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Related papers: Online Laplace Model Selection Revisited

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Deep neural networks (DNNs) often produce overconfident out-of-distribution predictions, motivating Bayesian uncertainty quantification. The Linearized Laplace Approximation (LLA) achieves this by linearizing the DNN and applying Laplace…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-04 Pedro Jiménez , Luis A. Ortega , Pablo Morales-Álvarez , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Subspace inference for neural networks assumes that a subspace of their parameter space suffices to produce a reliable uncertainty quantification. In this work, we underpin the validity of this assumption by using low rank techniques. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Josua Faller , Jörg Martin

Neural Jump ODEs model the conditional expectation between observations by neural ODEs and jump at arrival of new observations. They have demonstrated effectiveness for fully data-driven online forecasting in settings with irregular and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Jakob Heiss , Florian Krach , Thorsten Schmidt , Félix B. Tambe-Ndonfack

We introduce an evidence-driven Bayesian formulation of physics-informed neural networks that enables automatic optimization of loss weights between PDE residuals, boundary conditions, and observational data. Unlike existing Bayesian PINN…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-05-29 Krzysztof M. Graczyk , Kornel Witkowski

This paper proposes two projector-based Hopfield neural network (HNN) estimators for online, constrained parameter estimation under time-varying data, additive disturbances, and slowly drifting physical parameters. The first is a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-03 Miguel Pedro Silva

Marginal-likelihood based model-selection, even though promising, is rarely used in deep learning due to estimation difficulties. Instead, most approaches rely on validation data, which may not be readily available. In this work, we present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-16 Alexander Immer , Matthias Bauer , Vincent Fortuin , Gunnar Rätsch , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

Symbolic regression with polynomial neural networks and polynomial neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are two recent and powerful approaches for equation recovery of many science and engineering problems. However, these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-28 Colby Fronk , Jaewoong Yun , Prashant Singh , Linda Petzold

The Laplace approximation is a popular method for constructing a Gaussian approximation to the Bayesian posterior and thereby approximating the posterior mean and variance. But approximation quality is a concern. One might consider using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Mikołaj J. Kasprzak , Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick

Compared to point estimates calculated by standard neural networks, Bayesian neural networks (BNN) provide probability distributions over the output predictions and model parameters, i.e., the weights. Training the weight distribution of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Philipp Wagner , Xinyang Wu , Marco F. Huber

In online continual learning, a neural network incrementally learns from a non-i.i.d. data stream. Nearly all online continual learning methods employ experience replay to simultaneously prevent catastrophic forgetting and underfitting on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Jason Yoo , Yunpeng Liu , Frank Wood , Geoff Pleiss

Laplace approximation (LA) and its linearized variant (LLA) enable effortless adaptation of pretrained deep neural networks to Bayesian neural networks. The generalized Gauss-Newton (GGN) approximation is typically introduced to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Zhijie Deng , Feng Zhou , Jun Zhu

The Linearized Laplace Approximation (LLA) has been recently used to perform uncertainty estimation on the predictions of pre-trained deep neural networks (DNNs). However, its widespread application is hindered by significant computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Luis A. Ortega , Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

We investigate online nonlinear regression with continually running recurrent neural network networks (RNNs), i.e., RNN-based online learning. For RNN-based online learning, we introduce an efficient first-order training algorithm that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 N. Mert Vural , Selim F. Yilmaz , Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman S. Kozat

Batch training of machine learning models based on neural networks is now well established, whereas to date streaming methods are largely based on linear models. To go beyond linear in the online setting, nonparametric methods are of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Alec Koppel , Amrit Singh Bedi , Ketan Rajawat , Brian M. Sadler

We propose an online learning algorithm for a class of machine learning models under a separable stochastic approximation framework. The essence of our idea lies in the observation that certain parameters in the models are easier to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Min Gan , Xiang-xiang Su , Guang-yong Chen , Jing Chen

Current approaches in approximate inference for Bayesian neural networks minimise the Kullback-Leibler divergence to approximate the true posterior over the weights. However, this approximation is without knowledge of the final application,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-11 Adam D. Cobb , Stephen J. Roberts , Yarin Gal

Selecting hyperparameters in deep learning greatly impacts its effectiveness but requires manual effort and expertise. Recent works show that Bayesian model selection with Laplace approximations can allow to optimize such hyperparameters…

We develop an online gradient algorithm for optimizing the performance of product-form networks through online adjustment of control parameters. The use of standard algorithms for finding optimal parameter settings is hampered by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-08-31 Jaron Sanders , Sem C. Borst , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

Laplace approximations are popular techniques for endowing deep networks with epistemic uncertainty estimates as they can be applied without altering the predictions of the trained network, and they scale to large models and datasets. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Tristan Cinquin , Marvin Pförtner , Vincent Fortuin , Philipp Hennig , Robert Bamler

We study the online unweighted bipartite matching problem in the random arrival order model, with $n$ offline and $n$ online vertices, in the learning-augmented setting: The algorithm is provided with untrusted predictions of the types…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Kunanon Burathep , Thomas Erlebach , William K. Moses