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We introduce two data-driven procedures for optimal estimation and inference in nonparametric models using instrumental variables. The first is a data-driven choice of sieve dimension for a popular class of sieve two-stage least squares…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-09 Xiaohong Chen , Timothy Christensen , Sid Kankanala

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Proceeding from the concept of rational expectations, a new dynamic model of supply and demand in a single market with one supplier, one buyer, and one kind of commodity is developed. Unlike the cob-web dynamic theories with adaptive…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Granik , A. Granik

We propose to address the common problem of linear estimation in linear statistical models by using a model selection approach via penalization. Depending then on the framework in which the linear statistical model is considered namely the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-11 Ikhlef Bechar

A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler

This paper develops and implements a nonparametric test of Random Utility Models. The motivating application is to test the null hypothesis that a sample of cross-sectional demand distributions was generated by a population of rational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Yuichi Kitamura , Jörg Stoye

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate human behavior, but common practices to use LLM-generated data are inefficient. Treating an LLM's output ("model choice") as a single data point underutilizes the information…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Hongshen Sun , Juanjuan Zhang

In this paper, different strands of literature are combined in order to obtain algorithms for semi-parametric estimation of discrete choice models that include the modelling of unobserved heterogeneity by using mixing distributions for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-12 Dietmar Bauer , Sebastian Büscher , Manuel Batram

The design and pricing of services are two of the most important decisions faced by any intermodal transport operator. The key success factor lies in the ability of meeting the needs of the shippers. Therefore, making full use of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Adrien Nicolet , Bilge Atasoy

Opinions and beliefs determine the evolution of social systems. This is of particular interest in finance, as the increasing complexity of financial systems is coupled with information overload. Opinion formation, therefore, is not always…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-05 Marco D'Errico , Gulnur Muradoglu , Silvana Stefani , Giovanni Zambruno

An important goal of empirical demand analysis is choice and welfare prediction on counterfactual budget sets arising from potential policy-interventions. Such predictions are more credible when made without arbitrary…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-02 Debopam Bhattacharya

Many estimators of dynamic discrete choice models with persistent unobserved heterogeneity have desirable statistical properties but are computationally intensive. In this paper we propose a method to quicken estimation for a broad class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-09 Jackson Bunting , Takuya Ura

Kernel-based methods enjoy powerful generalization capabilities in handling a variety of learning tasks. When such methods are provided with sufficient training data, broadly-applicable classes of nonlinear functions can be approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-29 Fatemeh Sheikholeslami , Dimitris Berberidis , Georgios B. Giannakis

This paper develops a practical framework for using observational data to audit the consumer surplus effects of AI-driven decisions, specifically in targeted pricing and algorithmic lending. Traditional approaches first estimate demand…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Zeyu Bian , Max Biggs , Ruijiang Gao , Zhengling Qi

Accurate predictions and representations of plant growth patterns in simulated and controlled environments are important for addressing various challenges in plant phenomics research. This review explores various works on state-of-the-art…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-17 Mohamed Debbagh , Shangpeng Sun , Mark Lefsrud

Understanding and interpreting how machine learning (ML) models make decisions have been a big challenge. While recent research has proposed various technical approaches to provide some clues as to how an ML model makes individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Wenbo Guo , Sui Huang , Yunzhe Tao , Xinyu Xing , Lin Lin

We propose a fair machine learning algorithm to model interpretable differences between observed and desired human decision-making, with the latter aimed at reducing disparity in a downstream outcome impacted by the human decision. Prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Pavan Ravishankar , Rushabh Shah , Daniel B. Neill

We introduce an algorithm which, in the context of nonlinear regression on vector-valued explanatory variables, chooses those combinations of vector components that provide best prediction. The algorithm devotes particular attention to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-03 Frédéric Ferraty , Peter Hall

This study proposes a framework for estimating demand in differentiated product markets with high dimensional product characteristics, building upon the seminal Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) model, using market level data. We allow for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-05 Hua Jin

The control function approach allows the researcher to identify various causal effects of interest. While powerful, it requires a strong invertibility assumption in the selection process, which limits its applicability. This paper expands…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Sukjin Han , Hiroaki Kaido