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Uncertainty quantification (UQ) helps to make trustworthy predictions based on collected observations and uncertain domain knowledge. With increased usage of deep learning in various applications, the need for efficient UQ methods that can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Olga Graf , Pablo Flores , Pavlos Protopapas , Karim Pichara

Bayesian inverse design provides a principled framework for inferring aerodynamic geometries from sparse flow observations while quantifying uncertainty. However, its practical use in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) is severely limited…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-26 Bipin Tiwari , Omer San

In a standard Quantum Sensing (QS) task one aims at estimating an unknown parameter $\theta$, encoded into an $n$-qubit probe state, via measurements of the system. The success of this task hinges on the ability to correlate changes in the…

This work presents novel extensions for combining two frameworks for quantifying both aleatoric (i.e., irreducible) and epistemic (i.e., reducible) sources of uncertainties in the modeling of engineered systems. The data-consistent (DC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-07 Taylor Roper , Harri Hakula , Troy Butler

Functional data analysis is concerned with the analysis of infinite-dimensional data functions. Functional principal component analysis (FPCA) is a key method to obtain finite-dimensional summaries. Consistency of FPCA has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Tim Kutta , Nina Dörnemann , Piotr Kokoszka

While deep learning offers tremendous promise for scientific and medical imaging, any failures and hallucinations (predictions that do not coincide with reality) are hard to pinpoint and can have serious downstream consequences. Uncertainty…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Cassandra Tong Ye , Shamus Li , Tyler King , Kristina Monakhova

Uncertainties from model parameters and model discrepancy from small-scale models impact the accuracy and reliability of predictions of large-scale systems. Inadequate representation of these uncertainties may result in inaccurate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-18 K. Sham Bhat , David S. Mebane , Curtis B. Storlie , Priyadarshi Mahapatra

We propose using Probabilistic Cellular Automata (PCA) to address inverse problems with the Bayesian approach. In particular, we use PCA to sample from an approximation of the posterior distribution. The peculiar feature of PCA is their…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-24 Danilo Costarelli , Michele Piconi , Alessio Troiani

Data analysis often requires methods that are invariant with respect to specific transformations, such as rotations in case of images or shifts in case of images and time series. While principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely-used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-30 Florian Heinrichs

We consider the problem of modeling heterogeneous materials where micro-scale dynamics and interactions affect global behavior. In the presence of heterogeneities in material microstructure it is often impractical, if not impossible, to…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-11-03 Yiming Fan , Marta D'Elia , Yue Yu , Habib N. Najm , Stewart Silling

Principal component analysis (PCA) is largely adopted for chemical process monitoring and numerous PCA-based systems have been developed to solve various fault detection and diagnosis problems. Since PCA-based methods assume that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-13 Haitao Zhao

This paper is motivated by modeling the cycle-to-cycle variability associated with the resistive switching operation behind memristors. As the data are by nature curves, functional principal component analysis is a suitable candidate to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-20 C. Acal , A. M. Aguilera , F. J. Alonso , J. E. Ruiz-Castro , J. B. Roldán

Fourier PCA is Principal Component Analysis of a matrix obtained from higher order derivatives of the logarithm of the Fourier transform of a distribution.We make this method algorithmic by developing a tensor decomposition method for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-01 Navin Goyal , Santosh Vempala , Ying Xiao

Safe deployment of graph neural networks (GNNs) under distribution shift requires models to provide accurate confidence indicators (CI). However, while it is well-known in computer vision that CI quality diminishes under distribution shift,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-21 Puja Trivedi , Mark Heimann , Rushil Anirudh , Danai Koutra , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan

Inverse problems play a key role in modern image/signal processing methods. However, since they are generally ill-conditioned or ill-posed due to lack of observations, their solutions may have significant intrinsic uncertainty. Analysing…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-09 Xiaohao Cai , Marcelo Pereyra , Jason D. McEwen

Scientific Machine Learning is a new class of approaches that integrate physical knowledge and mechanistic models with data-driven techniques for uncovering governing equations of complex processes. Among the available approaches, Universal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-14 Nina Schmid , David Fernandes del Pozo , Willem Waegeman , Jan Hasenauer

This article establishes a new and comprehensive estimation and inference theory for principal component analysis (PCA) under the weak factor model that allow for cross-sectional dependent idiosyncratic components under the nearly minimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-02 Jianqing Fan , Yuling Yan , Yuheng Zheng

Techniques from artificial intelligence and machine learning are increasingly employed in nuclear theory, however, the uncertainties that arise from the complex parameter manifold encoded by the neural networks are often overlooked.…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-10-29 Mengyao Huang , Kyle A. Wendt , Nicolas F. Schunck , Erika M. Holmbeck

In complex physical process characterization, such as the measurement of the regression rate for solid hybrid rocket fuels, where both the observation data and the model used have uncertainties originating from multiple sources, combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Georgios Georgalis , Kolos Retfalvi , Paul E. DesJardin , Abani Patra

Constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification (UQ) on complex partial differential equations (PDEs) having inherently high-dimensional $\mathcal{O}(10^{\ge 2})$ stochastic inputs (e.g., forcing terms, boundary conditions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Katiana Kontolati , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Dimitris G. Giovanis , Lohit Vandanapu , Michael D. Shields
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