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The COVID-19 pandemic considerably affects public health systems around the world. The lack of knowledge about the virus, the extension of this phenomenon, and the speed of the evolution of the infection are all factors that highlight the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Andrea Loreggia , Anna Passarelli , Maria Silvia Pini

The current pandemic has introduced substantial uncertainty to traditional methods for demand planning. These uncertainties stem from the disease progression, government interventions, economy and consumer behavior. While most of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Shaz Hoda , Amitoj Singh , Anand Rao , Remzi Ural , Nicholas Hodson

Forecasting the effect of COVID-19 is essential to design policies that may prepare us to handle the pandemic. Many methods have already been proposed, particularly, to forecast reported cases and deaths at country-level and state-level.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-14 Ajitesh Srivastava , Tianjian Xu , Viktor K. Prasanna

I present three types of applications of generalized additive models (GAMs) to COVID-19 mortality rates in the US for the purpose of advancing methods to document inequities with respect to which communities suffered disproportionate…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-01 Christian Testa

Currently, novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a big threat to global health. The rapid spread of the virus has created pandemic, and countries all over the world are struggling with a surge in COVID-19 infected cases. There are no…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-08 Se Yoon Lee , Bowen Lei , Bani K. Mallick

Purpose: This paper proposes a methodology and a computational tool to study the COVID-19 pandemic throughout the world and to perform a trend analysis to assess its local dynamics. Methods: Mathematical functions are employed to describe…

In this work, using a detailed dataset furnished by National Health Authorities concerning the Province of Pavia (Lombardy, Italy), we propose to determine the essential features of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic in term of contact dynamics.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-05 M. Zanella , C. Bardelli , G. Dimarco , S. Deandrea , P. Perotti , M. Azzi , S. Figini , G. Toscani

The COVID-19 pandemic has globally posed numerous health challenges, notably the emergence of post-COVID-19 cardiovascular complications. This study addresses this by utilizing data-driven machine learning models to predict such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Maitham G. Yousif , Hector J. Castro

COVID-19 pandemic is an ongoing global pandemic which has caused unprecedented disruptions in the public health sector and global economy. The virus, SARS-CoV-2 is responsible for the rapid transmission of coronavirus disease. Due to its…

Mutating variants of COVID-19 have been reported across many US states since 2021. In the fight against COVID-19, it has become imperative to study the heterogeneity in the time-varying transmission rates for each variant in the presence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

This study presents a comprehensive assessment of the Italian risk model used during the COVID-19 pandemic to guide regional mobility restrictions through a colour-coded classification system. The research focuses on evaluating the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-04 Giuseppe Drago , Giulia Marcon , Alberto Lombardo , Giuseppe Aiello

Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a popular framework for estimating a causal effect in settings where treatment is assigned if an observed covariate exceeds a fixed threshold. We consider estimation and inference in the common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Kevin Tao , Y. Samuel Wang , David Ruppert

The COVID-19 pandemic brought unprecedented levels of disruption to the local and regional transportation networks throughout the United States, especially the Motor City: Detroit. That was mainly a result of swift restrictive measures such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-23 Yongtao Yao , Tony G. Geara , Weisong Shi

Objective: To estimate the number of deaths in Peru due to COVID-19. Design: With a priori information obtained from the daily number of deaths due to CODIV-19 in China and data from the Peruvian authorities, we constructed a predictive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-08 Cristian Bayes , Victor Sal y Rosas , Luis Valdivieso

This paper introduces new methods to analyze the changing progression of COVID-19 cases to deaths in different waves of the pandemic. First, an algorithmic approach partitions each country or state's COVID-19 time series into a first wave…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-18 Nick James , Max Menzies , Peter Radchenko

In medical research, understanding changes in outcome measurements is crucial for inferring shifts in health conditions. However, traditional methods often struggle with large, irregularly longitudinal data and fail to account for the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-13 Yu Luo , Chris Sherlock

COVID-19 is a global health crisis that has had unprecedented, widespread impact on households across the United States and has been declared a global pandemic on March 11, 2020 by World Health Organization (WHO) [1]. According to Centers…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-25 Harshvardhan Uppaluru , Hamid Emadi , Hossein Rastgoftar

While COVID-19 has impacted humans for a long time, people search the web for pandemic-related information, causing anxiety. From a theoretic perspective, previous studies have confirmed that the number of COVID-19 cases can cause negative…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Linjiang Guo , Zijian Feng , Yuxue Chi , Mingzhu Wang , Yijun Liu

In this work, we propose a deep learning approach to forecasting state-level COVID-19 trends of weekly cumulative death in the United States (US) and incident cases in Germany. This approach includes a transformer model, an ensemble method,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-03 Chung Yan Fong , Dit-Yan Yeung

The availability of multidimensional economic datasets has grown significantly in recent years. An example is bilateral trade values across goods among countries, comprising three dimensions -- importing countries, exporting countries, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-24 Yaling Qi