

The distributionally robust optimization (DRO)-based graph neural network methods improve recommendation systems' out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization by optimizing the model's worst-case performance. However, these studies fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Chu Zhao , Enneng Yang , Yuliang Liang , Jianzhe Zhao , Guibing Guo , Xingwei Wang

Robustness is of central importance in machine learning and has given rise to the fields of domain generalization and invariant learning, which are concerned with improving performance on a test distribution distinct from but related to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-03 Robert Adragna , Elliot Creager , David Madras , Richard Zemel

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Robustness of decision rules to shifts in the data-generating process is crucial to the successful deployment of decision-making systems. Such shifts can be viewed as interventions on a causal graph, which capture (possibly hypothetical)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Benjie Wang , Clare Lyle , Marta Kwiatkowska

When training a machine learning model with observational data, it is often encountered that some values are systemically missing. Learning from the incomplete data in which the missingness depends on some covariates may lead to biased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-24 Kanghoon Lee , Jihye Choi , Moonsu Cha , Jung-Kwon Lee , Taeyoon Kim
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