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Network experiments are powerful tools for studying spillover effects, which avoid endogeneity by randomly assigning treatments to units over networks. However, it is non-trivial to analyze network experiments properly without imposing…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-09 Mengsi Gao , Peng Ding

Probabilistic classification of unassociated Fermi-LAT sources using machine learning methods has an implicit assumption that the distributions of associated and unassociated sources are the same as a function of source parameters, which is…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2024-01-04 Dmitry V. Malyshev

Covariate shift, a widely used assumption in tackling {\it distributional shift} (when training and test distributions differ), focuses on scenarios where the distribution of the labels conditioned on the feature vector is the same, but the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Deeksha Adil , Jarosław Błasiok

This paper presents a Bayesian sampling approach to bandwidth estimation for the local linear estimator of the regression function in a nonparametric regression model. In the Bayesian sampling approach, the error density is approximated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Han Lin Shang , Xibin Zhang

In real supervised learning scenarios, it is not uncommon that the training and test sample follow different probability distributions, thus rendering the necessity to correct the sampling bias. Focusing on a particular covariate shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Yaoliang Yu , Csaba Szepesvari

Reliable inference for spatial regression remains challenging because it requires the correct specification of the spatial dependence structure, the mean trend, and the error distribution. Existing parametric testing methods rely on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Kanghyun Wi , Hyoeun Kim , Tomáš Mrkvička , Jorge Mateu , Jaewoo Park

Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers produce dependent streams of variates drawn from the limiting distribution of the Markov chain. With this as motivation, we introduce novel univariate kernel density estimators which are appropriate for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-29 Hang J. Kim , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonsuh Jung

We consider a nonparametric regression setup, where the covariate is a random element in a complete separable metric space, and the parameter of interest associated with the conditional distribution of the response lies in a separable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Joydeep Chowdhury , Probal Chaudhuri

A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty. Minimizing overall prediction error often encourages models to prioritize informativeness over calibration,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Ádám Jung , Domokos M. Kelen , András A. Benczúr

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

In nonparametric regression analysis, errors are possibly correlated in practice, and neglecting error correlation can undermine most bandwidth selection methods. When no prior knowledge or parametric form of the correlation structure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Sisheng Liu , Xiaoli Kong

A number of machine learning tasks entail a high degree of invariance: the data distribution does not change if we act on the data with a certain group of transformations. For instance, labels of images are invariant under translations of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-01 Song Mei , Theodor Misiakiewicz , Andrea Montanari

We propose a novel calibration method for computer simulators, dealing with the problem of covariate shift. Covariate shift is the situation where input distributions for training and test are different, and ubiquitous in applications of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-20 Keiichi Kisamori , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki

We consider Markov-switching regression models, i.e. models for time series regression analyses where the functional relationship between covariates and response is subject to regime switching controlled by an unobservable Markov chain.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-12 Roland Langrock , Thomas Kneib , Richard Glennie , Théo Michelot

In many real applications of statistical learning, collecting sufficiently many training data is often expensive, time-consuming, or even unrealistic. In this case, a transfer learning approach, which aims to leverage knowledge from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-26 Baozhen Wang , Xingye Qiao

Smoothness has long been the dominant form of parsimony in functional data analysis, to the point of occasionally being conflated with the very notion of functional data. However, many core inferential tasks depend on the inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Ulysse Naepels , Victor M. Panaretos

I propose kernel ridge regression estimators for nonparametric dose response curves and semiparametric treatment effects in the setting where an analyst has access to a selected sample rather than a random sample; only for select…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-24 Rahul Singh

The existence and uniqueness of the numerical invariant measure of the backward Euler-Maruyama method for stochastic differential equations with Markovian switching is yielded, and it is revealed that the numerical invariant measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Xiaoyue Li , Qianlin Ma , Hongfu Yang , Chenggui Yuan

Learning guarantees often rely on assumptions of i.i.d. data, which will likely be violated in practice once predictors are deployed to perform real-world tasks. Domain adaptation approaches thus appeared as a useful framework yielding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Joao Monteiro , Xavier Gibert , Jianqiao Feng , Vincent Dumoulin , Dar-Shyang Lee

Associated kernels have been introduced to improve the classical continuous kernels for smoothing any functional on several kinds of supports such as bounded continuous and discrete sets. This work deals with the effects of combined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Sobom M. Somé , Célestin C. Kokonendji