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Model selection is central to statistics, and many learning problems can be formulated as model selection problems. In this paper, we treat the problem of selecting a maximum entropy model given various feature subsets and their moments, as…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-11-28 Gaurav Pandey , Ambedkar Dukkipati

The relationship between the Bayesian approach and the minimum description length approach is established. We sharpen and clarify the general modeling principles MDL and MML, abstracted as the ideal MDL principle and defined from Bayes's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Paul Vitanyi , Ming Li

This is an up-to-date introduction to and overview of the Minimum Description Length (MDL) Principle, a theory of inductive inference that can be applied to general problems in statistics, machine learning and pattern recognition. While MDL…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-19 Peter Grünwald , Teemu Roos

In the signal processing and statistics literature, the minimum description length (MDL) principle is a popular tool for choosing model complexity. Successful examples include signal denoising and variable selection in linear regression,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-28 Zhenyu Wei , Raymond K. W. Wong , Thomas C. M. Lee

Complexity is a fundamental concept underlying statistical learning theory that aims to inform generalization performance. Parameter count, while successful in low-dimensional settings, is not well-justified for overparameterized settings…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Raaz Dwivedi , Chandan Singh , Bin Yu , Martin J. Wainwright

This paper introduces a new method for model selection and more generally hyperparameter selection in machine learning. Minimum description length (MDL) is an established method for model selection, which is however not directly aimed at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-23 Mojtaba Abolfazli , Anders Host-Madsen , June Zhang

We analyze differences between two information-theoretically motivated approaches to statistical inference and model selection: the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle, and the Minimum Message Length (MML) principle. Based on this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Peter D Grunwald , Petri Kontkanen , Petri Myllymaki , Tomi Silander , Henry Tirri

In the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle, learning from the data is equivalent to an optimal coding problem. We show that the codes that achieve optimal compression in MDL are critical in a very precise sense. First, when they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-03 Ryan John Cubero , Matteo Marsili , Yasser Roudi

The Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle selects the model that has the shortest code for data plus model. We show that for a countable class of models, MDL predictions are close to the true distribution in a strong sense. The result…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Marcus Hutter

This is about the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle applied to pattern mining. The length of this description is kept to the minimum. Mining patterns is a core task in data analysis and, beyond issues of efficient enumeration, the…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Esther Galbrun

The Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle is solidly based on a provably ideal method of inference using Kolmogorov complexity. We test how the theory behaves in practice on a general problem in model selection: that of learning the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Qiong Gao , Ming Li , Paul Vitanyi

The Minimum Description Length principle for online sequence estimation/prediction in a proper learning setup is studied. If the underlying model class is discrete, then the total expected square loss is a particularly interesting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-16 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

We leverage the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle as a model selection technique for Bernoulli distributions and compare several types of MDL codes. We first present a simplistic crude two-part MDL code and a Normalized Maximum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-10-04 Marc Boullé , Fabrice Clérot , Carine Hue

We consider the Minimum Description Length principle for online sequence prediction. If the underlying model class is discrete, then the total expected square loss is a particularly interesting performance measure: (a) this quantity is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

State-of-the-art neural networks can be trained to become remarkable solutions to many problems. But while these architectures can express symbolic, perfect solutions, trained models often arrive at approximations instead. We show that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Matan Abudy , Orr Well , Emmanuel Chemla , Roni Katzir , Nur Lan

Statistical equilibrium models of coherent structures in two-dimensional and barotropic quasi-geostrophic turbulence are formulated using canonical and microcanonical ensembles, and the equivalence or nonequivalence of ensembles is…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. S. Ellis , K. Haven , B. Turkington

Modern statistical modeling is an important complement to the more traditional approach of physics where Complex Systems are studied by means of extremely simple idealized models. The Minimum Description Length (MDL) is a principled…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-20 Juan Ignacio Perotti , Claudio Juan Tessone , Aaron Clauset , Guido Caldarelli

The normalized maximized likelihood (NML) provides the minimax regret solution in universal data compression, gambling, and prediction, and it plays an essential role in the minimum description length (MDL) method of statistical modeling…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-29 Andrew Barron , Teemu Roos , Kazuho Watanabe

Statistical models based on canonical and grand canonical ensembles are extensively used to study intermediate energy heavy ion collisions. The underlying physical assumption behind canonical and grand canonical models is fundamentally…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-06-11 Swagata Mallik , Gargi Chaudhuri

Minimum Description Length (MDL) is an important principle for induction and prediction, with strong relations to optimal Bayesian learning. This paper deals with learning non-i.i.d. processes by means of two-part MDL, where the underlying…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter
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