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We study an optimal investment/consumption problem in a model capturing market and credit risk dependencies. Stochastic factors drive both the default intensity and the volatility of the stocks in the portfolio. We use the martingale…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-20 Lijun Bo , Agostino Capponi

We study the exploration problem with approximate linear action-value functions in episodic reinforcement learning under the notion of low inherent Bellman error, a condition normally employed to show convergence of approximate value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Andrea Zanette , Alessandro Lazaric , Mykel Kochenderfer , Emma Brunskill

In this paper, we consider the problem of optimal investment by an insurer. The insurer invests in a market consisting of a bank account and $m$ risky assets. The mean returns and volatilities of the risky assets depend nonlinearly on…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-22 Hiroaki Hata , Shuenn-Jyi Sheu , Li-Hsien Sun

This work theoretically studies a ubiquitous reinforcement learning policy for controlling the canonical model of continuous-time stochastic linear-quadratic systems. We show that randomized certainty equivalent policy addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh

Real-world contextual bandit problems with complex reward models are often tackled with iteratively trained models, such as boosting trees. However, it is difficult to directly apply simple and effective exploration strategies--such as…

Optimisation problems, particularly combinatorial optimisation problems, are difficult to solve due to their complexity and hardness. Such problems have been successfully solved by evolutionary and swarm intelligence algorithms, especially…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Mehmet Emin Aydin , Rafet Durgut , Abdur Rakib

We explore past and recent developments in rare-event probability estimation with a particular focus on a novel Monte Carlo technique Empirical Likelihood Maximization (ELM). This is a versatile method that involves sampling from a sequence…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-12 A. Huang , Z. I. Botev

This dissertation makes three main contributions. First, We identify a new connection between policy gradient and dynamic programming in MMDPs and propose the Coordinate Ascent Dynamic Programming (CADP) algorithm to compute a Markov policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Xihong Su

Cross-validation (CV) is a popular approach for assessing and selecting predictive models. However, when the number of folds is large, CV suffers from a need to repeatedly refit a learning procedure on a large number of training datasets.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Ashia Wilson , Maximilian Kasy , Lester Mackey

In this paper, we provide extended convolution bounds for the Fr\'{e}chet problem and discuss related implications in quantitative risk management. First, we establish a new form of inequality for the Range-Value-at-Risk (RVaR). Based on…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-01 Peng Liu , Yang Liu , Houhan Teng

We study the portfolio problem of maximizing the outperformance probability over a random benchmark through dynamic trading with a fixed initial capital. Under a general incomplete market framework, this stochastic control problem can be…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Tim Leung , Qingshuo Song , Jie Yang

In this paper we propose and analyze a method based on the Riccati transformation for solving the evolutionary Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation arising from the stochastic dynamic optimal allocation problem. We show how the fully nonlinear…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-25 Sona Kilianova , Daniel Sevcovic

In this paper, we consider the optimal portfolio liquidation problem under the dynamic mean-variance criterion and derive time-consistent solutions in three important models. We give adapted optimal strategies under a reconsidered…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-02 Jia-Wen Gu , Mogens Steffensen

Model-based Reinforcement Learning (MBRL) has been widely adapted due to its sample efficiency. However, existing worst-case regret analysis typically requires optimistic planning, which is not realistic in general. In contrast, motivated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-10 Lingxiao Wang , Ping Li

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has emerged as a pivotal technique for enhancing the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, the de facto practice of mainstream RL algorithms is to treat all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Xincheng Yao , Ruoqi Li , Cheng Chen , Daoxin Zhang , Yi Wu , Yao Hu , Chongyang Zhang

This paper focuses on selecting the arm with the highest variance from a set of $K$ independent arms. Specifically, we focus on two settings: (i) misallocation minimization setting, that penalizes the number of pulls of suboptimal arms in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Sabrina Khurshid , Gourab Ghatak , Mohammad Shahid Abdulla

We consider Markov Decision Problems defined over continuous state and action spaces, where an autonomous agent seeks to learn a map from its states to actions so as to maximize its long-term discounted accumulation of rewards. We address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Alec Koppel , Ekaterina Tolstaya , Ethan Stump , Alejandro Ribeiro

In this paper we consider the problem of how a reinforcement learning agent that is tasked with solving a sequence of reinforcement learning problems (a sequence of Markov decision processes) can use knowledge acquired early in its lifetime…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Francisco M. Garcia , Philip S. Thomas

This paper studies the monotone mean-variance (MMV) problem and the classical mean-variance (MV) problem with convex cone trading constraints in a market with random coefficients. We provide semiclosed optimal strategies and optimal values…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-25 Ying Hu , Xiaomin Shi , Zuo Quan Xu

We consider the problem of retrieving the aerosol extinction coefficient from Raman lidar measurements. This is an ill--posed inverse problem that needs regularization, and we propose to use the Expectation--Maximization (EM) algorithm to…

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