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Causal inference for extreme events has many potential applications in fields such as climate science, medicine and economics. We study the extremal quantile treatment effect of a binary treatment on a continuous, heavy-tailed outcome.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-06 David Deuber , Jinzhou Li , Sebastian Engelke , Marloes H. Maathuis

We address the estimation of quantiles from heavy-tailed distributions when functional covariate information is available and in the case where the order of the quantile converges to one as the sample size increases. Such "extreme"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-04 L. Gardes , S. Girard , A. Lekina

This paper establishes the functional convergence of the Extreme Nelson--Aalen and Extreme Kaplan--Meier estimators, which are designed to capture the heavy-tailed behaviour of censored losses. The resulting limit representations can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Martin Bladt , Christoffer Øhlenschlæger

In many application areas of extreme value theory, the variables of interest are not directly observable but instead contain errors. In this article, we quantify the effect of these errors in moment-based extreme value index estimation, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Jaakko Pere , Pauliina Ilmonen , Lauri Viitasaari

The use of expectiles in risk management has recently gathered remarkable momentum due to their excellent axiomatic and probabilistic properties. In particular, the class of elicitable law-invariant coherent risk measures only consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

Heavy-tailed phenomena appear across diverse domains --from wealth and firm sizes in economics to network traffic, biological systems, and physical processes-- characterized by the disproportionate influence of extreme values. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Hamidreza Maleki Almani

In the first part of the paper we study absolute error of sampling discretization of the integral $L_p$-norm for function classes of continuous functions. We use basic approaches from chaining technique to provide general upper bounds for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-12 E. D. Kosov , V. N. Temlyakov

We study linear function approximation in a finite basis under finite-precision arithmetic. In a highly non-orthogonal basis, certain directions are only weakly represented, so that rounding errors can significantly distort the effectively…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Astrid Herremans , Daan Huybrechs

The Dirichlet forms methods, in order to represent errors and their propagation, are particularly powerful in infinite dimensional problems such as models involving stochastic analysis encountered in finance or physics, cf. [5]. Now, coming…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-04 Nicolas Bouleau

Many physical and mathematical models involve random fields in their input data. Examples are ordinary differential equations, partial differential equations and integro--differential equations with uncertainties in the coefficient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Michael Griebel , Guanglian Li , Christian Rieger

Let $X_{1,n} \leq .... \leq X_{n,n}$ be the order statistics associated with a sample $X_{1}, ...., X_{n}$ whose pertaining distribution function (% \textit{df}) is $F$. We are concerned with the functional asymptotic behaviour of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-19 Modou Ngom , Gane Samb Lo

Consider $n$ i.i.d. random vectors on $\mathbb{R}^2$, with unknown, common distribution function $F$. Under a sharpening of the extreme value condition on $F$, we derive a weighted approximation of the corresponding tail copula process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 John H. J. Einmahl , Laurens de Haan , Deyuan Li

This work provides data-processing and majorization inequalities for $f$-divergences, and it considers some of their applications to coding problems. This work also provides tight bounds on the R\'{e}nyi entropy of a function of a discrete…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Igal Sason

The extreme event statistics plays a very important role in the theory and practice of time series analysis. The reassembly of classical theoretical results is often undermined by non-stationarity and dependence between increments.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Mauro Politi , Nicolas Millot , Anirban Chakraborti

In this paper we are concerned with the analysis of heavy-tailed data when a portion of the extreme values is unavailable. This research was motivated by an analysis of the degree distributions in a large social network. The degree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-20 Jingjing Zou , Richard A. Davis , Gennady Samorodnitsky

The contribution of this paper is to introduce change of measure based techniques for the rare-event analysis of heavy-tailed stochastic processes. Our changes-of-measure are parameterized by a family of distributions admitting a mixture…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Jose Blanchet , Jingchen Liu

We establish maximal concentration bounds for the iterates generated by stochastic approximation algorithms with general step sizes, where the noise has a finite-state Markovian component plus a Martingale-difference component. When the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Shubhada Agrawal , Siva Theja Maguluri , Martin Zubeldia

For time series with high temporal correlation, the empirical process converges rather slowly to its limiting distribution. Many statistics in change-point analysis, goodness-of-fit testing and uncertainty quantification admit a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Annika Betken , Marie-Christine Düker

We make use of the empirical process theory to approximate the adapted Hill estimator, for censored data, in terms of Gaussian processes. Then, we derive its asymptotic normality, only under the usual second-order condition of regular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

In the setting where we have $n$ independent observations of a random variable $X$, we derive explicit error bounds in total variation distance when approximating the number of observations equal to the maximum of the sample (in the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Fraser Daly
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