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We propose an extension of the non-homogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR) model by Gneiting et al. (2005) that yields locally calibrated probabilistic forecasts of tem- perature, based on the output of an ensemble prediction system (EPS).…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-29 Michael Scheuerer , Luca Büermann

We present a significantly-improved data-driven global weather forecasting framework using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) to forecast several basic atmospheric variables on a global grid. New developments in this framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana

Accurate modeling of the inflationary gravitational waves (GWs) requires time-consuming, iterative numerical integrations of differential equations to take into account their backreaction on the expansion history. To improve computational…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-08 Fan Zhang , Yifang Luo , Bohua Li , Ruihan Cao , Wenjin Peng , Joel Meyers , Paul R. Shapiro

Real-time monitoring of inverter-based microgrids is essential for stability, fault response, and operational decision-making. However, electromagnetic transient (EMT) simulations, required to capture fast inverter dynamics, are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 Osasumwen Cedric Ogiesoba-Eguakun , Kaveh Ashenayi , Suman Rath

We present a machine learning method to predict extreme hydrologic events from spatially and temporally varying hydrological and meteorological data. We used a timestep reduction technique to reduce the computational and memory requirements…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-03 Nicholas Majeske , Bidisha Abesh , Chen Zhu , Ariful Azad

Numerical modeling of the intensity and evolution of flood events are affected by multiple sources of uncertainty such as precipitation and land surface conditions. To quantify and curb these uncertainties, an ensemble-based simulation and…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-17 Junyu Wei , Xiangyu Luo , Weihong Liao , Xiaohui Lei , Jianshi Zhao , Haocheng Huang , Hao Wang

Improving the skill of medium-range (3-8 day) severe weather prediction is crucial for mitigating societal impacts. This study introduces a novel approach leveraging decoder-only transformer networks to post-process AI-based weather…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-24 Zhanxiang Hua , Ryan Sobash , David John Gagne , Yingkai Sha , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

Sea surface temperature (SST) is uniquely important to the Earth's atmosphere since its dynamics are a major force in shaping local and global climate and profoundly affect our ecosystems. Accurate forecasting of SST brings significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-20 Xiaohan Li , Gaowei Zhang , Kai Huang , Zhaofeng He

While deep-learning downscaling algorithms can generate fine-scale climate projections cost-effectively, it is still unclear how well they will extrapolate to unobserved climates. We assess the extrapolation capabilities of a deterministic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-09 Neelesh Rampal , Peter B. Gibson , Steven Sherwood , Gab Abramowitz

We present a study using a class of post-hoc local explanation methods i.e., feature importance methods for "understanding" a deep learning (DL) emulator of climate. Specifically, we consider a multiple-input-single-output emulator that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Wei Xu , Xihaier Luo , Yihui Ren , Ji Hwan Park , Shinjae Yoo , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models often underperform compared to simpler climatology-based precipitation forecasts in northern tropical Africa, even after statistical postprocessing. AI-based forecasting models show promise but have…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-30 Athul Rasheeda Satheesh , Peter Knippertz , Andreas H. Fink

In situ and remotely sensed observations have potential to facilitate data-driven predictive models for oceanography. A suite of machine learning models, including regression, decision tree and deep learning approaches were developed to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Stefan Wolff , Fearghal O'Donncha , Bei Chen

We use a conditional deep convolutional generative adversarial network to predict the geopotential height of the 500 hPa pressure level, the two-meter temperature and the total precipitation for the next 24 hours over Europe. The proposed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-16 Alexander Bihlo

Global deep-learning weather prediction models have recently been shown to produce forecasts that rival those from physics-based models run at operational centers. It is unclear whether these models have encoded atmospheric dynamics, or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-21 Gregory J. Hakim , Sanjit Masanam

Mitigating the substantial undesirable impact of transportation systems on the environment is paramount. Thus, predicting Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions is one of the profound topics, especially with the emergence of intelligent…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-07 Lama Alfaseeh , Ran Tu , Bilal Farooq , Marianne Hatzopoulou

The rapid expansion of the French offshore wind sector requires a critical reassessment of structural durability in the face of evolving marine conditions driven by climate change. Traditional design methodologies, which rely on the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-10 Nicolas Raillard , Coline Poppeschi , Tessa Chevallier , Youen Kervella , Laurent Dubus

Accurate reconstruction of global Sea surface temperature (SST), which dominates the air-sea coupling and global climate variability, underpins climate monitoring and prediction. Existing SST reconstruction products primarily provide one…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Haijie Li , Ya Wang , Kai Yang , Gang Huang , Xiangao Xia , Ziming Chen , Weichen Tao , Chenglin Lyu , Lin Chen , Miao Zhang , Kaiming Hu , Hainan Gong , Disong Fu , Lin Wang

We present a data-driven approach for forecasting global weather using graph neural networks. The system learns to step forward the current 3D atmospheric state by six hours, and multiple steps are chained together to produce skillful…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-16 Ryan Keisler

Deep learning is a powerful tool to represent subgrid processes in climate models, but many application cases have so far used idealized settings and deterministic approaches. Here, we develop stochastic parameterizations with calibrated…

Recent literature suggests that the surface electromyography (sEMG) signals have non-stationary statistical characteristics specifically due to random nature of the covariance. Thus suitability of a statistical model for sEMG signals is…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Durgesh Kusuru , Anish C. Turlapaty , Mainak Thakur
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