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Predictive process monitoring enables organizations to proactively react and intervene in running instances of a business process. Given an incomplete process instance, predictions about the outcome, next activity, or remaining time are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Martin Käppel , Julian Neuberger , Felix Möhrlein , Sven Weinzierl , Martin Matzner , Stefan Jablonski

In machine learning models, the estimation of errors is often complex due to distribution bias, particularly in spatial data such as those found in environmental studies. We introduce an approach based on the ideas of importance sampling to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Boris Prokhorov , Diana Koldasbayeva , Alexey Zaytsev

Behavioral studies using personal digital devices typically produce rich longitudinal datasets of mixed data types. These data provide information about the behavior of users of these devices in real-time and in the users' natural…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-12-06 A. Ikäheimonen , A. M. Triana , N. Luong , A. Ziaei , J. Rantaharju , R. Darst , T. Aledavood

The integration of data from multiple sources is increasingly used to achieve larger sample sizes and enhance population diversity. Our previous work established that, under random sampling from the same underlying population, integrating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Farimah Shamsi , Andriy Derkach

When epidemiologic studies are conducted in a subset of the population, selection bias can threaten the validity of causal inference. This bias can occur whether or not that selected population is the target population, and can occur even…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-07 Louisa H. Smith , Tyler J. VanderWeele

When studying the causal effect of $x$ on $y$, researchers may conduct regression and report a confidence interval for the slope coefficient $\beta_{x}$. This common confidence interval provides an assessment of uncertainty from sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Brian Knaeble , Braxton Osting , Mark Abramson

Many real world data mining applications involve obtaining predictive models using data sets with strongly imbalanced distributions of the target variable. Frequently, the least common values of this target variable are associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-14 Paula Branco , Luis Torgo , Rita Ribeiro

Propensity score weighting is an important tool for comparative effectiveness research.Besides the inverse probability of treatment weights (IPW), recent development has introduced a general class of balancing weights, corresponding to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Tianhui Zhou , Guangyu Tong , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

Simulations are valuable tools for empirically evaluating the properties of statistical methods and are primarily employed in methodological research to draw general conclusions about methods. In addition, they can often be useful to…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-10-08 Anne-Laure Boulesteix , Patrick Callahan , Luzia Hanssum , Vincent Gaertner , Eva Hoster

Researchers often misinterpret and misrepresent statistical outputs. This abuse has led to a large literature on modification or replacement of testing thresholds and $P$-values with confidence intervals, Bayes factors, and other devices.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-02 Zad Rafi , Sander Greenland

Learning from imbalanced data is a challenging task. Standard classification algorithms tend to perform poorly when trained on imbalanced data. Some special strategies need to be adopted, either by modifying the data distribution or by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Asif Newaz , Shahriar Hassan , Farhan Shahriyar Haq

Binary classification is a fundamental task in machine learning, with applications spanning various scientific domains. Whether scientists are conducting fundamental research or refining practical applications, they typically assess and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Attila Fazekas , György Kovács

This paper illustrates the use of entropy balancing in difference-in-differences analyses when pre-intervention outcome trends suggest a possible violation of the parallel trends assumption. We describe a set of assumptions under which…

Purchase data from retail chains provide proxy measures of private household expenditure on items that are the most troublesome to collect in the traditional expenditure survey. Due to the sheer amount of proxy data, the bias due to…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-06-27 Li-Chun Zhang

Aggregate outcome variables collected through surveys and administrative records are often subject to systematic measurement error. For instance, in disaster loss databases, county-level losses reported may differ from the true damages due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Saketh Vishnubhatla , Shu Wan , Andre Harrison , Adrienne Raglin , Huan Liu

Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for measuring causal effects. However, they are often not always feasible, and causal treatment effects must be estimated from observational data. Observational studies do not allow robust…

In analyzing big data for finite population inference, it is critical to adjust for the selection bias in the big data. In this paper, we propose two methods of reducing the selection bias associated with the big data sample. The first…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-08 Jae Kwang Kim , Zhonglei Wang

We provide an approach to exploratory data analysis in matched observational studies with a single intervention and multiple endpoints. In such settings, the researcher would like to explore evidence for actual treatment effects among these…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Mengqi Lin , Colin Fogarty

The analysis of consumer sentiment, as expressed through reviews, can provide a wealth of insight regarding the quality of a product. While the study of sentiment analysis has been widely explored in many popular languages, relatively less…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Mohsinul Kabir , Obayed Bin Mahfuz , Syed Rifat Raiyan , Hasan Mahmud , Md Kamrul Hasan

We introduce PyChEst, a Python package which provides tools for the simultaneous estimation of multiple changepoints in the distribution of piece-wise stationary time series. The nonparametric algorithms implemented are provably consistent…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-21 Azadeh Khaleghi , Lukas Zierahn