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This paper studies preference aggregation under risk. In our model, each agent has an incomplete preference relation represented by a set of expected utility functions. The classical Pareto principle is silent on agreement involving…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-06 Leo Kurata , Kensei Nakamura

Inspired by recent ideas on how the analysis of complex financial risks can benefit from analogies with independent research areas, we propose an unorthodox framework for mapping microfinance credit risk---a major obstacle to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-21 Joung-Hun Lee , Marko Jusup , Boris Podobnik , Yoh Iwasa

User preference learning is generally a hard problem. Individual preferences are typically unknown even to users themselves, while the space of choices is infinite. Here we study user preference learning from information-theoretic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Tanya Ignatenko , Kirill Kondrashov , Marco Cox , Bert de Vries

We develop new robust discrete choice tools to learn about the average willingness to pay for a price subsidy and its effects on demand given exogenous, discrete variation in prices. Our starting point is a nonparametric, nonseparable model…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-21 Vishal Kamat , Samuel Norris

This paper studies Pareto-optimal reinsurance design in a monopolistic market with multiple primary insurers and a single reinsurer, all with heterogeneous risk preferences. The risk preferences are characterized by a family of risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-15 Tim J. Boonen , Xia Han , Peng Liu , Jiacong Wang

This paper attempts to find a relationship between agents' risk aversion and inequality of incomes. Specifically, a model is proposed for the evolution in time of surplus/deficit distribution, and the long-time distributions are…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-12 Eleonora Perversi , Eugenio Regazzini

We develop an axiomatic framework to evaluate income distributions from the perspective of an opportunity-egalitarian social planner. Building on a formal link with the literature on decision theory under ambiguity, we characterize a class…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-31 T. Wienand , B. Magdalou , R. Nock , P. Hufe

We study efficient risk sharing among risk-averse agents in an economy with a large, finite number of states. Following a random shock to an initial agreement, agents may renegotiate. If they require a minimal utility improvement to accept…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-23 Federico Echenique , Farzad Pourbabaee

We propose a new model for aggregating preferences over a set of indivisible items based on a quantile value. In this model, each agent is endowed with a specific quantile, and the value of a given bundle is defined by the corresponding…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Haris Aziz , Shivika Narang , Mashbat Suzuki

We propose and axiomatize preferences on a product state space in light of uncertainty regarding the dependency of different payoff-relevant factors. Dependence structures allow to decompose probabilities and allow to pin down behavior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Gerrit Bauch , Lorenz Hartmann

We consider the problem of an agent who faces losses in continuous time over a finite time horizon and may choose to share some of these losses with a counterparty. The agent is uncertain about the true loss distribution and has multiple…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Emma Kroell , Sebastian Jaimungal , Silvana M. Pesenti

This paper presents a method for incorporating risk aversion into existing decision tree models used in economic evaluations. The method involves applying a probability weighting function based on rank dependent utility theory to reduced…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-01-24 Jacob Smith

Empirical welfare analyses often impose stringent parametric assumptions on individuals' preferences and neglect unobserved preference heterogeneity. We develop a framework to conduct individual and social welfare analysis for discrete…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-20 Bart Capéau , Liebrecht De Sadeleer , Sebastiaan Maes

This paper studies semiparametric identification of substitution and complementarity patterns between two goods using a panel multinomial choice model with bundles. The model allows the two goods to be either substitutes or complements and…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-04 Rui Wang

Addressing the question of how to achieve optimal decision-making under risk and uncertainty is crucial for enhancing the capabilities of artificial agents that collaborate with or support humans. In this work, we address this question in…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Nicole Orzan , Erman Acar , Davide Grossi , Patrick Mannion , Roxana Rădulescu

We study a monopolistic insurance market with hidden information, where the agent's type $\theta$ is private information that is unobservable to the insurer, and it is drawn from a continuum of types. The hidden type affects both the loss…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-11 Maria Andraos , Mario Ghossoub

Many real-life settings of consumer-choice involve social interactions, causing targeted policies to have spillover-effects. This paper develops novel empirical tools for analyzing demand and welfare-effects of policy-interventions in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-09 Debopam Bhattacharya , Pascaline Dupas , Shin Kanaya

Background: Any sample of individuals has its own, unique distribution of preferences for choices that they make. Discrete choice models try to capture these distributions. Mixed logits are by far the most commonly used choice model in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-18 John Buckell , Alice Wreford , Matthew Quaife , Thomas O. Hancock

Welfare economics relies on access to agents' utility functions: we revisit classical questions in welfare economics, assuming access to data on agents' past choices instead of their utilities. Our main result considers the existence of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-06-26 Christopher P Chambers , Federico Echenique

We develop a nonparametric approach to identify and estimate consumer preferences and unobserved heterogeneity under nonlinear price schedules. Leveraging variation across multiple price schedules, we show that both the utility function and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-29 Samuele Centorrino , Frédérique Fève , Jean-Pierre Florens