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In epidemiological studies of time-to-event data, a quantity of interest to the clinician and the patient is the risk of an event given a covariate profile. However, methods relying on time matching or risk-set sampling (including Cox…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-23 Sahir Rai Bhatnagar , Maxime Turgeon , Jesse Islam , James A. Hanley , Olli Saarela

Uplift modeling aims at predicting the causal effect of an action such as a medical treatment or a marketing campaign on a particular individual, by taking into consideration the response to a treatment. The treatment group contains…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-14 Mouloud Belbahri , Alejandro Murua , Olivier Gandouet , Vahid Partovi Nia

In the context of regression with a large number of explanatory variables, Cox and Battey (2017) emphasize that if there are alternative reasonable explanations of the data that are statistically indistinguishable, one should aim to specify…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-15 Henrique Helfer Hoeltgebaum , Heather Battey

Applied researchers in biomedicine and related fields are often interested in estimating the causal effect of a treatment or intervention. Although randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for establishing causal effects,…

Propensity score weighting is an important tool for comparative effectiveness research.Besides the inverse probability of treatment weights (IPW), recent development has introduced a general class of balancing weights, corresponding to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Tianhui Zhou , Guangyu Tong , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

We present MRPC, an R package that learns causal graphs with improved accuracy over existing packages, such as pcalg and bnlearn. Our algorithm builds on the powerful PC algorithm, the canonical algorithm in computer science for learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-07 Md. Bahadur Badsha , Evan A Martin , Audrey Qiuyan Fu

This paper introduces a collection of four data sets, similar to Anscombe's Quartet, that aim to highlight the challenges involved when estimating causal effects. Each of the four data sets is generated based on a distinct causal mechanism:…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Lucy D'Agostino McGowan , Travis Gerke , Malcolm Barrett

In this article, we introduce the BNPqte R package which implements the Bayesian nonparametric approach of Xu, Daniels and Winterstein (2018) for estimating quantile treatment effects in observational studies. This approach provides…

Computation · Statistics 2021-06-29 Chuji Luo , Michael J. Daniels

From simulating galaxy formation to viral transmission in a pandemic, scientific models play a pivotal role in developing scientific theories and supporting government policy decisions that affect us all. Given these critical applications,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Andrew G. Clark , Michael Foster , Benedikt Prifling , Neil Walkinshaw , Robert M. Hierons , Volker Schmidt , Robert D. Turner

Mediation analysis is one of the most widely used statistical techniques in the social, behavioral, and medical sciences. Mediation models allow to study how an independent variable affects a dependent variable indirectly through one or…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-18 Andreas Alfons , Nüfer Y. Ateş , Patrick J. F. Groenen

Causal inference is a study of causal relationships between events and the statistical study of inferring these relationships through interventions and other statistical techniques. Causal reasoning is any line of work toward determining…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Patrick Chadbourne , Nasir Eisty

Streaming data routinely generated by mobile phones, social networks, e-commerce, and electronic health records present new opportunities for near real-time surveillance of the impact of an intervention on an outcome of interest via causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Xu Shi , Lan Luo

This document describes an infra-structure provided by the R package performanceEstimation that allows to estimate the predictive performance of different approaches (workflows) to predictive tasks. The infra-structure is generic in the…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2015-09-08 Luis Torgo

This paper describes a novel Python package, named causalgraph, for modeling and saving causal graphs embedded in knowledge graphs. The package has been designed to provide an interface between causal disciplines such as causal discovery…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Sven Pieper , Carl Willy Mehling , Dominik Hirsch , Tobias Lüke , Steffen Ihlenfeldt

Simulation studies play a key role in the validation of causal inference methods. The simulation results are reliable only if the study is designed according to the promised operational conditions of the method-in-test. Still, many causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-06 A. Zamanian , L. Mareis , N. Ahmidi

Causal Inference offers a fundamental approach for advancing empirical software engineering (ESE) beyond traditional statistical association, enabling researchers to rigorously identify and quantify causal relationships in software…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Daniel Rodriguez-Cardenas , Aya Garryyeva , David Nader Palacio , Antonio Mastropaolo , Denys Poshyvanyk

While witnessing the exceptional success of machine learning (ML) technologies in many applications, users are starting to notice a critical shortcoming of ML: correlation is a poor substitute for causation. The conventional way to discover…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Ahmet Kapkiç , Pratanu Mandal , Shu Wan , Paras Sheth , Abhinav Gorantla , Yoonhyuk Choi , Huan Liu , K. Selçuk Candan

Integrating multiple observational studies for meta-analysis has sparked much interest. The presented R package WMAP (Weighted Meta-Analysis with Pseudo-Population) addresses a critical gap in the implementation of integrative weighting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Subharup Guha , Mengqi Xu , Kashish Priyam , Yi Li

An essential goal of program evaluation and scientific research is the investigation of causal mechanisms. Over the past several decades, causal mediation analysis has been used in medical and social sciences to decompose the treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-15 K. C. G. Chan , K. Imai , S. C. P. Yam , Z. Zhang

We describe the interface between measure theoretic probability and causal inference by constructing causal models on probability spaces within the potential outcomes framework. We find that measure theory provides a precise and instructive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Irineo Cabreros , John D. Storey