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Confidence intervals based on the central limit theorem (CLT) are a cornerstone of classical statistics. Despite being only asymptotically valid, they are ubiquitous because they permit statistical inference under weak assumptions and can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-15 Ian Waudby-Smith , David Arbour , Ritwik Sinha , Edward H. Kennedy , Aaditya Ramdas

We first derive the exponential ergodicity of the stochastic theta method (STM) with $\theta \in (1/2,1]$ for monotone jump-diffusion stochastic ordinary differential equations (SODEs) under a dissipative condition. Then we establish the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Zhihui Liu , Xiaoming Wu

It is known that the fluctuations of suitable linear statistics of Haar distributed elements of the compact classical groups satisfy a central limit theorem. We show that if the corresponding test functions are sufficiently smooth, a rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Christian Döbler , Michael Stolz

Piecewise $\alpha$-stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes arising in queue networks usually do not have an explicit dissipation, which makes the related numerical methods such as Euler-Maruyama (EM) scheme more difficult to analyze. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-11 Xinghu Jin , Guodong Pang , Yu Wang , Lihu Xu

In this paper, we develop a new method to estimate the parameters of a deteriorating system under perfect condition-based maintenance. This method is based on the asymptotical behavior of the system, which is studied by using the renewal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-15 Philippe Briand , Edwige Idée , Céline Labart

In this article we establish new central limit theorems for Ruppert-Polyak averaged stochastic gradient descent schemes. Compared to previous work we do not assume that convergence occurs to an isolated attractor but instead allow…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Steffen Dereich , Sebastian Kassing

The multivariate central limit theorems (CLT) for the volumes of excursion sets of stationary quasi-associated random fields on $\mathbb{R}^d$ are proved. Special attention is paid to Gaussian and shot noise fields. Formulae for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-02 Alexander Bulinski , Evgeny Spodarev , Florian Timmermann

Let ${\cal T}$ be a rooted Galton-Watson tree with offspring distribution $\{p_k\}$ that has $p_0=0$, mean $m=\sum kp_k>1$ and exponential tails. Consider the $\lambda$-biased random walk $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 0}$ on ${\cal T}$; this is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yuval Peres , Ofer Zeitouni

We derive in this preprint the moment and exponential tail estimates, sufficient conditions for the Non-Central Limit Theorem (NCLT) in the ordinary one-dimensional space as well as in the space of continuous functions for the properly…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-17 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We prove a central limit theorem (CLT) for the Frechet mean of independent and identically distributed observations in a compact Riemannian manifold assuming that the population Frechet mean is unique. Previous general CLT results in this…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-01 Thomas Hotz , Huiling Le , Andrew T. A. Wood

Classical Edgeworth expansions provide asymptotic correction terms to the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) up to an order that depends on the number of moments available. In this paper, we provide subsequent correction terms beyond those given…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-23 Henry Lam , Jose Blanchet , Damian Burch , Martin Z. Bazant

Let $\Cal S$ be an abelian finitely generated semigroup of endomorphisms of a probability space $(\Omega, {\Cal A}, \mu)$, with $(T_1, ..., T_d)$ a system of generators in ${\Cal S}$. Given an increasing sequence of domains $(D_n) \subset…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-05-17 Guy Cohen , Jean-Pierre Conze

We present a general methodology to construct triplewise independent sequences of random variables having a common but arbitrary marginal distribution $F$ (satisfying very mild conditions). For two specific sequences, we obtain in closed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-25 Guillaume Boglioni Beaulieu , Pierre Lafaye de Micheaux , Frédéric Ouimet

In this paper, we study the asymptotic error distribution for a two-level irregular discretization scheme of the solution to the stochastic differential equations (SDE for short) driven by a continuous semimartingale and obtain a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-15 Yi Guo , Yuxi Guo , Hanchao Wang

Selberg's central limit theorem states that the values of $\log|\zeta(1/2+i \tau)|$, where $\tau$ is a uniform random variable on $[T,2T]$, is distributed like a Gaussian random variable of mean $0$ and standard deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Eli Amzallag , Louis-Pierre Arguin , Emma Bailey , Kelvin Hui , Rajesh Rao

The main objective of this article is to establish a central limit theorem for additive three-variable functionals of bifurcating Markov chains. We thus extend the central limit theorem under point-wise ergodic conditions studied in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-04 S. Valère Bitseki Penda

The term ``sequential Monte Carlo methods'' or, equivalently, ``particle filters,'' refers to a general class of iterative algorithms that performs Monte Carlo approximations of a given sequence of distributions of interest (\pi_t). We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolas Chopin

Concentration inequalities for the sample mean, like those due to Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Bentkus, are valid for any sample size but overly conservative, yielding confidence intervals that are unnecessarily wide. The central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Morgane Austern , Lester Mackey

We consider "randomized" statistics constructed by using a finite number of observations a random field at randomly chosen points. We generalize the invariance principle (the functional CLT), the Glivenko--Cantelli theorem, the theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Youri Davydov , Arkady Tempelman

In this paper, we study the mesoscopic fluctuations at edges of orthogonal polynomial ensembles with both continuous and discrete measures. Our main result is a Central limit Theorem (CLT) for linear statistics at mesoscopic scales. We show…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Wenkui Liu
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