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Testing practices within the machine learning (ML) community have centered around assessing a learned model's predictive performance measured against a test dataset, often drawn from the same distribution as the training dataset. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Negar Rostamzadeh , Ben Hutchinson , Christina Greer , Vinodkumar Prabhakaran

We derive a new discrepancy statistic for measuring differences between two probability distributions based on combining Stein's identity with the reproducing kernel Hilbert space theory. We apply our result to test how well a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-04 Qiang Liu , Jason D. Lee , Michael I. Jordan

E-variables are a relatively new approach for testing statistical hypotheses that has been experiencing major development during the last several years. In this paper we introduce the method of e-variable-approximability and use it to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Georgii Potapov , Yuri Kalnishkan

Distribution shifts, where statistical properties differ between training and test datasets, present a significant challenge in real-world machine learning applications where they directly impact model generalization and robustness. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Vegard Flovik

Box-Cox power transformation is a commonly used methodology to transform the distribution of a non-normal data into a normal one. Estimation of the transformation parameter is crucial in this methodology. In this study, the estimation…

Computation · Statistics 2014-01-17 Ozgur Asar , Ozlem Ilk , Osman Dag

This article gives a synopsis on new developments in affine invariant tests for multivariate normality in an i.i.d.-setting, with special emphasis on asymptotic properties of several classes of weighted $L^2$-statistics. Since weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-17 Bruno Ebner , Norbert Henze

Relational models generalize log-linear models to arbitrary discrete sample spaces by specifying effects associated with any subsets of their cells. A relational model may include an overall effect, pertaining to every cell after a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-17 Anna Klimova , Tamás Rudas

Given observations from a positive random variable contaminated by multiplicative measurement error, we consider a nonparametric goodness-of-fit testing task for its unknown density in a non-asymptotic framework. We propose a testing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Jan Johannes , Bianca Neubert

Multivariate goodness-of-fit and two-sample tests are important components of many nuclear and particle physics analyses. While a variety of powerful methods are available if the dimensionality of the feature space is small, such tests…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-22 Constantin Weisser , Mike Williams

We study the problem of learning fair prediction models for unseen test sets distributed differently from the train set. Stability against changes in data distribution is an important mandate for responsible deployment of models. The domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Harvineet Singh , Rina Singh , Vishwali Mhasawade , Rumi Chunara

We study the asymptotic behaviour of widely used tests for evaluating and comparing predictive accuracy when forecast errors exhibit heavy tails. In particular, when loss differentials have infinite variance, the Diebold-Mariano test…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Jonas F. Frederiksen , Muneya Matsui , Rasmus S. Pedersen

Deciding whether a model provides a good description of data is often based on a goodness-of-fit criterion summarized by a p-value. Although there is considerable confusion concerning the meaning of p-values, leading to their misuse, they…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-29 Frederik Beaujean , Allen Caldwell , Daniel Kollar , Kevin Kroeninger

We propose a nonparametric statistical test for goodness-of-fit: given a set of samples, the test determines how likely it is that these were generated from a target density function. The measure of goodness-of-fit is a divergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-28 Kacper Chwialkowski , Heiko Strathmann , Arthur Gretton

Permutation tests are a distribution free way of performing hypothesis tests. These tests rely on the condition that the observed data are exchangeable among the groups being tested under the null hypothesis. This assumption is easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-14 Daniell Toth

This paper explores strong and weak consistency of M-estimators for non-identically distributed data, extending prior work. Emphasis is given to scenarios where data is viewed as a triangular array, which encompasses distributional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers , Torben Staud

We propose the density ratio permutation test, a hypothesis test that assesses whether the ratio between two densities is proportional to a known function based on independent samples from each distribution. The test uses an efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Alberto Bordino , Thomas B. Berrett

In this paper, we show that the likelihood-ratio measure (a) is invariant with respect to dominating sigma-finite measures, (b) satisfies logical consequences which are not satisfied by standard $p$-values, (c) respects frequentist…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-07 Alexandre G. Patriota

Logistic regression is a classical model for describing the probabilistic dependence of binary responses to multivariate covariates. We consider the predictive performance of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for logistic regression,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Hugo Chardon , Matthieu Lerasle , Jaouad Mourtada

The Weibull distribution is a very applicable model for the lifetime data. In this paper, we have investigated inference on the parameters of Weibull distribution based on record values. We first propose a simple and exact test and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-12 Ali Akbar Jafari , Hojatollah Zakerzadeh

Statistical machine learning theory often tries to give generalization guarantees of machine learning models. Those models naturally underlie some fluctuation, as they are based on a data sample. If we were unlucky, and gathered a sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Alexander Mey
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