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Ensembles of regional-global climate model combinations show substantial spread in projected wind and solar resources. Using 31 RCM-GCM pairs, we quantify the sources of this spread with a spatially and seasonally resolved variance…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-23 Nina Effenberger , Reto Knutti

Real-world multivariate time series, particularly in critical infrastructure such as electrical power grids, are often corrupted by noise and anomalies that degrade the performance of downstream tasks. Standard data cleaning approaches…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 David Baumgartner , Helge Langseth , Heri Ramampiaro

Using lightning strikes as an example, two possible schemes are discussed for the attribution of changes in event frequency to climate change, and estimating the cost associated with them. The schemes determine the fraction of events that…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-21 Anthony J. Webster

To decarbonize the economy, many governments have set targets for the use of renewable energy sources. These are often formulated as relative shares of electricity demand or supply. Implementing respective constraints in energy models is a…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-05 Martin Kittel , Wolf-Peter Schill

Agricultural production is affected by climate extremes, which are increasing because of global warming. This motivates the need of a proper evaluation of the agricultural production systems resilience to enhance food security, market…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-08 Matteo Zampieri , Christof Weissteiner , Bruna Grizzetti , Andrea Toreti , Maurits van den Berg M. , Frank Dentener

Severity of warming predicted by climate models depends on their Transient Climate Response (TCR). Inter-model spread of TCR has persisted at ~100% of its mean for decades. Existing observational constraints of TCR are based on observed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-25 King-Fai Li , Ka-Kit Tung

The high variability of renewable energy resources presents significant challenges to the operation of the electric power grid. Conventional generators can be used to mitigate this variability but are costly to operate and produce carbon…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-04-13 Han-I Su , Abbas El Gamal

Marginal Carbon Intensity (MCI) has been promoted as an effective metric for carbon-aware computing. Although it is already considered as impractical for carbon accounting purposes, many still view it as valuable when optimizing for grid…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-16 Philipp Wiesner , Odej Kao

As climate-related hazards intensify, conventional early warning systems (EWS) disseminate alerts rapidly but often fail to trigger timely protective actions, leading to preventable losses and inequities. We introduce Climate RADAR…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Geunsik Lim

Modern power systems integrate renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) as an environment-friendly enhancement to meet the ever-increasing demands. However, the inherent unreliability of renewable energy renders developing DER…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-30 Xiaotong Cheng , Ioannis Tsetis , Setareh Maghsudi

The paper is aimed at analyzing the potential of new information networks to solve the problems of energy management network with the use of renewable energy sources. One of the basic problems of renewable energy sources is their temporal…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-26 Kultan Jaroslav , Kultan Matej

Supply and demand in future energy systems depend on the weather. We therefore need to quantify how climate change and variability impact energy systems. Here, we present Climate2Energy (C2E), a framework to consistently convert climate…

The transition to decarbonized energy systems has become a priority globally to mitigate carbon emissions and, therefore, climate change. However, the vulnerabilities of zero-carbon power grids under climatic and technological changes have…

The output of renewable energy fluctuates significantly depending on weather conditions. We develop a unit commitment model to analyze requirements of the forecast output and its error for renewable energies. Our model obtains the time…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Yuichi Ikeda , Takashi Ikegami , Kazuto Kataoka , Kazuhiko Ogimoto

Weather is a key production factor in agricultural crop production and at the same time the most significant and least controllable source of peril in agriculture. These effects of weather on agricultural crop production have triggered a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-15 Samuel Asante Gyamerah , Philip Ngare , Dennis Ikpe

Given increasing risk from climate-induced natural hazards, there is growing interest in the development of methods that can quantitatively measure resilience in power systems. This work quantifies resilience in electric power transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-18 Molly Rose Kelly-Gorham , Paul. D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson

Accurate forecasting of the grid carbon intensity factor (CIF) is critical for enabling demand-side management and reducing emissions in modern electricity systems. Leveraging multiple interrelated time series, CIF prediction is typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Bowen Zhang , Hongda Tian , Adam Berry , A. Craig Roussac

Distribution system end users are transforming from passive to active participants, marked by the push towards widespread adoption of edge-level Distributed Energy Resources (DERs). This paper addresses the challenges in distribution system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Arun Kumar Karngala , Chanan Singh , Le Xie

With the rapid increase in the research, development, and application of neural networks in the current era, there is a proportional increase in the energy needed to train and use models. Crucially, this is accompanied by the increase in…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Vishwesh Sangarya , Richard Bradford , Jung-Eun Kim

The thermal characterisation of a building envelope is usually best performed from on site measurements with controlled heating power set points. Occupant-friendly measurement conditions provide on the contrary less informative data.…

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