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Opinion Dynamics lacks a theoretical basis. In this article, I propose to use a decision-theoretic framework, based on the updating of subjective probabilities, as that basis. We will see we get a basic tool for a better understanding of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-21 Andre C. R. Martins

Neural networks are powerful tools for cognitive modeling due to their flexibility and emergent properties. However, interpreting their learned representations remains challenging due to their sub-symbolic semantics. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Andrew Nam , Declan Campbell , Thomas Griffiths , Jonathan Cohen , Sarah-Jane Leslie

Many recent efforts in computational modeling of macro-scale brain dynamics have begun to take a data-driven approach by incorporating structural and/or functional information derived from subject data. Here, we discuss recent work using…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-15 Kanika Bansal , Johan Nakuci , Sarah Feldt Muldoon

Autonomous robot swarms must be able to make fast and accurate collective decisions, but speed and accuracy are known to be conflicting goals. While collective decision-making is widely studied in swarm robotics research, only few works on…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Tanja Katharina Kaiser , Tristan Potten , Heiko Hamann

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

While machine learning is rapidly being developed and deployed in health settings such as influenza prediction, there are critical challenges in using data from one environment in another due to variability in features; even within disease…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-10 Vishwali Mhasawade , Nabeel Abdur Rehman , Rumi Chunara

Recently, modeling of decision making and control systems that include heterogeneous smart sensing devices (machines) as well as human agents as participants is becoming an important research area due to the wide variety of applications…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-20 Baocheng Geng , Pramod K. Varshney

Descriptive and inferential social network analysis has become common in public administration studies of network governance and management. A large literature has developed in two broad categories: antecedents of network structure, and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Travis A. Whetsell , Michael D. Siciliano

Statistical inference using social sensors is an area that has witnessed remarkable progress and is relevant in applications including localizing events for targeted advertising, marketing, localization of natural disasters and predicting…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-08-16 Vikram Krishnamurthy , William Hoiles

Financial and economic history is strewn with bubbles and crashes, booms and busts, crises and upheavals of all sorts. Understanding the origin of these events is arguably one of the most important problems in economic theory. In this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Bayesian interpretations of neural network have a long history, dating back to early work in the 1990's and have recently regained attention because of their desirable properties like uncertainty estimation, model robustness and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Jack K Fitzsimons , Sebastian M Schmon , Stephen J Roberts

Much research has been done on studying the diffusion of ideas or technologies on social networks including the \textit{Influence Maximization} problem and many of its variations. Here, we investigate a type of inverse problem. Given a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-04-28 Georgios Askalidis , Randall A. Berry , Vijay G. Subramanian

Our interest is in multiplex network data with multiple network samples observed across the same set of nodes. Examples originate from a variety of fields, including brain connectivity, international trade networks, and social networks,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Yuren Zhou , Yuqi Gu , David B. Dunson

In recent times, neural networks have become a powerful tool for the analysis of complex and abstract data models. However, their introduction intrinsically increases our uncertainty about which features of the analysis are model-related…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Tom Charnock , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur , François Lanusse

Diffusion processes have been applied with great success to model the dynamics of large populations throughout science, in particular biology. One advantage is that they bridge two different scales: the microscopic and the macroscopic one.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-11 Marc de Kamps

In the social, behavioral, and economic sciences, it is an important problem to predict which individual opinions will eventually dominate in a large population, if there will be a consensus, and how long it takes a consensus to form. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-28 X. Flora Meng , Robert A. Van Gorder , Mason A. Porter

Recent work has focused attention on statistical inference for the population distribution of the number of sexual partners based on survey data. The characteristics of these distributions are of interest as components of mathematical…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark S. Handcock , James Holland Jones , Martina Morris

Experiments on decision making under uncertainty are known to display a classical pattern of risk aversion and risk seeking referred to as "fourfold pattern" (or "reflection effect") , but recent experiments varying the speed and order of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-17 Francesco Fumarola , Lukasz Kusmierz , Ronald B. Dekker

We investigate how individuals form expectations about population behavior using statistical inference based on observations of their social relations. Misperceptions about others' connectedness and behavior arise from sampling bias…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-27 Andreas Bjerre-Nielsen , Martin Benedikt Busch

Various brain functions that are necessary to maintain life activities materialize through the interaction of countless neurons. Therefore, it is important to analyze functional neuronal network. To elucidate the mechanism of brain…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-29 Shun Kimura , Koujin Takeda