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When the copula of the conditional distribution of two random variables given a covariate does not depend on the value of the covariate, two conflicting intuitions arise about the best possible rate of convergence attainable by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-17 François Portier , Johan Segers

Consider informative selection of a sample from a finite population. Responses are realized as independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables with a probability density function (p.d.f.) f, referred to as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Daniel Bonnéry , F. Jay Breidt , François Coquet

We introduce the notion of a bivariate random discrete copula on an equidistant mesh and explore its stochastic properties. A random discrete copula is a discrete random field, hence, its value at a given point on the mesh is a random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Damjana Kokol Bukovšek , Blaž Mojškerc , Nik Stopar

We develop IV Fr\'echet regression (IVFR), an instrumental-variable (IV) method for settings where the outcome is an entire distribution. Framing the problem as an IV regression in 2-Wasserstein space, IVFR extends global Fr\'echet…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-28 David Van Dijcke , Kaspar Wüthrich

In this paper we introduce a new class of multivariate unimodal distributions, motivated by Khintchine's representation. We start by proposing a univariate model, whose support covers all the unimodal distributions on the real line. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-25 Marina S. Paez , Stephen G. Walker

Diffusion models are extensively used for modeling image priors for inverse problems. We introduce \emph{Diff-Unfolding}, a principled framework for learning posterior score functions of \emph{conditional diffusion models} by explicitly…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-22 Yuanhao Wang , Shirin Shoushtari , Ulugbek S. Kamilov

Motivated by the need, in some Bayesian likelihood free inference problems, of imputing a multivariate counting distribution based on its vector of means and variance-covariance matrix, we define a generic multivariate discrete…

Applications · Statistics 2011-03-28 Marcos Capistrán , J. Andrés Christen

Key to effective generic, or "black-box", variational inference is the selection of an approximation to the target density that balances accuracy and speed. Copula models are promising options, but calibration of the approximation can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-01 Michael Stanley Smith , Rubén Loaiza-Maya

We introduce Random Projection Flows (RPFs), a principled framework for injective normalizing flows that leverages tools from random matrix theory and the geometry of random projections. RPFs employ random semi-orthogonal matrices, drawn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Ahmad Ayaz Amin , Baha Uddin Kazi

The distributional transform (DT) is amongst the computational methods used for estimation of high-dimensional multivariate normal copula models with discrete responses. Its advantage is that the likelihood can be derived conveniently under…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-16 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

We study invariant measures for random countable (finite or infinite) conformal iterated function systems (IFS) with arbitrary overlaps. We do not assume any type of separation condition. We prove, under a mild assumption of finite entropy,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Eugen Mihailescu , Mariusz Urbanski

A key tool to carry out inference on the unknown copula when modeling a continuous multivariate distribution is a nonparametric estimator known as the empirical copula. One popular way of approximating its sampling distribution consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Ivan Kojadinovic , Kristina Stemikovskaya

We propose a semiparametric family of copulas based on a set of orthonormal functions and a matrix. This new copula permits to reach values of Spearman's Rho arbitrarily close to one without introducing a singular component. Moreover, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Cécile Amblard , Stephane Girard , Ludovic Menneteau

This paper studies the problem of {\em learning} the probability distribution $P_X$ of a discrete random variable $X$ using indirect and sequential samples. At each time step, we choose one of the possible $K$ functions, $g_1, \ldots, g_K$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Samarth Gupta , Gauri Joshi , Osman Yağan

It is often reasonable to assume that the dependence structure of a bivariate continuous distribution belongs to the class of extreme-value copulas. The latter are characterized by their Pickands dependence function. In this paper, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Christian Genest , Ivan Kojadinovic , Johanna Nešlehová , Jun Yan

This paper lays out a principled approach to compare copula forecasts via strictly consistent scores. We first establish the negative result that, in general, copulas fail to be elicitable, implying that copula predictions cannot sensibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Tobias Fissler , Yannick Hoga

Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler

Bivariate count models having one marginal and the other conditionals being of the Poissons form are called pseudo-Poisson distributions. Such models have simple exible dependence structures, possess fast computation algorithms and generate…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-08 Banoth Veeranna , B. G. Manjunath , B. Shobha

What is the optimal way to approximate a high-dimensional diffusion process by one in which the coordinates are independent? This paper presents a construction, called the \emph{independent projection}, which is optimal for two natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Daniel Lacker

A common network inference problem, arising from real-world data constraints, is how to infer a dynamic network from its time-aggregated adjacency matrix and time-varying marginals (i.e., row and column sums). Prior approaches to this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-21 Serina Chang , Frederic Koehler , Zhaonan Qu , Jure Leskovec , Johan Ugander