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We propose a novel method for estimating nonseparable selection models. We show that, for a given selection function, the potential outcome distributions are nonparametrically identified from the selected outcome distributions and can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-05 Fan Wu , Yi Xin

In discrete choice modeling (DCM), model misspecifications may lead to limited predictability and biased parameter estimates. In this paper, we propose a new approach for estimating choice models in which we divide the systematic part of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-23 Brian Sifringer , Virginie Lurkin , Alexandre Alahi

Predictive models are often introduced to decision-making tasks under the rationale that they improve performance over an existing decision-making policy. However, it is challenging to compare predictive performance against an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Kenneth Holstein , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Functional data are frequently accompanied by a parametric template that describes the typical shapes of the functions. However, these parametric templates can incur significant bias, which undermines both utility and interpretability. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Daniel R. Kowal , Antonio Canale

Indirect inference requires simulating realisations of endogenous variables from the model under study. When the endogenous variables are discontinuous functions of the model parameters, the resulting indirect inference criterion function…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-11 David T. Frazier , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

Although neural networks are powerful function approximators, the underlying modelling assumptions ultimately define the likelihood and thus the hypothesis class they are parameterizing. In classification, these assumptions are minimal as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Maria R. Cervera , Rafael Dätwyler , Francesco D'Angelo , Hamza Keurti , Benjamin F. Grewe , Christian Henning

Predicting future consumer behaviour is one of the most challenging problems for large scale retail firms. Accurate prediction of consumer purchase pattern enables better inventory planning and efficient personalized marketing strategies.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Ankur Verma

We obtain a necessary and sufficient condition under which random-coefficient discrete choice models, such as mixed-logit models, are rich enough to approximate any nonparametric random utility models arbitrarily well across choice sets.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-12-12 Haoge Chang , Yusuke Narita , Kota Saito

To determine the welfare implications of price changes in demand data, we introduce a revealed preference relation over prices. We show that the absence of cycles in this relation characterizes a consumer who trades off the utility of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Rahul Deb , Yuichi Kitamura , John K. -H. Quah , Jörg Stoye

In this paper, we examine the effectiveness of various recommendation strategies in the mobile channel and their impact on consumers' utility and demand levels for individual products. We find significant differences in effectiveness among…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Panagiotis Adamopoulos , Anindya Ghose , Alexander Tuzhilin

Predicting future successful designs and corresponding market opportunity is a fundamental goal of product design firms. There is accordingly a long history of quantitative approaches that aim to capture diverse consumer preferences, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-31 Alex Burnap , John Hauser

Discrete choice models (DCMs) have been widely utilized in various scientific fields, especially economics, for many years. These models consider a stochastic environment influencing each decision maker's choices. Extensive research has…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-13 Amirreza Talebi

We consider the problem of learning to choose from a given set of objects, where each object is represented by a feature vector. Traditional approaches in choice modelling are mainly based on learning a latent, real-valued utility function,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Karlson Pfannschmidt , Eyke Hüllermeier

Data-driven sequential decision has found a wide range of applications in modern operations management, such as dynamic pricing, inventory control, and assortment optimization. Most existing research on data-driven sequential decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-01 Yining Wang , Xi Chen , Xiangyu Chang , Dongdong Ge

In this paper we discuss practical limitations of the standard choice-based demand models used in the literature to estimate demand from sales transaction data. We present modifications and extensions of the models and discuss data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Norbert Remenyi , Xiaodong Luo

The way that people make choices or exhibit preferences can be strongly affected by the set of available alternatives, often called the choice set. Furthermore, there are usually heterogeneous preferences, either at an individual level…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Kiran Tomlinson , Austin R. Benson

One of the major barriers for the retailers is to understand the consumption elasticity they can expect from their contracted demand response (DR) clients. The current trend of DR products provided by retailers are not consumer-specific,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-26 Kamalanathan Ganesan , João Tomé Saraiva , Ricardo J. Bessa

A broad range of on-line behaviors are mediated by interfaces in which people make choices among sets of options. A rich and growing line of work in the behavioral sciences indicate that human choices follow not only from the utility of…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Jon Kleinberg , Sendhil Mullainathan , Johan Ugander

Models of choice are a fundamental input to many now-canonical optimization problems in the field of Operations Management, including assortment, inventory, and price optimization. Naturally, accurate estimation of these models from data is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Joohwan Ko , Andrew A. Li

We propose an estimation procedure for discrete choice models of differentiated products with possibly high-dimensional product attributes. In our model, high-dimensional attributes can be determinants of both mean and variance of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-21 Masayuki Sawada , Kohei Kawaguchi