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Modern day engineering problems are ubiquitously characterized by sophisticated computer codes that map parameters or inputs to an underlying physical process. In other situations, experimental setups are used to model the physical process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-02 Raphael Gautier , Piyush Pandita , Sayan Ghosh , Dimitri Mavris

This paper is concerned with a state-space approach to deep Gaussian process (DGP) regression. We construct the DGP by hierarchically putting transformed Gaussian process (GP) priors on the length scales and magnitudes of the next level of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-24 Zheng Zhao , Muhammad Emzir , Simo Särkkä

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to infer dependence structures. Bayesian methods are appealing to quantify uncertainty associated with structural learning, i.e., the plausibility of conditional independence statements given the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Deborah Sulem , Jack Jewson , David Rossell

Motivated by environmental policy questions, we address the challenges of estimation, change point detection, and uncertainty quantification of a causal exposure-response function (CERF). Under a potential outcome framework, the CERF…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-27 Boyu Ren , Xiao Wu , Danielle Braun , Natesh Pillai , Francesca Dominici

Many problems in robotics involve both continuous and discrete components, and modeling them together for estimation tasks has been a long standing and difficult problem. Hybrid Factor Graphs give us a mathematical framework to model these…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Varun Agrawal , Frank Dellaert

One of the fundamental tasks of science is to find explainable relationships between observed phenomena. One approach to this task that has received attention in recent years is based on probabilistic graphical modelling with sparsity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-16 Peter Orchard , Felix Agakov , Amos Storkey

To analyze the impacts of certain types of public health interventions we need to estimate the treatment effects and outcomes as these apply to heterogeneous open populations. Dynamically modifying populations containing risk groups that…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-14 Aditi Shenvi , Jim Q. Smith

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a non-parametric, Bayesian framework to approximate complex models. Standard GP regression can lead to an unbounded model in which some points can take infeasible values. We introduce a new GP method that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-04 Didem Kochan , Xiu Yang

Unraveling the co-expression of genes across studies enhances the understanding of cellular processes. Inferring gene co-expression networks from transcriptome data presents many challenges, including spurious gene correlations, sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-01 Teodora Pandeva , Martijs Jonker , Leendert Hamoen , Joris Mooij , Patrick Forré

Gaussian process (GP) emulators have become essential tools for approximating complex simulators, significantly reducing computational demands in optimization, sensitivity analysis, and model calibration. While traditional GP emulators…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-26 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a flexible, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling complex signals, but scale cubically with data, assume static targets, and are brittle to outliers, limiting their applicability in large-scale problems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Fernando Llorente , Daniel Waxman , Sanket Jantre , Nathan M. Urban , Susan E. Minkoff

In recent years, surrogate models have been successfully used in likelihood-free inference to decrease the number of simulator evaluations. The current state-of-the-art performance for this task has been achieved by Bayesian Optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-06 Alexander Aushev , Henri Pesonen , Markus Heinonen , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski

The two-phase sampling design is a cost-efficient way of collecting expensive covariate information on a judiciously selected subsample. It is natural to apply such a strategy for collecting genetic data in a subsample enriched for exposure…

Applications · Statistics 2013-05-27 Jaeil Ahn , Bhramar Mukherjee , Stephen B. Gruber , Malay Ghosh

We introduce a new regression framework, Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN), which combines the structural properties of Bayesian neural networks with the non-parametric flexibility of Gaussian processes. This model accommodates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-10-21 Andrew Gordon Wilson , David A. Knowles , Zoubin Ghahramani

Multi-output regression models must exploit dependencies between outputs to maximise predictive performance. The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to this setting typically yields models that are computationally demanding and have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 James Requeima , Will Tebbutt , Wessel Bruinsma , Richard E. Turner

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) combine the expressiveness of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) with quantified uncertainty of Gaussian Processes (GPs). Expressive power and intractable inference both result from the non-Gaussian distribution over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Chi-Ken Lu , Scott Cheng-Hsin Yang , Xiaoran Hao , Patrick Shafto

Deep Learning Gaussian Processes (DL-GP) are proposed as a methodology for analyzing (approximating) computer models that produce heteroskedastic and high-dimensional output. Computer simulation models have many areas of applications,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-07 Laura Schultz , Vadim Sokolov

Statistical analysis of microbiome data is challenging. Bayesian multinomial logistic-normal (MLN) models have gained popularity due to their ability to account for the count compositional nature of these data, but existing approaches are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Tinghua Chen , Michelle Pistner Nixon , Justin D. Silverman

Understanding disease progression at the molecular pathway level usually requires capturing both structural dependencies between pathways and the temporal dynamics of disease evolution. In this work, we solve the former challenge by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Dai Shi , Kuan Yan , Lequan Lin , Yue Zeng , Ting Zhang , Dmytro Matsypura , Mark C. Gillies , Ling Zhu , Junbin Gao

The current high-dimensional linear factor models fail to account for the different types of variables, while high-dimensional nonlinear factor models often overlook the overdispersion present in mixed-type data. However, overdispersion is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Jinyu Nie , Zhilong Qin , Wei Liu
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