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Chaotic systems are notoriously challenging to predict because of their sensitivity to perturbations and errors due to time stepping. Despite this unpredictable behavior, for many dissipative systems the statistics of the long term…

We propose a simple method of constructing a system of differential equations of chaotic behavior based on the regression only from a scalar observable time-series data. The estimated system enables us to reconstruct invariant sets and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Natsuki Tsutsumi , Kengo Nakai , Yoshitaka Saiki

We discuss how to characterize the behavior of a chaotic dynamical system depending on a parameter that varies periodically in time. In particular, we study the predictability time, the correlations and the mean responses, by defining a…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 A Crisanti , M. Falcioni , G. Lacorata , R. Purini , A. Vulpiani

We propose a model of random walks on weighted graphs where the weights are interval valued, and connect it to reversible imprecise Markov chains. While the theory of imprecise Markov chains is now well established, this is a first attempt…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Škulj

A phase-space semiclassical approximation valid to $O(\hbar)$ at short times is used to compare semiclassical accuracy for long-time and stationary observables in chaotic, stable, and mixed systems. Given the same level of semiclassical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-08-14 L. Kaplan

Periodic orbit theory is an effective tool for the analysis of classical and quantum chaotic systems. In this paper we extend this approach to stochastic systems, in particular to mappings with additive noise. The theory is cast in the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Predrag Cvitanovic' , C. P. Dettmann , Ronnie Mainieri , Gabor Vattay

We have developed a semiclassical theory of short periodic orbits to obtain all quantum information of a bounded chaotic Hamiltonian system. If T_1 is the period of the shortest periodic orbit, T_2 the period of the next one and so on, the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Eduardo G. Vergini

We investigate the connections between microscopic chaos, defined on a dynamical level and arising from collisions between molecules, and diffusion, characterized by a mean square displacement proportional to the time. We use a number of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. P. Dettmann , E. G. D. Cohen

In the study of dynamical processes on networks, there has been intense focus on network structure -- i.e., the arrangement of edges and their associated weights -- but the effects of the temporal patterns of edges remains poorly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Till Hoffmann , Mason A. Porter , Renaud Lambiotte

This paper explores backward error analysis for numerical solutions of ordinary differential equations, particularly focusing on chaotic systems. Three approaches are examined: residual assessment, the method of modified equations, and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-13 Robert M. Corless

We propose as a generalization of an idea of Ruelle to describe turbulent fluid flow a chaotic hypothesis for reversible dissipative many particle systems in nonequilibrium stationary states in general. This implies an extension of the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 G. Gallavotti , E. G. D. Cohen

We introduce a mesh-type approach for tackling discrete-time, finite-horizon Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) characterized by state and action spaces that are general, encompassing both finite and infinite (yet suitably regular) subsets of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-02 Denis Belomestny , John Schoenmakers

The fundamental correspondence between quantum chaotic single-particle systems and random matrix theory is well-understood via periodic orbit theory. In contrast, we show that many-body systems with explicit subsystem structure possess…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-27 Maximilian F. I. Kieler , Felix Fritzsch , Arnd Bäcker

This paper demonstrates the application of Bayesian Artificial Neural Networks to Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) inverse problems. We consider the case of estimating an unknown chaotic dynamical system transition model from state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 David K. E. Green , Filip Rindler

We discuss a modification to Random Matrix Theory eigenstate statistics, that systematically takes into account the non-universal short-time behavior of chaotic systems. The method avoids diagonalization of the Hamiltonian, instead…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-07-27 A. Matthew Smith , Lev Kaplan

Certain deterministic non-linear systems may show chaotic behaviour. Time series derived from such systems seem stochastic when analyzed with linear techniques. However, uncovering the deterministic structure is important because it allows…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Nils Christophersen

We present a general method to compute canonical averages for physical models sampled via quantum or classical quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO). First, we introduce a histogram reweighting scheme applicable to QUBO-based…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-07 Francesco Slongo , Cristian Micheletti

The convergence rate of a Markov chain to its stationary distribution is typically assessed using the concept of total variation mixing time. However, this worst-case measure often yields pessimistic estimates and is challenging to infer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Geoffrey Wolfer , Pierre Alquier

Finding and sampling rare trajectories in dynamical systems is a difficult computational task underlying numerous problems and applications. In this paper we show how to construct Metropolis- Hastings Monte Carlo methods that can…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-10-16 Jorge C. Leitao , Joao M. Viana Parente Lopes , Eduardo G. Altmann

Chaos and unpredictability are traditionally synonymous, yet large-scale machine learning methods recently have demonstrated a surprising ability to forecast chaotic systems well beyond typical predictability horizons. However, recent works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 William Gilpin
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