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Models for control of epidemics on local, global and small-world networks are considered, with only partial information accessible about the status of individuals and their connections. The main goal of an effective control measure is to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Kleczkowski , B. Dybiec , C. A. Gilligan

The spread of viruses in biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks can have devastating effects; developing and analyzing mathematical models of these systems can be insightful and lead to societal benefits. Prior…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Philip E. Paré , Angelia Nedić , Carolyn L. Beck

The spread of radical ideologies is a key to fanaticism, recruitment and terrorist activities. Hence, preventing such activities requires predictive models capable of identifying areas and agents before occurrence of catastrophic terrorist…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-05-25 Alhaji Cherif , Hirotoshi Yoshioka , Wei Ni , Prasanta Bose

The contact structure between hosts has a critical influence on disease spread. However, most networkbased models used in epidemiology tend to ignore heterogeneity in the weighting of contacts. This assumption is known to be at odds with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-03 Christel Kamp , Mathieu Moslonka-Lefebvre , Samuel Alizon

Suppose that a cascade (e.g., an epidemic) spreads on an unknown graph, and only the infection times of vertices are observed. What can be learned about the graph from the infection times caused by multiple distinct cascades? Most of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

Exploring the internal mechanism of information spreading is critical for understanding and controlling the process. Traditional spreading models often assume individuals play the same role in the spreading process. In reality, however,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Chang Su , Fang Zhou , Linyuan Lü

Epidemic containment is a major concern when confronting large-scale infections in complex networks. Many works have been devoted to analytically understand how to restructure the network to minimize the impact of major outbreaks of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-27 Joan T. Matamalas , Alex Arenas , Sergio Gómez

We study the curing of epidemics of a network contagion, which is modelled using a variation of the classical Polya urn process that takes into account spatial infection among neighbouring nodes. We introduce several quantities for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-09 Mikhail Hayhoe , Fady Alajaji , Bahman Gharesifard

When an epidemic spreads into a population, it is often unpractical or impossible to have a continuous monitoring of all subjects involved. As an alternative, algorithmic solutions can be used to infer the state of the whole population from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-12 Abhishek Tomy , Matteo Razzanelli , Francesco Di Lauro , Daniela Rus , Cosimo Della Santina

In this work we propose and numerically analyze an algorithm for detection of a contaminant source using a dynamic sensor network. The algorithm is motivated using a global probabilistic optimization problem and is based on the analysis of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-21 Sergio A. Almada Monter , Amarjit Budhiraja , Jan Hannig

A probabilistic framework is introduced that represents stylized banking networks and aims to predict the size of contagion events. In contrast to previous work on random financial networks, which assumes independent connections between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-20 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson

Motivated by the need for novel robust approaches to modelling the Covid-19 epidemic, this paper treats a population of $N$ individuals as an inhomogeneous random social network (IRSN). The nodes of the network represent different types of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-23 T. R. Hurd

Infectious or contagious diseases can be transmitted from one person to another through social contact networks. In today's interconnected global society, such contagion processes can cause global public health hazards, as exemplified by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Anirban Dasgupta , Srijan Sengupta

In order to maintain consistent quality of service, computer network engineers face the task of monitoring the traffic fluctuations on the individual links making up the network. However, due to resource constraints and limited access, it…

Applications · Statistics 2010-05-26 Joel Vaughan , Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis

Understanding the dissemination of diseases, information, and behavior stands as a paramount research challenge in contemporary network and complex systems science. The COVID-19 pandemic and the proliferation of misinformation are relevant…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-26 Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Alberto Aleta , Yamir Moreno

Mathematical modeling of epidemic propagation on networks is extended to hypergraphs in order to account for both the community structure and the nonlinear dependence of the infection pressure on the number of infected neighbours. The exact…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Ágnes Bodó , Gyula Y. Katona , Péter L. Simon

Infectious disease superspreading caused by heterogeneity in contact behavior has been observed to be an important determinant of epidemic dynamics and size in both empirical and theoretical settings. However, it has also been observed that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-27 Ari S. Freedman , Bjarke F. Nielsen , Maximillian M. Nguyen , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Simon A. Levin

Understanding the importance of links in transmitting information in a network can provide ways to hinder or postpone ongoing dynamical phenomena like the spreading of epidemic or the diffusion of information. In this work, we propose a new…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-02-16 Qian Zhang , Márton Karsai , Alessandro Vespignani

Networks provide a skeleton for the spread of contagions, like, information, ideas, behaviors and diseases. Many times networks over which contagions diffuse are unobserved and need to be inferred. Here we apply survival theory to develop…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-05-17 Manuel Gomez Rodriguez , Jure Leskovec , Bernhard Schoelkopf

Epidemic spreading is well understood when a disease propagates around a contact graph. In a stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible setting, spectral conditions characterise whether the disease vanishes. However, modelling human…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-15 Desmond John Higham , Henry-Louis de Kergorlay