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Recent methods in quantile regression have adopted a classification perspective to handle challenges posed by heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed data by quantizing outputs into fixed bins. Although these regression-as-classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Batuhan Cengiz , Halil Faruk Karagoz , Tufan Kumbasar

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for detecting exposure-outcome associations given covariates across different parts of the outcome's distribution, but has two major limitations when the aim is to infer the effect of an exposure.…

Quantiles can represent key operational and business metrics, but the computational challenges associated with inference has hampered their adoption in online experimentation. One-sample confidence intervals are trivial to construct;…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-02 Evan Miller

The purpose of this paper is to propose methodologies for statistical inference of low-dimensional parameters with high-dimensional data. We focus on constructing confidence intervals for individual coefficients and linear combinations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-05 Cun-Hui Zhang , Stephanie S. Zhang

This work proposes new inference methods for a regression coefficient of interest in a (heterogeneous) quantile regression model. We consider a high-dimensional model where the number of regressors potentially exceeds the sample size but a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Kengo Kato

Standard conformal prediction methods guarantee marginal coverage but often produce inefficient intervals that fail to adapt to local heteroscedasticity, while recent localized approaches often struggle to maintain validity across distinct…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Yuan Lu

Quantile regression is a tool for learning conditional distributions. In this paper we study quantile regression in the setting where a protected attribute is unavailable when fitting the model. This can lead to "unfair'' quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Dana Yang , John Lafferty , David Pollard

Despite attractive theoretical guarantees and practical successes, Predictive Interval (PI) given by Conformal Prediction (CP) may not reflect the uncertainty of a given model. This limitation arises from CP methods using a constant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Salim I. Amoukou , Nicolas J. B Brunel

We propose a robust method for constructing conditionally valid prediction intervals based on models for conditional distributions such as quantile and distribution regression. Our approach can be applied to important prediction problems…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-26 Victor Chernozhukov , Kaspar Wüthrich , Yinchu Zhu

Quantile regression has been successfully used to study heterogeneous and heavy-tailed data. Varying-coefficient models are frequently used to capture changes in the effect of input variables on the response as a function of an index or…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Ran Dai , Mladen Kolar

This article addresses calibration challenges in analytical chemistry by employing a random-effects calibration curve model and its generalizations to capture variability in analyte concentrations. The model is motivated by specific issues…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Soumya Sahu , Thomas Mathew , Robert Gibbons , Dulal K. Bhaumik

We address the problem of how to achieve optimal inference in distributed quantile regression without stringent scaling conditions. This is challenging due to the non-smooth nature of the quantile regression (QR) loss function, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-24 Kean Ming Tan , Heather Battey , Wen-Xin Zhou

In a classical regression model, it is usually assumed that the explanatory variables are independent of each other and error terms are normally distributed. But when these assumptions are not met, situations like the error terms are not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-08 Bahadır Yüzbaşı , Yasin Asar , Ahmet Demiralp , M. Şamil Şık

Testing the equality of two conditional distributions is crucial in various modern applications, including transfer learning and causal inference. Despite its importance, this fundamental problem has received surprisingly little attention…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Jian Yan , Zhuoxi Li , Xianyang Zhang

In the analysis of survey data it is of interest to estimate and quantify uncertainty about means or totals for each of several non-overlapping subpopulations, or areas. When the sample size for a given area is small, standard confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Kyle Burris , Peter Hoff

Quantile regression, based on check loss, is a widely used inferential paradigm in Econometrics and Statistics. The conditional quantiles provide a robust alternative to classical conditional means, and also allow uncertainty quantification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Anuj Tambwekar , Anirudh Maiya , Soma Dhavala , Snehanshu Saha

Personalized decision making requires the knowledge of potential outcomes under different treatments, and confidence intervals about the potential outcomes further enrich this decision-making process and improve its reliability in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Zonghao Chen , Ruocheng Guo , Jean-François Ton , Yang Liu

Predictive models make mistakes. Hence, there is a need to quantify the uncertainty associated with their predictions. Conformal inference has emerged as a powerful tool to create statistically valid prediction regions around point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-14 Luben M. C. Cabezas , Mateus P. Otto , Rafael Izbicki , Rafael B. Stern

Given additional distributional information in the form of moment restrictions, kernel density and distribution function estimators with implied generalised empirical likelihood probabilities as weights achieve a reduction in variance due…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Vitaliy Oryshchenko , Richard J. Smith

Conformal methods create prediction bands that control average coverage under no assumptions besides i.i.d. data. Besides average coverage, one might also desire to control conditional coverage, that is, coverage for every new testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Rafael Izbicki , Gilson T. Shimizu , Rafael B. Stern