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Gravitational-wave data analysis demands sophisticated statistical noise models in a bid to extract highly obscured signals from data. In Bayesian model comparison, we choose among a landscape of models by comparing their marginal…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-06-12 Haochen Wang , Stephen R. Taylor , Michele Vallisneri

We present a parameter estimation framework for gravitational wave (GW) signals that brings together several ideas to accelerate the inference process. First, we use the relative binning algorithm to evaluate the signal-to-noise-ratio…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-10-31 Tousif Islam , Javier Roulet , Tejaswi Venumadhav

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) can model complex marginal densities as well as complex mappings. Non-Gaussian marginals are essential for modelling real-world data, and can be generated from the DGP by incorporating uncorrelated variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Vincent Dutordoir , James Hensman , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler

Gravitational-wave astronomy provides a promising avenue for the discovery of new physics beyond general relativity as it probes extreme curvature and ultra-relativistic dynamics. However, in the absence of a compelling alternative to…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-05-11 Lachlan Passenger , Shun Yin Cheung , Nir Guttman , Nikhil Kannachel , Paul D. Lasky , Eric Thrane

We develop a computational procedure to estimate the covariance hyperparameters for semiparametric Gaussian process regression models with additive noise. Namely, the presented method can be used to efficiently estimate the variance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Siavash Ameli , Shawn C. Shadden

Understanding the properties of transient gravitational waves and their sources is of broad interest in physics and astronomy. Bayesian inference is the standard framework for astro-physical measurement in transient gravitational-wave…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-10-07 Rory Smith , Gregory Ashton , Avi Vajpeyi , Colm Talbot

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

Gravitational wave Bayesian parameter inference involves repeated comparisons of GW data to generic candidate predictions. Even with algorithmically efficient methods like RIFT or reduced-order quadrature, the time needed to perform these…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-04-24 D. Wysocki , R. O'Shaughnessy , Y-L. L. Fang , Jacob Lange

Gravitational wave models are used to infer the properties of black holes in merging binaries from the observed gravitational wave signals through Bayesian inference. Although we have access to a large collection of signal models that are…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-10-19 Charlie Hoy

Gaussian processes (GP) provide a prior over functions and allow finding complex regularities in data. Gaussian processes are successfully used for classification/regression problems and dimensionality reduction. In this work we consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-21 Pavel Izmailov , Dmitry Kropotov

Gravitational-wave analyses depend heavily on waveforms that model the evolution of compact binary coalescences as seen by observing detectors. In many cases these waveforms are given by waveform approximants, models that approximate the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-10-11 Quirijn Meijer , Sarah Caudill

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots

We report the results of an in-depth analysis of the parameter estimation capabilities of BayesWave, an algorithm for the reconstruction of gravitational-wave signals without reference to a specific signal model. Using binary black hole…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-02-13 Francesco Pannarale , Ronaldas Macas , Patrick J. Sutton

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a non-parametric Bayesian technique for interpolating or fitting data. The main barrier to further uptake of this powerful tool rests in the computational costs associated with the matrices which arise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-16 Christopher J. Moore , Alvin J. K. Chua , Christopher P. L. Berry , Jonathan R. Gair

The properties of black-hole and neutron-star binaries are extracted from gravitational-wave signals using Bayesian inference. This involves evaluating a multi-dimensional posterior probability function with stochastic sampling. The…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-09-29 Virginia D'Emilio , Rhys Green , Vivien Raymond

Bayesian inference of nanohertz gravitational-wave background models in pulsar timing array analyses often relies on Gaussian-process interpolators to avoid repeated, computationally expensive strain-spectrum calculations. However,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-16 Shreyas Tiruvaskar , Chris Gordon

Gravitational-wave observations of quasicircular compact binary mergers imply complicated posterior measurements of their parameters. Though Gaussian approximations to the pertinent likelihoods have decades of history in the field, the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-08 Vera Delfavero , Richard O'Shaughnessy , Daniel Wysocki , Anjali Yelikar

A common technique for detection of gravitational-wave signals is searching for excess power in frequency-time maps of gravitational-wave detector data. In the event of a detection, model selection and parameter estimation will be performed…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-06-19 Michael Coughlin , Nelson Christensen , Jonathan Gair , Shivaraj Kandhasamy , Eric Thrane

Advancements in the sensitivity of gravitational wave detectors have increased the detection rate of transient astrophysical signals. We improve the existing BayesWave initialization algorithm and present a rapid, low latency approximate…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-12-03 Sudhi Mathur , Neil J. Cornish