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Established techniques for simulation and prediction with Gaussian process (GP) dynamics often implicitly make use of an independence assumption on successive function evaluations of the dynamics model. This can result in significant error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Lukas Hewing , Elena Arcari , Lukas P. Fröhlich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Maneuvering target tracking is a challenging problem for sensor systems because of the unpredictability of the targets' motions. This paper proposes a novel data-driven method for learning the dynamical motion model of a target.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-28 Mengwei Sun , Mike E. Davies , Ian K. Proudler , James R. Hopgood

We present a straightforward and efficient way to control unstable robotic systems using an estimated dynamics model. Specifically, we show how to exploit the differentiability of Gaussian Processes to create a state-dependent linearized…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Ivan D. Jimenez Rodriguez , Ugo Rosolia , Aaron D. Ames , Yisong Yue

In this paper we present a learning-based tracking controller based on Gaussian processes (GP) for a fault-tolerant hexarotor in a recovery maneuver. In particular, to estimate certain uncertainties that appear in a hexacopter vehicle with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-28 Leonardo J. Colombo , Manuela Gamonal Fernandez , Juan I. Giribet

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

Gaussian Processes (GPs), as a nonparametric learning method, offer flexible modeling capabilities and calibrated uncertainty quantification for function approximations. Additionally, GPs support online learning by efficiently incorporating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Zewen Yang , Dongfa Zhang , Xiaobing Dai , Fengyi Yu , Chi Zhang , Bingkun Huang , Hamid Sadeghian , Sami Haddadin

Obtaining high certainty in predictive models is crucial for making informed and trustworthy decisions in many scientific and engineering domains. However, extensive experimentation required for model accuracy can be both costly and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Giorgio Morales , John Sheppard

Gaussian process regression is a well-established Bayesian machine learning method. We propose a new approach to Gaussian process regression using quantum kernels based on parameterized quantum circuits. By employing a hardware-efficient…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-06 Frederic Rapp , Marco Roth

This paper considers the quantification of the prediction performance in Gaussian process regression. The standard approach is to base the prediction error bars on the theoretical predictive variance, which is a lower bound on the mean…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-16 Johan Wågberg , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön , Petre Stoica

Many functions have approximately-known upper and/or lower bounds, potentially aiding the modeling of such functions. In this paper, we introduce Gaussian process models for functions where such bounds are (approximately) known. More…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Vu Nguyen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Michael A. Osborne

Estimating causal effects in quasi-experiments with spatio-temporal panel data often requires adjusting for unmeasured confounding that varies across space and time. Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer a flexible, nonparametric modeling approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Sofia L. Vega , Rachel C. Nethery

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric generative models that provide interpretability of hyperparameters, admit closed-form expressions for training and inference, and are able to accurately represent uncertainty. To model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-21 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a popular and sample-efficient approach for many engineering applications, where observations are expensive to acquire, and is also a central ingredient of Bayesian optimization (BO), a highly prevailing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-06 Sébastien Da Veiga

In this paper we investigate the existence of a separation principle between model identification and control design in the context of model predictive control. First, we clarify that such a separation principle holds asymptotically in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-24 Giacomo Baggio , Ruggero Carli , Riccardo Alessandro Grimaldi , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

Many inferential tasks involve fitting models to observed data and predicting outcomes at new covariate values, requiring interpolation or extrapolation. Conventional methods select a single best-fitting model, discarding fits that were…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Soonhong Cho , Doeun Kim , Chad Hazlett

We present the first framework for Gaussian-process-modulated Poisson processes when the temporal data appear in the form of panel counts. Panel count data frequently arise when experimental subjects are observed only at discrete time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Hongyi Ding , Young Lee , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a Bayesian nonparametric method for regression and interpolation, offering a principled way of quantifying the uncertainties of predicted function values. For the quantified uncertainties to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Masha Naslidnyk , Motonobu Kanagawa , Toni Karvonen , Maren Mahsereci

Repetitive motion tasks are common in robotics, but performance can degrade over time due to environmental changes and robot wear and tear. Iterative learning control (ILC) improves performance by using information from previous iterations…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Unnati Nigam , Radhendushka Srivastava , Faezeh Marzbanrad , Michael Burke

Estimating state of health is a critical function of a battery management system but remains challenging due to the variability of operating conditions and usage requirements of real applications. As a result, techniques based on fitting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-17 Antti Aitio , Dominik Jöst , Dirk Uwe Sauer , David A. Howey