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Data scarcity, bias, and experimental noise are all frequently encountered problems in the application of deep learning to chemical and material science disciplines. Transfer learning has proven effective in compensating for the lack in…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-03-16 Florence H. Vermeire , William H. Green

The prediction of streamflows and other environmental variables in unmonitored basins is a grand challenge in hydrology. Recent machine learning (ML) models can harness vast datasets for accurate predictions at large spatial scales.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Jared D. Willard , Fabio Ciulla , Helen Weierbach , Vipin Kumar , Charuleka Varadharajan

Deep neural networks are increasingly being used for the analysis of medical images. However, most works neglect the uncertainty in the model's prediction. We propose an uncertainty-aware deep kernel learning model which permits the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Jindong Gu , Volker Tresp

Predicting future resource demand in Cloud Computing is essential for optimizing the trade-off between serving customers' requests efficiently and minimizing the provisioning cost. Modelling prediction uncertainty is also desirable to…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Andrea Rossi , Andrea Visentin , Diego Carraro , Steven Prestwich , Kenneth N. Brown

Popular approaches for quantifying predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks often involve distributions over weights or multiple models, for instance via Markov Chain sampling, ensembling, or Monte Carlo dropout. These techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Dennis Ulmer , Christian Hardmeier , Jes Frellsen

Many large scale problems in computational fluid dynamics such as uncertainty quantification, Bayesian inversion, data assimilation and PDE constrained optimization are considered very challenging computationally as they require a large…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Kjetil O. Lye , Siddhartha Mishra , Deep Ray

Deep neural networks have shown great success in prediction quality while reliable and robust uncertainty estimation remains a challenge. Predictive uncertainty supplements model predictions and enables improved functionality of downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Johanna Rock , Tiago Azevedo , René de Jong , Daniel Ruiz-Muñoz , Partha Maji

Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-04 Tiago Ramalho , Miguel Miranda

Deep learning models are widely used across computer vision and other domains. When working on the model induction, selecting the right architecture for a given dataset often relies on repetitive trial-and-error procedures. This procedure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Yen-Chia Chen , Hsing-Kuo Pao , Hanjuan Huang

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-08 Javier Antorán , James Urquhart Allingham , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Molecular machine learning has been maturing rapidly over the last few years. Improved methods and the presence of larger datasets have enabled machine learning algorithms to make increasingly accurate predictions about molecular…

The rapid development of machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) applications requires the training of large numbers of models. This growing demand highlights the importance of training models without human supervision, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Alexey Boldyrev , Fedor Ratnikov , Andrey Shevelev

Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

Ensembling multiple predictions is a widely used technique for improving the accuracy of various machine learning tasks. One obvious drawback of ensembling is its higher execution cost during inference. In this paper, we first describe our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-11 Hiroshi Inoue

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

Machine-learning models in chemistry - when based on descriptors of atoms embedded within molecules - face essential challenges in transferring the quality of predictions of local electronic structures and their associated properties across…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-09-27 Frederik Ø. Kjeldal , Janus J. Eriksen

The full acceptance of Deep Learning (DL) models in the clinical field is rather low with respect to the quantity of high-performing solutions reported in the literature. Particularly, end users are reluctant to rely on the rough…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-11 Benjamin Lambert , Florence Forbes , Alan Tucholka , Senan Doyle , Harmonie Dehaene , Michel Dojat

Recent advances in deep learning have led various applications to unprecedented achievements, which could potentially bring higher intelligence to a broad spectrum of mobile and ubiquitous applications. Although existing studies have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Shuochao Yao , Yiran Zhao , Huajie Shao , Aston Zhang , Chao Zhang , Shen Li , Tarek Abdelzaher

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Complex turbulent flow simulations are an integral aspect of the engineering design process. The mainstay of these simulations is represented by eddy viscosity based turbulence models. Eddy viscosity models are computationally cheap due to…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-14 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian