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When an Agent visits a platform recommending a menu of content to select from, their choice of item depends not only on fixed preferences, but also on their prior engagements with the platform. The Recommender's primary objective is…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Arpit Agarwal , William Brown

We present a recommender system based on the Random Utility Model. Online shoppers are modeled as rational decision makers with limited information, and the recommendation task is formulated as the problem of optimally enriching the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Benjamin Heymann , Flavian Vasile , David Rohde

A prominent theme in behavioural contract theory is the study of present-biased agents represented through quasi-hyperbolic discounting. In a model of competitive credit provision, we study an alternative to this framework in which the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-11 Siddharth Chatterjee , Daniel F. Garrett

This paper studies a central planner's decision making on behalf of a group of members with diverse discount rates. In the context of optimal stopping, we work with an aggregation preference to incorporate all discount rates via an attitude…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Shuoqing Deng , Xiang Yu , Jiacheng Zhang

Empirical research often cites observed choice responses to variation that shifts expected discounted future utilities, but not current utilities, as an intuitive source of information on time preferences. We study the identification of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-28 Jaap H. Abbring , Øystein Daljord

We examine a weighted-network multi-agent model with preferential selection such that agents choose partners with the probability $p(w)$, where $w$ is the number of their past selections. When $p(w)$ increases sublinearly with the number of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 Adam Lipowski , Dorota Lipowska , Antonio Luis Ferreira

We initiate a novel direction in randomized social choice by proposing a new definition of agent utility for randomized outcomes. Each agent has a preference over all outcomes and a {\em quantile} parameter. Given a {\em lottery} over the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Ioannis Caragiannis , Fabian Frank , Sanjukta Roy

We introduce a novel framework for individual-level welfare analysis. It builds on a parametric model for continuous demand with a quasilinear utility function, allowing for heterogeneous coefficients and unobserved individual-good-level…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-25 Junlong Feng , Sokbae Lee

We propose and axiomatize a new model of incomplete preferences under uncertainty, which we call \textit{hope-and-prepare preferences}. An act is considered more desirable than an other act when, and only when, both an optimistic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-29 Pierre Bardier , Bach Dong-Xuan , Van-Quy Nguyen

People are often reluctant to sell a house, or shares of stock, below the price at which they originally bought it. While this is generally not consistent with rational utility maximization, it does reflect two strong empirical regularities…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Jon Kleinberg , Robert Kleinberg , Sigal Oren

We study the modelling and valuation of surrender and other behavioural options in life insurance and pension. We place ourselves in between the two extremes of completely arbitrary intervention and optimal intervention by the policyholder.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-08 Kamille Sofie Tågholt Gad , Jeppe Juhl , Mogens Steffensen

Prior to clinical applications, it is critical that risk prediction models are evaluated in independent studies that did not contribute to model development. While prospective cohort studies provide a natural setting for model validation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-13 Parichoy Pal Choudhury , Anil K. Chaturvedi , Nilanjan Chatterjee

Timing decisions are common: when to file your taxes, finish a referee report, or complete a task at work. We ask whether time preferences can be inferred when \textsl{only} task completion is observed. To answer this question, we analyze…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-05-13 Paul Heidhues , Philipp Strack

Under mean-variance-utility framework, we propose a new portfolio selection model, which allows wealth and time both have influences on risk aversion in the process of investment. We solved the model under a game theoretic framework and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-11 Ben-Zhang Yang , Xin-Jiang He , Song-Ping Zhu

Undesired bias afflicts both human and algorithmic decision making, and may be especially prevalent when information processing trade-offs incentivize the use of heuristics. One primary example is \textit{statistical discrimination} --…

An agent-based model for financial markets has to incorporate two aspects: decision making and price formation. We introduce a simple decision model and consider its implications in two different pricing schemes. First, we study its…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-19 Daniel C. Wagner , Thilo A. Schmitt , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr , Dietrich E. Wolf

This paper develops a continuous-time filtering framework for estimating a hazard rate subject to an unobservable change-point. This framework naturally arises in both financial and insurance applications, where the default intensity of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-12 Matteo Buttarazzi , Claudia Ceci

This paper analyzes a semiparametric model of network formation in the presence of unobserved agent-specific heterogeneity. The objective is to identify and estimate the preference parameters associated with homophily on observed attributes…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-01 Luis E. Candelaria

A principal screens an agent with an arbitrary set of allocations $X$. The agent's preferences over allocations are comonotonic. A subset of allocations $X^*\subseteq X$ is a surplus-elasticity frontier if (i) any other allocation has a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-24 Frank Yang

We consider the problem of learning the preferences of a heterogeneous population by observing choices from an assortment of products, ads, or other offerings. Our observation model takes a form common in assortment planning applications:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-09 Nathan Kallus , Madeleine Udell